Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 101958
FWFMRX

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EAST TENNESSEE...SOUTHWEST
VIRGINIA...AND EXTREME SOUTHWEST NORTH CAROLINA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MORRISTOWN TN
258 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD ARCTIC AIRMASS WILL SLOWLY MODERATE ACROSS THE
AREA STARTING TOMORROW. A WEAK UPPER LEVEL SYSTEM AND COLD FRONT
WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY...PRODUCING A CHANCE OF SNOW AND
RAIN. ARCTIC AIR WILL MOVE BACK INTO THE SOUTHERN APPALACHIANS THIS
WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-112100-
JEFFERSON NATIONAL FOREST/VIRGINIA DISTRICT 6-
258 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      10-15 (-3)   26-31 (+7)   12-17        32-37
RH % (24H TREND)      86-91 (+6)   42-47 (-12)  84-89        46-51
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G16     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            50
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5100                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 13                      SW 14
DISPERSION                         31 FAIR                   21 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  7                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 10 G20     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 10 TO
19. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
15 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 1 TO 10. NORTH
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
LOWER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-112100-
NORTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
258 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      9-14 (-1)    25-30 (+7)   12-17        32-37
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (-3)   40-45 (-10)  87-92        45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  8 G17                 S  5
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G23     W  7         LGT/VAR      W  7
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            40
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.03
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5400                      3900
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 15                      W 14
DISPERSION                         33 FAIR                   12 POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW 10 G21                 S  7
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 14 G29     W  9 G17     LGT/VAR      W  9 G18

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS 11 TO
22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. HIGHS
14 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 1 TO 13. NORTH
WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ072-074-112100-
TENNESSEE PORTION OF THE GREAT SMOKY MOUNTAIN NATIONAL PARK-
258 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      13-18 (+5)   30-35 (+10)  15-20        36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      89-94 (+1)   42-47 (-7)   80-85        40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G19     NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 5300                      4200
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 13                     W 15
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   14 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  6 G17                 SW  6
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W 11 G24     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  9 G19

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 12 TO 23. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER TEENS TO LOWER 30S.
NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 4 TO 15. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 15 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 30S TO UPPER 40S. WEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.

$$

TNZ087-102-112100-
SOUTHERN CHEROKEE NATIONAL FOREST-
258 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+5)   36-41 (+12)  20-25        41-46
RH % (24H TREND)      81-86 (0)    41-46 (-5)   72-77        40-45
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM
PRECIP END            7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4300                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  9                     W 13
DISPERSION                         17 GEN POOR               19 GEN POOR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   S  5
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 16 TO 25. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 9 TO 18. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
30S. SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

NCZ060-061-112100-
NANTAHALA NATIONAL FOREST-
258 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      18-23 (+5)   38-43 (+14)  21-26        40-45
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-6)   37-42 (-6)   71-76        43-48
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         NW  5        LGT/VAR      W  6
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM
PRECIP END            7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      4000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW 10                     W 10
DISPERSION                         22 FAIR                   15 GEN POOR
MAX LVORI                          3                         3
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  NW  5                     LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  8 G17     NW  6        LGT/VAR      W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO MID 30S. NORTH
WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 10 TO 17. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE MID 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S.
SOUTHWEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 40S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 30S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-112100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT EAST-
258 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      15-20 (+1)   30-35 (+8)   15-20        36-41
RH % (24H TREND)      76-81 (-4)   39-44 (-8)   84-89        45-50
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  5                      LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  7 G15     W  5         LGT/VAR      W  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     20           0            0            30
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.02
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4700                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 12                      W 13
DISPERSION                         32 FAIR                   24 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  6                      LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  9 G18     W  6         LGT/VAR      W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS 12 TO 22. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS 16 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 2 TO 14. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S
TO MID 30S. SOUTHEAST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO MID 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S TO LOWER
50S. WEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-112100-
EAST TENNESSEE DISTRICT WEST-
258 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      17-22 (+2)   33-38 (+10)  17-22        39-44
RH % (24H TREND)      83-88 (+10)  39-44 (-5)   83-88        41-46
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         SNOW/RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            20
PRECIP DURATION       1                                      1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM                                   7 AM
PRECIP END            7 AM                                   CONTINUING
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.02         0.00         0.00         0.01
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 4400                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                NW  8                     W 13
DISPERSION                         21 FAIR                   29 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  6         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  7

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 17 TO 24. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 20S TO MID 30S.
NORTH WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. COLDER. LOWS 6 TO 17. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO
UPPER 30S. SOUTH WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW AND RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW. LOWS AROUND 30.
HIGHS IN THE 40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S TO LOWER 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO
10 MPH.

$$

TNZ076-077-079>085-097>101-112100-
CUMBERLAND DISTRICT SOUTH-
258 PM EST WED FEB 10 2016 /158 PM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

                      TONIGHT      THU          THU NIGHT    FRI

CLOUD COVER           MCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY
TEMP (24H TREND)      19-24 (+4)   37-42 (+11)  21-26        44-49
RH % (24H TREND)      77-82 (+3)   37-42 (-2)   82-87        38-43
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  5
PRECIP TYPE           SNOW SHOWERS NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION       1
PRECIP BEGIN          7 PM
PRECIP END            7 AM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.03         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 3800                      3800
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                N  6                      W 12
DISPERSION                         14 GEN POOR               27 FAIR
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  LGT/VAR                   LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     W  5         LGT/VAR      LGT/VAR      W  6

REMARKS...NONE.

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS 19 TO 28. NORTHWEST WINDS UP
TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE 20S TO UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. COLDER. LOWS 12 TO 21. NORTHEAST
WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW. HIGHS IN THE 30S TO
LOWER 40S. SOUTH WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...SNOW OR RAIN LIKELY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 30S TO LOWER 40S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO LOWER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE 40S
TO MID 50S. WEST WINDS UP TO 10 MPH.

$$


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