Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Detroit/Pontiac, MI

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FNUS53 KDTX 261934
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
334 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.DISCUSSION...As the upper level low moves off to the east; surface
low pressure moves into the Ohio River Valley. This low will drag a
cold front through the the Great Lakes region tonight and Thursday
generating chances for showers and thunderstorms. High pressure
build over the area for Friday and Saturday bringing in drier
conditions. Afternoon minimum RH values are expected to drop into
the mid 40`s range by Saturday.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-271215-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
334 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Showers and
                    thunderstorms likely until 8 pm then chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....65-70.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......140-340 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3470-3970 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph becoming northeast 10 to
                    15 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (530).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....58-63.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........94 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......320-520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph decreasing to around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 8 am until 2 pm. A
                    slight chance of after 2 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........43-50 percent.
   24 hr trend......15 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5280-5780 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 10 mph increasing to 20 to 25
                    mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1340).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-271215-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
334 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms until 8 pm then
                    chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of
                    precipitation 70 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........99 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph becoming west after
                    midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......180-380 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms. Chance of precipitation 60
                    percent.
Max temperature.....73-78.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........61-71 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3010-3510 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 10 mph becoming northeast in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (450).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....59-64.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........90-96 percent.
   24 hr trend......4 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......240-440 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 8 am until 2 pm then
                    a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....70-75.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........49-59 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4680-5180 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1190).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-271215-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
334 PM EDT Wed Jul 26 2017

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 10 pm then
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms after 8 pm until
                    2 am. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....64-69.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........90-99 percent.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......South winds 5 to 10 mph becoming southwest
                    after midnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......200-400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 8 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....78-83.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........59-68 percent.
   24 hr trend......13 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming east 5 to 10 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6190-6690 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph becoming northeast early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (550).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 4 am then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms until 8 pm. Chance of
                    precipitation 50 percent.
Min temperature.....60-65.
   24 hr trend......4 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........88-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......320-520 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (0).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms after 8 am until 2 pm then
                    a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
                    Chance of precipitation 50 percent.
Max temperature.....72-77.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........46-56 percent.
   24 hr trend......16 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......5990-6490 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph increasing to around 25
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (1520).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s.
North winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Highs in the lower 80s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s. West winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 60s. Highs in the lower
80s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 60s.
Highs in the lower 80s.

$$

DRC


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