Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FXUS63 KUNR 051725
AFDUNR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION FOR WESTERN SD AND NORTHEASTERN WY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1025 AM MST THU MAR 5 2015

.SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH FRIDAY NIGHT
ISSUED AT 230 AM MST THU MAR 5 2015

CURRENT SURFACE MAP PLACES 1035MB HIGH ACROSS EASTERN
NEBRASKA/IOWA...WITH LEE TROF/WARM FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL
MONTANA/WYOMING. UPPER LEVEL SHORTWAVE IN NORTHWEST
FLOW...DROPPING INTO EASTERN MONTANA. THIS SHORTWAVE CROSSES
WESTERN SOUTH DAKOTA TODAY. WITH WEAK LIFT/DRY LOW LEVELS...ONLY
EXPECTING AN INCREASE IN MID/HIGH CLOUDS. STRONG LOW LEVEL WARM
ADVECTION TODAY...WITH 850MB TEMPERATURES INCREASING ABOUT 10C.
LINGERING SNOW COVER ACROSS SOUTHWEST/SOUTH CENTRAL SOUTH DAKOTA
WILL LIMIT TEMPERATURES SOME...WITH WARMEST TEMPERATURES OVER
NORTHWEST SOUTH DAKOTA. DRY AND WARMER FOR FRIDAY.

.LONG TERM...SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY
ISSUED AT 230 AM MST THU MAR 5 2015

DRY AND MILD NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT WILL REMAIN ACROSS THE REGION
THIS WEEKEND AND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...AS A BROAD UPPER LEVEL
RIDGE OVER THE WESTERN CONUS SLOWLY SLIDES EAST INTO THE ROCKIES.
TEMPERATURES WILL GENERALLY BE ABOVE AVERAGE THROUGH THE
PERIOD...WITH HIGHS IN THE 40S AND 50S. SOME 60S LOOK POSSIBLE
EARLY NEXT WEEK AS THE RIDGE SHIFTS INTO THE NORTHERN PLAINS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z FRIDAY)
ISSUED AT 1024 AM MST THU MAR 5 2015

VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING.

&&

.UNR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SD...NONE.
WY...NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...7
LONG TERM...15
AVIATION...13





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