Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Huntsville, AL

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FNUS54 KHUN 161932
FWFHUN

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR NORTHERN ALABAMA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HUNTSVILLE AL
132 PM CST MON JAN 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...

ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS AREAS EAST OF INTERSTATE 65
THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE AFTERNOON HOURS, AS A WEAK DISTURBANCE
MOVES THROUGH THE MS VALLEY. A COLD FRONT, CURRENTLY OVER EAST TX,
WILL SHIFT EASTWARD THROUGH THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD AND BRING THE
CHANCE FOR LIGHT TO MODERATE RAIN SHOWERS. THESE SHOWERS MAY ENTER
NW AL PRIOR TO SUNRISE ON TUESDAY, HOWEVER THE GREATEST CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS WILL BE DURING THE DAY TUESDAY AS THE COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH.
ISOLATED THUNDER IS ALSO POSSIBLE, THOUGH CONFIDENCE IS ON THE LOWER
SIDE ABOUT THIS OCCURRING. WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN FROM THE
SOUTH AND MAY BECOME GUSTY AT TIMES THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AND INTO
WEDNESDAY.

THERE WILL BE A BRIEF BREAK IN PRECIP CHANCES ON WEDNESDAY AS AN
UPPER LEVEL RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE AREA. THIS WILL QUICKLY PUSH
EAST AS A STRONGER DISTURBANCE MOVES EAST OF THE ROCKIES. THIS UPPER
LOW AND ASSOCIATED SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL BRING A HIGHER CHANCE FOR
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS BEGINNING ON THURSDAY AND CONTINUING
THROUGH MIDDAY FRIDAY. FORCING ALONG THIS FRONT MAY BE ENOUGH TO
PRODUCE STRONG STORMS WITH GUSTY WINDS. HOWEVER, DUE TO SOME
DISCREPANCIES IN FORECAST GUIDANCE, THE TIMING AND EXACT STRENGTH OF
THE THUNDERSTORMS REMAINS SOMEWHAT UNCERTAIN.

ALZ001>003-171030-
LAUDERDALE-COLBERT-FRANKLIN AL-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...FLORENCE...MUSCLE SHOALS...SHEFFIELD...
TUSCUMBIA...RUSSELLVILLE...RED BAY
132 PM CST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP                  59           71           47           61
RH %                  98           68           96           63
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  SW  8                     LGT/VAR
20FT WND MPH (PM)     S  8         SW  6        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     40           70           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
PRECIP DURATION       0-2          2-4          1-2          0-1
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.06         0.35         0.14         0.01
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3400                      1500
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 17                     E  2
LAL                   1            2            2            1
STABILITY CLASS       D            D            D            C
MAX LVORI             6                         9
DISPERSION                         38 FAIR                   4 VERY POOR

REMARKS...NONE.


$$

ALZ004-014-171030-
LAWRENCE-WINSTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MOULTON...TOWN CREEK...HALEYVILLE
132 PM CST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP                  59           71           50           62
RH %                  97           67           97           64
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  S  8                      LGT/VAR
20FT WND MPH (PM)     S  7         SW  7        LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           60           30
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
PRECIP DURATION       0-2          2-4          1-2          0-1
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.30         0.21         0.02
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3800                      2800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     SE  3
LAL                   1            2            2            1
STABILITY CLASS       D            D            D            C
MAX LVORI             7                         9
DISPERSION                         56 GEN GOOD               5 VERY POOR

REMARKS...NONE.


$$

ALZ005>007-016-171030-
LIMESTONE-MADISON-MORGAN-CULLMAN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ATHENS...HUNTSVILLE...DECATUR...CULLMAN
132 PM CST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP                  58           71           50           62
RH %                  96           67           96           63
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  S  9 G17                  LGT/VAR
20FT WND MPH (PM)     S  7         SW  8        SW  5        LGT/VAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           60           70           40
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
PRECIP DURATION       0-1          1-2          2-4          0-2
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.27         0.26         0.02
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3700                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     NW  2
LAL                   1            2            2            1
STABILITY CLASS       D            D            D            C
MAX LVORI             6                         9
DISPERSION                         52 GEN GOOD               6 VERY POOR

REMARKS...NONE.


$$

ALZ008>010-171030-
MARSHALL-JACKSON-DE KALB-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ALBERTVILLE...BOAZ...GUNTERSVILLE...
ARAB...SCOTTSBORO...FORT PAYNE...RAINSVILLE
132 PM CST MON JAN 16 2017

                      TONIGHT      TUE          TUE NIGHT    WED

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        CLOUDY       CLOUDY       MCLDY
TEMP                  55           69           50           60
RH %                  95           68           95           58
20FT WND MPH (AM)                  S  8                      LGT/VAR
20FT WND MPH (PM)     S  7         SW  8        SW  6        LGT/VAR
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           60           70           40
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      TSTMS        TSTMS        SHOWERS
PRECIP DURATION       0-1          1-2          2-4          0-2
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.17         0.38         0.02
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3000                      3300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                SW 20                     W  5
LAL                   1            2            2            1
STABILITY CLASS       D            C            D            C
MAX LVORI             6                         9
DISPERSION                         46 GEN GOOD               11 POOR

REMARKS...NONE.


$$


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 40 PERCENT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM
RH 76 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. LOWS IN THE
MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH 100 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. HIGHS
IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
97 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. MINIMUM RH 63 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
5 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 60 PERCENT. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. MAXIMUM RH
99 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LIKELY. CHANCE OF
PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. MINIMUM RH
57 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...SHOWERS LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS.
CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 70 PERCENT. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. MAXIMUM
RH 92 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A 50 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. MINIMUM RH 66 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH.


$$


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