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000
FXUS66 KMTR 262327
AFDMTR

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Francisco CA
427 PM PDT Fri Apr 26 2024

...New AVIATION, MARINE...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 148 PM PDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Cloud conditions with some pockets of drizzle linger on the coast
and spread inland tonight. Breezy winds arrive later this
afternoon into tonight. Winds continue to stay breezy over the
next few days, with better afternoon clearing leading to a warming
trend over the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through tonight)
Issued at 142 PM PDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Similar to yesterday: Cloudy conditions continue, still some
drizzle along the coast, and breezy to gusty northwest wind this
afternoon and evening. Expect stronger winds than yesterday
specifically for higher peaks and along the Big Sur Coast from
pressure gradient change as the current trough pattern pushes
east.

Additional drizzle chances arrive and spread inland in the
evening with slight chances for another round of light rain
chances on higher elevations and along the coast.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday through Thursday)
Issued at 426 AM PDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Forecast philosophy remains unchanged from yesterday afternoon. The
previous discussion follows:

The new upper level pattern  keeps mostly northwest onshore flow
into the weekend. While the immediate coast will continue to
struggle with cloud cover, most areas slightly more inland and well
into the interior will see quicker clearing times. This will place
most areas back into the 60s and 70s into the next work week, while
the coast will stick to around 60 degree highs. By the late week,
some of those more interior locations look to break into the low 80s.

Longer term models are in better agreement that the next rain maker
may just stay well to the north of the Bay Area and Central Coast as
the ECMWF model families have adjusted the next trough to arrive
over Seattle rather than the Bay area.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 426 PM PDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Satellite shows FEW to SCT clouds shuffling through the region but
VFR and some clear skies over the terminals. Breezy and gusty
westerly winds will continue to linger through early evening before
becoming moderate overnight. Breezy conditions return late Saturday
morning/early afternoon. VFR is expected to prevail through the TAF
period for most terminals except Monterey Bay terminals.

Vicinity of SFO...VFR through the TAF period but a few models
suggest MVFR returning overnight and clearing early morning, but had
low confidence to include in TAFs at this moment and input a SCT
group to hint at the possibility. Westerly winds will remain gusty
through most of the early evening then diminish to moderate by 09-
10Z.

SFO Bridge Approach...Similar to SFO.

Monterey Bay Terminals...VFR through most of the TAF period but
models show agreement of another round of MVFR conditions overnight
with KMRY seeing ceilings as early as 02Z. Moderate confidence on
exact timing but overall model agreement that MVFR will occur after
08Z for both terminals. Gusty westerly winds will diminish to
moderate overnight before becoming breezy and gusty again by
Saturday afternoon.

&&

.MARINE...
(Tonight through next Wednesday)
Issued at 426 PM PDT Fri Apr 26 2024

Strong northwesterly winds with gale force gusts are to be
expected  through the weekend, particularly over the coastal
waters. Light  rain will be possible over the waters today as a
result of the  passing weak cold front. Moderate period
northwesterly swell will  continue to move through the waters
through Wednesday.

&&

.MTR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CA...None.
PZ...Small Craft Advisory until 3 AM PDT Saturday for Mry Bay-SF Bay
     N of Bay Bridge.

     Small Craft Advisory from 3 PM to 9 PM PDT Saturday for Mry Bay-
     SF Bay N of Bay Bridge.

     Small Craft Advisory until 9 PM PDT Saturday for Pigeon Pt to Pt
     Pinos 0-10 nm-Pigeon Pt to Pt Pinos 10-60 NM-Pt Arena to Pt
     Reyes 0-10 nm-Pt Arena to Pt Reyes 10-60 NM-Pt Reyes to
     Pigeon Pt 0-10 nm.

     Gale Warning until 3 AM PDT Saturday for Pt Pinos to Pt Piedras
     Blancas 0-10 nm.

&&

$$

SHORT TERM...Murdock
LONG TERM....DialH
AVIATION...SO
MARINE...Sarment

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