Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS51 KCTP 191653
FWFCTP

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Central Pennsylvania
National Weather Service State College PA
1153 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Cold and windy conditions are expected through tonight with
lake effect snow accumulation over the northwest Alleghenies and
Laurel Highlands. Thanksgiving week looks mainly dry with
temperatures trending milder to above average into Tuesday
before cooling off to near seasonal levels for the rest of the
week.

PAZ004>006-010-011-192115-
Warren-McKean-Potter-Elk-Cameron-
Including the cities of Warren, Bradford, Coudersport, St. Marys,
Ridgway, and Emporium
1153 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                    Cloudy        MCldy        MCldy
Precip Type                   Showers Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%)                  60           80           30
Temp (24h trend)             36 (-10)     24 (-10)           38
RH % (24h trend)             56 (-23)     88 (-12)           42
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        NW 15 G47                  W 11 G27
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 15 G33     W 11 G22     W 11 G25
Precip Amount                    0.09         0.10         0.01
Precip Duration                    11           10            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing   Continuing        10 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5020         3270         3400
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 31         W 29         W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              162110        59250       103500
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Colder.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 10 to
15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs
in the mid 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain or snow showers.
Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ012-017-018-192115-
Northern Clinton-Clearfield-Northern Centre-
Including the cities of Renovo, DuBois, Clearfield,
and Philipsburg
1153 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                   Showers Snow Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  30           50            0
Temp (24h trend)              39 (-3)     24 (-12)           40
RH % (24h trend)             50 (-29)     88 (-12)           39
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 16 G46                  W 12 G25
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 16 G37     W 12 G25     W 11 G23
Precip Amount                    0.04         0.05         0.00
Precip Duration                     3            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5690         2970         3360
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 32         W 30         W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              184090        58690       104700
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 30. Highs in the
upper 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain or snow showers. Lows
in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.

$$

PAZ024-033-192115-
Cambria-Somerset-
Including the cities of Johnstown and Somerset
1153 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                   Showers Snow Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  60           50            0
Temp (24h trend)             36 (-11)     23 (-11)           39
RH % (24h trend)             57 (-15)     85 (-15)           39
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 18 G48                  W 14 G26
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 18 G40     W 15 G30     W 12 G24
Precip Amount                    0.08         0.06         0.00
Precip Duration                     5            4
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           4680         2090         2630
Transport Wnd (mph)              W 36         W 30         W 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              159720        45640        63880
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        3            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 30. Highs in the
upper 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Scattered rain or snow showers. Lows
in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 15 to
20 mph.

$$

PAZ019-025>028-034-035-192115-
Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton-
Including the cities of State College, Altoona, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, Bedford, and McConnellsburg
1153 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy       MClear
Precip Type                   Showers Snow Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  20           10            0
Temp (24h trend)              43 (+2)     25 (-13)           44
RH % (24h trend)             47 (-19)     85 (-15)           33
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 18 G45                  W 12 G26
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 17 G40     W 12 G26     W 10 G23
Precip Amount                    0.01         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     1            1
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         1 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5950         2300         3590
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 33         W 29         W 22
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              182730        43240        88510
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs
in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs
around 40. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the lower
40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.

$$

PAZ037-041-042-192115-
Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-
Including the cities of Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run,
and Laporte
1153 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                   Showers Snow Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  20           30            0
Temp (24h trend)              40 (-1)     24 (-12)           40
RH % (24h trend)             50 (-20)     78 (-22)           38
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)        NW 18 G46                  W 12 G29
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 16 G39     W 11 G23     W 12 G29
Precip Amount                    0.03         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration                     2            2
Precip Begin                     6 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5710         3760         3960
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 32         W 26         W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              174100        44480       113770
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs around 50.
Southwest winds 15 to 20 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows around 30. Highs in the
upper 30s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the upper 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with scattered rain or snow showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the lower 40s. Southwest winds
10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ045-046-049>053-192115-
Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-
Northumberland-Columbia-
Including the cities of Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg,
Selinsgrove, Danville, Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, and Berwick
1153 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                     MCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      None Snow Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0           10            0
Temp (24h trend)              45 (+3)     27 (-13)           44
RH % (24h trend)             47 (-26)     78 (-22)           36
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 16 G43                  W 10 G25
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 16 G38     W 11 G24     W 10 G22
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                                  1
Precip Begin                                  6 PM
Precip End                                    4 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6230         1720         4090
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 33         W 21         W 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              191400         2100       106620
Dispersion                          5            2            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            3
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 50s. South winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs
around 40. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

PAZ036-056-057-059-063>066-192115-
Franklin-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster-
Including the cities of Chambersburg, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Lebanon, Carlisle, Gettysburg, York, and Lancaster
1153 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy       MClear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              48 (+3)     28 (-15)           45
RH % (24h trend)             43 (-22)     72 (-28)           32
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 18 G44                  W 11 G23
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 18 G40     W 12 G24     W 10 G21
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           6100         1080         3760
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 32         W 23         W 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              187650         4310        83850
Dispersion                          5            3            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
50s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid
40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

$$

PAZ058-192115-
Schuylkill-
Including the city of Pottsville
1153 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                                Today      Tonight          Mon

Cloud Cover                     PCldy        PCldy        PCldy
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Temp (24h trend)              46 (+2)     28 (-14)           43
RH % (24h trend)             47 (-27)     75 (-25)           38
20ft Wnd-Val/AM(mph)         W 17 G45                  W 11 G25
20ft Wnd-Rdg/PM(mph)         W 17 G39     W 11 G24     W 10 G21
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)           5850         2400         4030
Transport Wnd (mph)             NW 32         W 24         W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              176350        26770       113460
Dispersion                          5            5            5
DSI                                 1            0            1
LAL                          NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS     NO TSTMS
Haines Index                        4            3            4
RH Recovery                 Excellent    Excellent    Excellent

REMARKS...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 50s.
South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
mid 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in
the lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$


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