Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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FNUS53 KGRR 260748 AAA
FWFGRR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan...UPDATED
National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI
348 AM EDT Fri May 26 2017

...Some Sunshine Today...

.DISCUSSION...
While there may be a fair amount of clouds around into the
mid morning hours I do expect a fair amount of sunshine during
midday hours before more clouds move in later in the afternoon
from a frontal wave passing off to our south. At this point
I believe most of the showers and thunderstorms assoicated with
that frontal wave should stay just south of Michigan tonight.



MIZ037>039-043>045-262015-
Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta-
Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart,
Fremont, and Big Rapids
348 AM EDT Fri May 26 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy fog until
                    0900.
Max temperature.....62-67 near Lake Michigan and around 71 inland.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 7
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........63-68 percent near Lake Michigan and 44-49
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 17
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4400-4900 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0200, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 0200. slight chance of rain
                    showers after 0500.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent in the evening then
precipitation 20 percent toward daybreak.
Min temperature.....48-53.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 100-600 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2200-2700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 0 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.14 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....67-72 near Lake Michigan and 76-81 inland.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer near Lake Michigan and 9
                    degrees warmer Inland.
Min humidity........55-60 percent near Lake Michigan and 38-43
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......11 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 9
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3600-4100 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    6600-7100 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph shifting to the south in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ040-046-262015-
Clare-Isabella-
Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant
348 AM EDT Fri May 26 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 70.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........47-52 percent.
   24 hr trend......23 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 9 mph until midday becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5400-5900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph becoming northwest around 5
                    mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400-700 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0700, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 0400. slight chance of rain
                    showers after 0500.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....50-55.
   24 hr trend......1 degree warmer.
Max humidity........98 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4200-4700 ft AGL decreasing to 0-500 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northeast overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.12 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 77.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........42-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3800-4300 ft AGL increasing to 5800-6300 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....200-300 (fair to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ050-056-064-071-262015-
Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren-
Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland,
and South Haven
348 AM EDT Fri May 26 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........61-66 percent near Lake Michigan and 48-53
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......3 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 20
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3000-3500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    4500-5000 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Northwest 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....100-400 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent) until 0500, then
                    partly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0200. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Min temperature.....52-57.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Near Lake Michigan, 400-900 ft AGL.
Mixing height....... inland, 2300-2800 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300
                    ft AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....East 0 to 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-100 (poor to poor).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.27 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........52-57 percent near Lake Michigan and 42-47
                    percent Inland.
   24 hr trend......6 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 8
                    percent drier Inland.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    southwest in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5800-6300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and
                    7700-8200 ft AGL inland.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....400-500 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ051-052-057>059-262015-
Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton-
Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia,
and St. Johns
348 AM EDT Fri May 26 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....69-74.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........46-51 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 7 mph until midday becoming
                    light.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5100-5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) until 0600, then
                    partly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers until 0200.
Chance of precipitation 20 percent in the evening.
Min temperature.....Around 55.
   24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph
                    overnight.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3500-4000 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the east
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....0-300 (poor to good).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.09 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Max temperature.....76-81.
   24 hr trend......10 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........41-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......10 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 5 mph shifting to the south
                    in the afternoon.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......7100-7600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....300-400 (good to good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$

MIZ065>067-072>074-262015-
Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson-
Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo,
Battle Creek, and Jackson
348 AM EDT Fri May 26 2017

.Today...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
Max temperature.....68-73.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........48-53 percent.
   24 hr trend......29 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest winds around 7 mph until midday
                    becoming light.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......4500-5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....500-600 (good to excellent).
Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of
                    thunderstorms until 0200. chance of rain
                    showers.
Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 57.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer.
Max humidity........95-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3100-3600 ft AGL decreasing to 0-300 ft AGL
                    overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 5 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....0-200 (poor to fair).
Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.27 in.

.SATURDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....75-80.
   24 hr trend......9 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........44-49 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......East winds around 6 mph shifting to the
                    southeast in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......7200-7700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....400 (good).
Pcpn Amount.........None.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms
overnight. Lows in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Highs in the lower 70s. South winds 5 to 9 mph shifting to the west
7 to 12 mph in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
5 to 10 mph.
.MEMORIAL DAY...Mostly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 60s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. West winds
6 to 11 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the mid
60s. West winds 9 to 14 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 60s.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 60s.

$$

wdm



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