Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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433
FNUS53 KDTX 011946
FWFDTX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHEAST MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DETROIT/PONTIAC MI
338 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN MOVES BACK INTO THE REGION
TONIGHT AFTER A BRIEF LULL THIS AFTERNOON. THE BEST COVERAGE WILL
OCCUR GENERALLY SOUTH OF I69. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BEGIN TO BUILD BACK
INTO THE AREA ON MONDAY...LASTING THROUGH TUESDAY. THIS WILL LEAD TO
A WARMING TREND INTO THE UPPER 50S ON MONDAY AND MID 60S ON TUESDAY.
IN ADDITION...DRIER CONDITIONS WILL RETURN WITH MINIMUM RH VALUES
DROPPING TO AROUND 50 PERCENT MONDAY AFTERNOON AND 35 TO 40 PERCENT
TUESDAY. RAIN MOVES BACK IN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-021400-
MIDLAND-BAY-SAGINAW-SHIAWASSEE-GENESEE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...MIDLAND-BAY CITY-SAGINAW-OWOSSO-FLINT
338 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    AFTER 11 PM. POP...90 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......2 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1000-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (70).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 9 AM. POP...20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
   24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-51 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20-30 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5490-5990 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH...DECREASING TO AROUND
                    10 MPH LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (670).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-41.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........89-95 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    EVENING...BECOMING LIGHT OVERNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....57-62.
   24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-40 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8540-9040 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (1020).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-021400-
HURON-TUSCOLA-SANILAC-LAPEER-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...BAD AXE-CARO-SANDUSKY-LAPEER
338 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN AFTER
                    11 PM. POP...80 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 40.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........95-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......580-780 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (20).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.11-0.25 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF RAIN SHOWERS UNTIL 9 AM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....50-55.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........48-58 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......25-35 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5170-5670 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (620).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (30-40 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....34-39.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-94 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......5-8 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTH UP TO 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 0 TO 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
   24 HR TREND......7 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-45 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-15 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST BY
                    AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7450-7950 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (530).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-021400-
ST CLAIR-LIVINGSTON-OAKLAND-MACOMB-WASHTENAW-WAYNE-LENAWEE-MONROE-
INCLUDING THE CITY OF...
PORT HURON-HOWELL-PONTIAC-WARREN-ANN ARBOR-DETROIT-ADRIAN-MONROE
338 PM EDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (95-100 PERCENT). RAIN. POP...100
                    PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....39-44.
   24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........96-100 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......LITTLE CHANGE.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......770-970 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (30).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.51-0.75 IN.

.MONDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (65-75 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS UNTIL 9 AM. POP...40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
   24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........51-61 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......20-30 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH...DIMINISHING TO AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5210-5710 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`GOOD` (590).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.MONDAY NIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....37-42.
   24 HR TREND......3 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-97 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST UP
                    TO 5 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100-300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...`POOR` (0).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....61-66.
   24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........34-44 PERCENT.
   24 HR TREND......10-20 PERCENT DRIER.
20-FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING WEST LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7930-8430 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH...BECOMING NORTHWEST LATE.
VENTILATION INDEX...`EXCELLENT` (700).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 40.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 40S. HIGHS AROUND 70.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.

$$

HLO



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