Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 221959
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
352 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

.DISCUSSION...High pressure will continue to provide quiet weather
over southeast Michigan through into Monday. Areas of frost are
expected to develop late tonight, before daytime temperatures Sunday
rise into the 60s. Minimum RH will fall fairly low tomorrow, falling
into the 25 to 35 percent range for locations away from the
lakeshores. Winds are expected to remain near or below 10 mph
however. Similar conditions are expected on Monday, but with slightly
higher humidity as dewpoints increase.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-231200-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
352 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent). Areas of frost after
                    2 am.
Min temperature.....33-38.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Max humidity........86-91 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light and variable.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming south in the
                    late evening and early morning then becoming
                    southwest after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent). Areas of frost
                    until 8 am.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........27-35 percent.
   24 hr trend......6-8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6470-6970 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph becoming west 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (970).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-90 percent.
   24 hr trend......Little change.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 5 mph becoming northeast
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......180-380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (15-25 percent).
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......6-8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5190-5690 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (600).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-231200-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
352 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent). Widespread frost after
                    2 am.
Min temperature.....30-35.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........83-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Slightly wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light and variable.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......220-420 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph becoming north around 0
                    mph in the late evening and early
                    morning then becoming west after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent). Widespread frost
                    until 8 am.
Max temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......12 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........30-40 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......West winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6540-7040 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph becoming west 10 to 15
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1000).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (25-35 percent).
Min temperature.....34-39.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........88-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......Slightly wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......320-520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 10 mph becoming northeast in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
Max temperature.....57-62.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Min humidity........39-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......9 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph becoming southeast in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5200-5700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph becoming southeast in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (570).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-231200-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
352 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent). Widespread frost
                    after 2 am.
Min temperature.....31-36.
   24 hr trend......1 degree cooler.
Max humidity........83-93 percent.
   24 hr trend......Slightly wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light and variable.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......180-380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 10 mph becoming north around 0
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Widespread frost until
                    8 am.
Max temperature.....63-68.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........26-36 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light and variable winds becoming southwest 5
                    to 10 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5030-5530 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (540).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Clear (5-15 percent).
Min temperature.....36-41.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......Slightly drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......100-300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.MONDAY...
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
Min humidity........33-43 percent.
   24 hr trend......5-8 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph becoming east 10
                    to 15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3960-4460 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 5 mph becoming east
                    around 15 mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon then decreasing to around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (560).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. Southeast winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. South winds around
10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid
40s. Highs in the lower 60s.

$$

HLO



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