Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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000
FNUS53 KDTX 251958
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
358 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.DISCUSSION...This cool and wet pattern gradually drying out by
Friday into Saturday, however minimum RH values are expected to
remain above the 50 percent mark. Wet weather returns overnight
Saturday through Monday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-261215-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
358 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 9 pm then a slight chance of showers
                    until 1 am. Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........97 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest
                    around 5 mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1050-1250 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (70).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent).
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5040-5540 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest around 5
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (480).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 10 pm then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers after 8 pm until 2 am then chance
                    of showers. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......140-340 ft agl.
Transport winds.....South around 5 mph becoming southeast 10 to 15
                    mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 8 am then a slight chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........53-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3340-3840 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (390).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-261215-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
358 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (95-100 percent). Showers until
                    midnight then chance of showers until 2 am then
                    a slight chance of showers. Chance of
                    precipitation 90 near percent.
Min temperature.....46-51.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......1 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......540-740 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (20).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....62-67.
   24 hr trend......7 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........64-74 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5010-5510 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (510).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent) until midnight then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). A slight chance
                    of until 2 am. Chance of showers after 2 am.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....47-52.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds around 5 mph becoming southeast
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......500-700 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 8 am then a slight chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3310-3810 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (380).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-261215-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
358 PM EDT Thu May 25 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Showers likely until
                    7 pm then chance of showers until 1 am. A
                    slight chance of after 1 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........94-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......1080-1280 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (30).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Max temperature.....66-71.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........59-69 percent.
   24 hr trend......19 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4860-5360 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph decreasing to around 10
                    mph in the late morning and early
                    afternoon then becoming west early in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (520).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent) until midnight then
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    showers after 8 pm. Chance of precipitation 40
                    percent.
Min temperature.....51-56.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......400-600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph becoming southeast in
                    the late evening and early morning then
                    increasing to around 15 mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    until 8 am then a slight chance of showers
                    until 2 pm. Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........57-64 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4520-5020 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 10 mph becoming west in the
                    late morning and early afternoon then
                    becoming northwest early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (730).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds
around 5 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Partly cloudy. Showers likely and chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the upper 60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50. Highs
in the mid 60s.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the upper 60s.

$$

BT



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