Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 160749
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
349 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL KEEP THE WEATHER COOL AND DRY TODAY WITH RH VALUES
AROUND 40 PERCENT. AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL BRING A
CHANCE FOR SHOWERS THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY AS IT TRACKS EAST.
TEMPERATURES WILL WARM INTO THE 40S TODAY TO AROUND 60 ON
THURSDAY...WITH MODESTLY HIGHER MOISTURE AS WELL.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-162130-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
349 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
   24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-48 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......7 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5110-5610 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (670).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). POP...20
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....29-34.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......19 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......750-950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (70).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 9 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7360-7860 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1900).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-162130-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
349 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........40-50 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......3 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5300-5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    15 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (640).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......730-930 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (60).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF SHOWERS AFTER 10 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51-56.
   24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-53 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......2 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6440-6940 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1430).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-162130-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
349 AM EDT WED APR 16 2014

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT) UNTIL NOON...THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) UNTIL 2 PM...THEN PARTLY
                    SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) UNTIL 4 PM...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....38-43.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........37-47 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......9 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 10 MPH
                    THROUGH MID AFTERNOON...THEN...BECOMING
                    SOUTHEAST AROUND 15 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHEAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (570).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT) UNTIL 6 AM...THEN
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 31.
   24 HR TREND......16 DEGREES WARMER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-84 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......560-760 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (40).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
   24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........42-49 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......4 PERCENT WETTER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5630-6130 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1290).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S.

$$

SF





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