644
FNUS73 KMPX 051326
FWSMPX

Spot Forecast for Joseph A Tauer Prairie...MN DNR
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
826 AM CDT Sun May 5 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 CDT on May 05.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

Please contact our office if you have questions or concerns with
this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
For the Joseph A Tauer Prairie, Light SSW winds at ignition
become southerly at 5-9mph by noon. Transport winds from the S at 6-14mph.
RH values will drop below 35% as temperatures warm into thelower 70s
this afternoon.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
Temperature.........49 at ignition...Max 70.
RH..................77 percent at ignition...Min 32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Winds southwest at 3 mph at
                    ignition...otherwise Light winds becoming south
                    5 to 9 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor /2700 knot-ft/ at ignition.
                    Max...excellent /67700 knot-ft/.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 14 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth at ignition...max 4.

TIME (CDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM
Sky cover.......CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR CLR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............49  57  60  62  64  67  67  68  70  68  66  63
RH..............77  57  51  46  41  36  36  34  32  34  38  44
20 FT wind dir..SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   5   6   7   9   9   9   9   9   7
20 FT wind gust.6   6   6   7   9   10  14  14  14  14  14  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 2.2 5.1 5.5 5.9 6.1 6.1 6.1 5.6 5.3 2.9 0.5
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   8   9   9   12  12  14  14  14  10
Haines index....4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (0-10 percent).
Temperature.........Min 46.
RH..................Max 89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (63600 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (4200 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 10 to 16 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
RH..................Min 43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. Southeast winds 12 to 18 mph increasing
                    to 22 to 26 mph with gusts to around 39 mph
                    late in the morning.

$$
Forecaster...Hewett
Requested by...Brad Bolduan
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413193.0/MPX
.DELDT 05/05/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Brad.Bolduan@state.mn.us