Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 191915
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
315 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE WILL DEVELOP AND MOVE NORTH...PASSING OFF THE
CAROLINA COAST SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO
REMAIN FAR ENOUGH OFFSHORE SUCH THAT ITS IMPACTS WILL BE LIMITED.
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA MONDAY. HIGH PRESSURE WILL
BUILD BACK DOWN THE COAST ON TUESDAY...BRINGING A COOL AND DRY
NORTHEAST FLOW.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...NONE.

NCZ105>110-201115-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-
INLAND BRUNSWICK-COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH...
WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...
BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...
SOUTHPORT
315 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           40           30           20
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN
LAL                   3            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          64           81           65           84
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E 12 G26     NE 11 G22    NE  9        NW  8
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 11 G23    NE 10        N  9         NW  6
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.04         0.05         0.04         0.02
PRECIP DURATION       1            2            1            1
INVERSION             1900         70/0900      2000         72/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          61           94           50
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            4
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3770                      4120
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 17                     NE 12
VENTILATION RATE                   64090                     49440
ADI EARLY             50 GEN GOOD  46 GEN GOOD  44 GEN GOOD  11 POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       58 GEN GOOD  8 POOR       8 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       4            7            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        7            2            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 60S. MAXIMUM RH
87 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 94 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-201115-
ROBESON-BLADEN-COLUMBUS-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN...WHITEVILLE
315 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        20           20           20           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      RAIN         RAIN         NONE
LAL                   2            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          62           81           62           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E 10 G20     NE  9        NE  6        NW  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 10        NE  8        N  6         W  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.01         0.02         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
INVERSION             1900         67/0900      2000         70/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        95           57           94           49
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3750                      4100
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 16                     NE  6
VENTILATION RATE                   60000                     24600
ADI EARLY             33 FAIR      25 FAIR      34 FAIR      4 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              5 VERY POOR  52 GEN GOOD  4 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            1            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
89 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH 92 PERCENT. NORTHEAST
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
49 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 56 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-201115-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
315 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           50           20           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE
LAL                   3            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          63           80           64           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E 11 G23     NE 11 G22    NE  8        NW  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 11 G22    NE 11 G20    N  7         NW  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.18         0.07         0.04         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            2            1
INVERSION             1900         70/0900      2000         71/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        100          63           96           49
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3350                      3690
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 20                     NW  8
VENTILATION RATE                   67000                     29520
ADI EARLY             52 GEN GOOD  38 FAIR      39 FAIR      8 POOR
ADI LATE              9 POOR       50 GEN GOOD  9 POOR       9 POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            7            5            6
MAX LVORI LATE        7            3            6            3

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGHS AROUND
80. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO
20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 61 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOWS
IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH 96 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGHS AROUND
80. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-201115-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
315 PM EDT FRI SEP 19 2014

                      TONIGHT      SAT          SAT NIGHT    SUN

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           20           20           0
PRECIP TYPE           SHOWERS      SHOWERS      RAIN         NONE
LAL                   3            1            1            1
MIN/MAX TEMP          61           81           62           85
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)E 10 G20     NE 10        NE  6        NW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) NE 10        NE  8        N  6         W  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.02         0.01         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            1
INVERSION             1900         67/0900      2000         70/0900
MAX/MIN RH (%)        98           57           95           47
DSI                                2                         2
HAINES INDEX          3            3            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)                3680                      4030
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NE 18                     NE  6
VENTILATION RATE                   66240                     24180
ADI EARLY             35 FAIR      26 FAIR      31 FAIR      4 VERY POOR
ADI LATE              8 POOR       48 GEN GOOD  3 VERY POOR  4 VERY POOR
MAX LVORI EARLY       5            6            6            6
MAX LVORI LATE        6            2            6            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 60S. MAXIMUM RH
88 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 51 PERCENT. NORTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR WITH A 20 PERCENT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH 95 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 49 PERCENT.
NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. MAXIMUM RH
90 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
50 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 60. MAXIMUM RH
91 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 60S. MAXIMUM RH 97 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SPRINKLES. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION ABOVE NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

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