Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 201453
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
1053 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Hot and humid conditions with relatively light winds will prevail
across the region for the next couple of days. A weak cold front
approaching from the Great Lakes will bring a chance of showers
and thunderstorms late today and tonight, mainly across northern
Pennsylvania.


PAZ004>006-010-011-210915-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
1053 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms         None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  60            0            0           70
Temp (24h trend)              62 (-2)      85 (+1)           58           78
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      43 (-4)          100           62
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         NW  5                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  6        NW  7      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.14         0.00         0.00         0.17
Precip Duration                     3                                      4
Precip Begin                     6 PM                                   6 AM
Precip End                       2 AM                             Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            210         4790           50         2710
Transport Wnd (mph)              W  5        NW 13         W  2         S 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        65260            0        70870
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                       >25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the mid
70s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-210915-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
1053 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms         None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  50            0            0           70
Temp (24h trend)               66 (0)      87 (+1)           62           80
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      43 (-2)           97           62
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         NW  6                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  7         W  7      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.11         0.00         0.00         0.23
Precip Duration                     2                                      4
Precip Begin                     6 PM                                   6 AM
Precip End                       4 AM                             Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            140         5380           10         4840
Transport Wnd (mph)              W  6        NW 12        NW  3         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        60530            0        82690
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            5            5
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs around 80. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s.
Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper
70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-210915-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
1053 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30           10            0           70
Temp (24h trend)              67 (-1)      85 (+1)           66           83
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      48 (+5)          100           61
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                          W  7                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W  8 G17         W  8        NW  5        SW  6
Precip Amount                    0.13         0.01         0.00         0.34
Precip Duration                     2            1                         8
Precip Begin                     6 PM   Continuing                      6 AM
Precip End                 Continuing         6 PM                Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            290         5170            0         4970
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 10        NW 10        NW  3        SW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        56590            0        89230
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES  1-8 STRIKES 9-15 STRIKES  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            4            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the mid
70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper
70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-045-210915-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Southern Clinton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, McConnellsburg,
and Lock Haven
1053 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms         None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30            0            0           60
Temp (24h trend)              68 (-2)      90 (+1)           65           84
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      40 (+5)           97           55
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         NW  6                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  6        NW  7      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.07         0.00         0.00         0.23
Precip Duration                     1                                      4
Precip Begin                     6 PM                                   6 AM
Precip End                       6 AM                             Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            210         6380            0         4180
Transport Wnd (mph)              W  7        NW 10        NW  5         S 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        76070            0        60530
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                      9-15 STRIKES  1-8 STRIKES     NO TSTMS  >25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            3            5            5
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows around 70. Highs in the mid 80s. Southwest winds 10 to
15 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs around 80. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower
80s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-210915-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
1053 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms         None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  50            0            0           50
Temp (24h trend)              63 (-4)       85 (0)           60           80
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      43 (-1)           97           56
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         NW  6                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)             W  6        NW  7        NW  5      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.14         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration                     2                                      2
Precip Begin                     6 PM                                   6 AM
Precip End                       3 AM                             Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             50         5610           20         2920
Transport Wnd (mph)             SE  3        NW 13        NW  3        SE 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        69600            0        62510
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        3            4            5            5
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows around 60.
Highs in the mid 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the
upper 70s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ046-049>053-058-210915-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Schuylkill-
Including the cities of Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove,
Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, and Pottsville
1053 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms         None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  30            0            0           50
Temp (24h trend)              67 (-3)      90 (+1)           64           82
RH % (24h trend)              100 (0)      42 (+1)           97           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         NW  5                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  5        NW  6      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.07         0.00         0.00         0.08
Precip Duration                     2                                      1
Precip Begin                     6 PM                                   8 AM
Precip End                       5 AM                             Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)            100         6000           60         3280
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW  1         W 13         N  6         S  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        75930            0        48840
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            1            0            0
LAL                     16-25 STRIKES     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            4            5            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the lower
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower
80s. North winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. South winds around 5 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-210915-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
1053 AM EDT Thu Jul 20 2017

                              Tonight          Fri    Fri Night          Sat

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                     Tstms         None         None        Tstms
Chance Precip (%)                  20            0            0           50
Temp (24h trend)              70 (-2)       92 (0)           67           86
RH % (24h trend)              97 (-3)      40 (+4)           93           53
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)                         NW  6                   LGT/VAR
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)            SW  5        NW  7      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.00         0.00         0.12
Precip Duration                     1                                      2
Precip Begin                    10 PM                                   6 AM
Precip End                       6 AM                             Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)              0         7090            0         5090
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 10        NW  9        NW  7         S 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                   0        85090            0        59310
Dispersion                          1            5            1            5
DSI                                 0            2            0            1
LAL                      9-15 STRIKES  1-8 STRIKES     NO TSTMS16-25 STRIKES
Haines Index                        4            3            4            5
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 80s. West winds 5 to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. North winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the
lower 80s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$



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