877
FNUS73 KMPX 081558
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Wente West...FWS
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
1058 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1300 CDT on May 08.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...For Wente West, relative humidity values will fall
to 30-40% this afternoon with temperatures warming into the lower
70s. Winds will become east-northeasterly, gradually increasing
to around 10 mph by this afternoon. A few gusts up to 20 mph are
possible during the afternoon. About a 20% chance of a shower or
thunderstorm also exists this afternoon into early this evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Temperature.........67 at ignition...Max 71.
RH..................42 percent at ignition...Min 34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds east at 13 mph at ignition...otherwise
                    East winds 13 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent /72900 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /116400 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......4900 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 7300 ft
                    AGL.
Transport winds.....East 17 to 18 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5.

TIME (CDT)      1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID
Sky cover.......PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....                SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....                RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp............67  69  71  71  71  70  67  64  60  57  55  53
RH..............42  37  34  34  35  39  43  54  64  69  72  77
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..13  13  13  13  14  13  12  10  8   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.20  20  20  18  21  20  17  16  13  12  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...4.9 6.0 6.7 7.3 6.0 4.2 2.9 0.9 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   NE  E   E   E
Transp wind spd.17  17  18  18  17  16  15  13  10  15  16  17
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in
                    the evening.
Temperature.........Min 45.
RH..................Max 79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 13 mph decreasing to 8 to
                    10 mph in the late evening and overnight. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    early in the evening.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (59100 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Temperature.........Max 65.
RH..................Min 40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 8 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6700 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (71300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 13 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...Grunzke
Requested by...Millette
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413505.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL phil_millette@fws.gov