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000
FNUS73 KMPX 241314
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Osceola Glade...NPS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
814 AM CDT Wed Apr 24 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on April 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...Skies will be mostly sunny today with a few high
clouds moving through from west to east this afternoon. This will
allow highs today to be in the mid to upper 50s. Dry conditions
are expected, with relative humidity values forecasted to be in
the 40s this morning before dropping into the mid-low 30s by the
afternoon. Winds will be light and generally southerly at 5-10
MPH.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........37 at ignition...Max 57.
RH..................65 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 3 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    Light winds becoming southeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    shifting to the south late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /12300 knot-ft/ at ignition. Max...good
                    /31300 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......1800 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 5400 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 7 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    6 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............37  42  46  48  51  54  55  56  57  56  55  52
RH..............65  53  45  46  41  38  37  35  34  35  38  41
20 FT wind dir..E   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE
20 FT wind spd..3   6   6   6   5   6   5   5   6   6   6   5
20 FT wind gust.8   8   8   7   7   8   8   8   8   7   8   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.8 2.2 2.8 3.4 4.0 4.8 5.2 5.4 5.4 5.1 2.0 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   SE
Transp wind spd.8   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6   7   6   7
Haines index....3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Temperature.........Min 36.
RH..................Max 67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (30500 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (2900 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 6 to 7 mph shifting to the south 7 to
                    13 mph early in the evening.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Temperature.........Max 64.
RH..................Min 33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (76600 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Dye
Requested by...Brandon Ramirez
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412242.0/MPX
.DELDT 04/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Brandon_Ramirez@nps.gov