Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
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861 FNUS73 KMQT 041447 FWSMQT Spot Forecast for Little Falls Rx...USFS National Weather Service Marquette MI 1047 AM EDT Sat May 4 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 EDT on May 04. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service. .DISCUSSION... Thickening clouds at ignition with maybe an isolated shower possible. Better chance of showers probably between 2 and 6 pm along the incoming cold front. Winds will be light southeast at ignition and then shift north-northwest at 5 to 10 mph late afternoon (5 pm or after) behind the passage of the cold front. Good RH recovery tonight in the wake of showers, then drying under mostly sunny skies on Sunday. .REST OF TODAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of rain showers early in the afternoon, then chance of rain showers early in the afternoon. Rain showers likely late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................1. Temperature.........63 at ignition...Max 63. RH..................43 percent at ignition...Min 41 percent. Dewpoint............41. 33-foot winds.......Winds southeast at 5 mph at ignition...otherwise Southeast winds around 5 mph shifting to the north-northwest 5 to 6 mph late in the afternoon. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds around 4 mph shifting to the north-northwest up to 5 mph late in the afternoon. Mixing height.......4300 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4300-6000 ft AGL increasing to 5000-6900 ft AGL late in the afternoon, then decreasing to 3600 ft AGL late in the afternoon. Ventilation index...Excellent (724) at ignition. Max...excellent (1072.0) increasing to excellent (1010.0) early in the afternoon, then decreasing to good (363.0) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. Rainfall amount.....0.14 inches. Ceiling (kft).......12 decreasing to 1.1. TIME (EDT) 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........89 90 93 93 94 95 Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC LKY LKY LKY Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 40 60 60 60 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............63 63 61 58 55 52 Dewpoint........40 39 39 41 42 43 RH..............43 41 44 51 62 69 33 ft wind dir..SE SE SE N N N 33 ft wind spd..5 5 5 6 6 6 20 ft wind dir..SE SE SE N N N 20 ft wind spd..4 4 4 5 5 5 Wind gust.......6 6 6 6 6 6 Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 6.0 6.9 6.3 5.0 3.6 Haines index....5 4 3 3 3 3 VIndx kt-ft/100.72 107 132 101 60 36 Ceiling (kft)...12 9.4 6.8 3.9 2.7 1.1 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers early in the evening, then slight chance of rain showers late in the evening. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................1. Temperature.........Min 37. RH..................Max 98 percent. Dewpoint............40. 33-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 9 mph. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 6 to 7 mph. Mixing height.......1400-3000 ft AGL decreasing to 300-1000 ft AGL overnight. Ventilation index...Poor to good (52.0-388.0). Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Rainfall amount.....0.09 inches. Ceiling (kft).......0.7 decreasing to 0.6 early in the evening, then decreasing to 0.5 late in the evening increasing to 0.6 late in the evening increasing to 1.2. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........94 91 87 82 77 73 66 59 52 52 53 53 Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).40 40 30 20 20 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............51 51 50 47 45 44 42 41 41 40 39 39 Dewpoint........42 42 42 42 42 41 41 40 40 39 39 38 RH..............71 72 74 82 87 92 94 96 96 97 98 98 33 ft wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 33 ft wind spd..9 9 9 9 9 9 8 8 8 7 7 7 20 ft wind dir..NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW 20 ft wind spd..7 7 7 7 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 6 Wind gust.......10 10 10 10 10 10 8 8 8 7 7 7 Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 2.7 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.7 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.3 Haines index....3 3 3 3 2 2 2 3 3 3 2 2 VIndx kt-ft/100.33 35 39 39 37 36 28 20 14 9 6 5 Ceiling (kft)...0.7 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.4 1.6 .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. LAL.................1. Temperature.........Max 61. RH..................Min 37 percent. Dewpoint............36 decreasing to 33 late in the afternoon. 33-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 8 mph. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 6 mph. Mixing height.......300-1500 ft AGL increasing to 5000-6300 ft AGL. Ventilation index...Poor to good (43.0-509.0) increasing to good (485.0) late in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches. Ceiling (kft).......1.4 increasing to 2.1 early in the morning, then increasing to 2.7 early in the morning increasing to 8.0 late in the morning increasing to 13 increasing to 17 late in the morning decreasing to 13 increasing to 17 late in the afternoon increasing to 20 increasing to 24 late in the afternoon. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........49 40 25 16 14 9 Weather cov..... Weather type....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............39 40 47 53 56 59 Dewpoint........38 38 37 36 34 33 RH..............98 90 70 53 43 38 33 ft wind......NW 7 NW 7 NW 8 NW 8 NW 8 NW 8 20 ft wind......NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 NW 6 Wind gust.......7 7 10 10 10 10 Mix hgt (ft)....300 800 2400 4200 5700 6300 Haines index....2 3 3 3 4 4 VIndx kt-ft/100.4 9 24 38 51 57 Ceiling (kft)...1.4 2.7 13 17 13 20 $$ Forecaster...Voss Requested by...WilliamMeginley Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413144.0/MQT .DELDT 05/04/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL william.meginley@usda.gov