Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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000
FNUS52 KILM 250819
FWFILM

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST
FOR NORTHEAST SOUTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEAST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON NC
419 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

.DISCUSSION...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AHEAD OF A COLD
FRONT WHICH WILL CROSS THE AREA TONIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE WILL BUILD
INTO THE AREA FOR THE WEEKEND WITH TEMPERATURES ABOVE NORMAL.
UNSETTLED WEATHER WILL DEVELOP EARLY NEXT WEEK AND LIKELY PERSIST FOR
A FEW DAYS AS A LARGE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE DRIFTS ACROSS THE COUNTRY.

WIND PROFILE ANALYSIS/FIRE CONTROL OVER FLAT TERRAIN IS FAVORABLE.

FOG POTENTIAL FOR TONIGHT...LOW

NCZ099-107>110-260030-
COLUMBUS-INLAND NEW HANOVER-COASTAL NEW HANOVER-INLAND BRUNSWICK-
COASTAL BRUNSWICK-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WHITEVILLE...WILMINGTON...CAROLINA BEACH...
WRIGHTSVILLE BEACH...LELAND...BOLIVIA...SHALLOTTE...
OCEAN ISLE BEACH...HOLDEN BEACH...OAK ISLAND...SOUTHPORT
419 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        40           20           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   3            2            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           56           79
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  8         SW 10 G21    N  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 14 G21     NW  7        E  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1            0
INVERSION             69/1000      2000         63/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        51           93           27
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   4580                      6070
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 31                      W  5
VENTILATION RATE      141980                    30350
ADI EARLY             51 GEN GOOD  66 GOOD      75 GOOD
ADI LATE              97 GOOD      8 POOR       76 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            7
MAX LVORI LATE        1            7            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 50 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 62 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS
10 TO 15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
58 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

NCZ087-096-260030-
ROBESON-BLADEN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUMBERTON...ELIZABETHTOWN
419 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   3            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           55           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  8         SW  8        NW  5
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 14 G20     NW  7        NW  3
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.12         0.03         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            0
INVERSION             67/1000      2000         60/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        47           91           25
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5350                      6400
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W  8
VENTILATION RATE      149800                    51200
ADI EARLY             56 GEN GOOD  55 GEN GOOD  64 GOOD
ADI LATE              96 GOOD      12 POOR      65 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           4            6
MAX LVORI LATE        1            6            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
MINIMUM RH 36 PERCENT. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S. MINIMUM RH 55 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 60.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 52 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO
15 MPH.

$$

SCZ053>056-260030-
INLAND HORRY-COASTAL HORRY-INLAND GEORGETOWN-COASTAL GEORGETOWN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONWAY...MYRTLE BEACH...
NORTH MYRTLE BEACH...GARDEN CITY...ANDREWS...GEORGETOWN...
MURRELLS INLET
419 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   3            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           56           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  9         SW 10 G21    N  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 15 G22     NW  6        E  5
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.05         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1
INVERSION             70/1000      2000         63/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        50           94           30
DSI                   2                         3
HAINES INDEX          3            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5300                      6410
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 28                     W  3
VENTILATION RATE      148400                    19230
ADI EARLY             65 GOOD      63 GOOD      70 GOOD
ADI LATE              96 GOOD      1 VERY POOR  69 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        1            8            2

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 41 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...BREEZY. MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH
60 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-260030-
MARLBORO-DARLINGTON-DILLON-FLORENCE-MARION-WILLIAMSBURG-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BENNETTSVILLE...DARLINGTON...DILLON...
FLORENCE...MARION...KINGSTREE
419 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        30           0            0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        NONE         NONE
LAL                   3            1            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          82           54           82
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  8         W 10         N  6
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) SW 15 G21    NW  6        N  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.08         0.00         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       1
INVERSION             69/1000      2000         61/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        46           94           25
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            4            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   6020                      7040
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   SW 26                     W  5
VENTILATION RATE      156520                    35200
ADI EARLY             65 GOOD      58 GEN GOOD  59 GEN GOOD
ADI LATE              91 GOOD      8 POOR       60 GEN GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           5            8
MAX LVORI LATE        1            8            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
MINIMUM RH 35 PERCENT. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER
80S. MINIMUM RH 47 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS AROUND 80. MINIMUM RH 54 PERCENT. SOUTH
WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

NCZ105-106-260030-
INLAND PENDER-COASTAL PENDER-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BURGAW...SURF CITY...TOPSAIL BEACH
419 AM EDT FRI APR 25 2014

                      TODAY        TONIGHT      SAT

CLOUD AMOUNT          PCLDY        MCLEAR       CLEAR
PRECIP CHC (%)        50           30           0
PRECIP TYPE           TSTMS        TSTMS        NONE
LAL                   3            3            1
MAX/MIN TEMP          81           56           80
WND20FT2MIN/EARLY(MPH)S  7         SW 10 G20    NW  7
WND20FT2MIN/LATE(MPH) S 14 G20     W  7         NW  4
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.09         0.02         0.00
PRECIP DURATION       2            1
INVERSION             69/1000      2000         62/0900
MIN/MAX RH (%)        48           91           25
DSI                   3                         3
HAINES INDEX          4            3            5
MIXING HGT (FT-AGL)   5270                      6140
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 32                      W  7
VENTILATION RATE      168640                    42980
ADI EARLY             51 GEN GOOD  74 GOOD      79 GOOD
ADI LATE              107 VERY GOOD11 POOR      81 GOOD
MAX LVORI EARLY       10           4            7
MAX LVORI LATE        1            8            1

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
MINIMUM RH 37 PERCENT. WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
70S. MINIMUM RH 46 PERCENT. SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH 57 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 60S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. MINIMUM RH
53 PERCENT. SOUTH WINDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL.  PRECIPITATION BELOW NORMAL.

$$


     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
    0 TO 17249                 1             0 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI IS ATMOSPHERIC DISPERSION INDEX BY LAVDAS.
LVORI IS LOW VISIBILITY OCCURRENCE RISK INDEX.

$$

III






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