Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 270848
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
348 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED LIGHT RAIN SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
THROUGH TUESDAY AS A WARM FRONT LIFTS NORTH ACROSS THE REGION.
UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED FOR THE FIRST HALF
OF THE WEEK AHEAD OF AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT. THIS FRONT WILL
BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR SOME STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS BY
WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-281000-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
348 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (+12)  42-47 (+14)  63-68
RH % (24h trend)      26-31 (+3)   87-92 (+24)  53-58
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  6 G21                  S  6 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G24     S  8 G21     SW 10 G25
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     10           20           50
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.05         0.20
LAL                   1            1            4
LASI                  5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      4000
Transport wnd (mph)   S 14                      SW 18
Dispersion            40 Fair                   28 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  8 G21                  S  8 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G24     S 11 G21     SW 13 G25

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 50s.
Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the 20s to upper 30s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Much cooler. Highs in the 40s to lower
50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to
40s. North winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Warmer. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the mid 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-281000-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
348 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (+10)  41-46 (+14)  63-68
RH % (24h trend)      29-34 (+6)   90-95 (+24)  51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S  7 G19                  S  6 G17
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G30     S 11 G30     S  8 G20
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     0            30           30
Precip duration                    1            1
Precip begin                       Continuing   Continuing
Precip end                         Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.00         0.02         0.10
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI                  5                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5400                      4300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 16                      S 16
Dispersion            34 Fair                   19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S  9 G19                  S  8 G17
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G30     S 15 G30     S 11 G20

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Highs in the lower
60s to mid 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the 20s to upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Much cooler. Highs in the upper 30s to
lower 50s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the 30s to
lower 50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows around
40. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds up to
10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-281000-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
348 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      52-57 (+8)   44-49 (+15)  63-68
RH % (24h trend)      29-34 (+7)   93-98 (+34)  56-61
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     S 10 G29                  S  8 G23
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G38     S 14 G39     SW 10 G24
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           30           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.02         0.11
LAL                   2            1            4
LASI                  5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5700                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)   S 20                      SW 20
Dispersion            42 Gen good               25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     S 13 G29                  S 10 G23
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G38     S 18 G39     SW 12 G24

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the mid 20s to upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Much cooler. Highs in the 30s to mid
50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 30s
to lower 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to 50s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 40s to mid 60s. Southwest winds up
to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-281000-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
348 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      54-59 (+5)   46-51 (+16)  65-70
RH % (24h trend)      33-38 (+12)  95-100 (+30) 63-68
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE 10 G24                 S  7 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G32     SE 13 G30    S  8 G18
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           40           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.08         0.04         0.10
LAL                   2            1            4
LASI                  5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      3500
Transport wnd (mph)   S 21                      S 16
Dispersion            39 Fair                   20 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE 13 G24                 S  9 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 17 G32     SE 16 G30    S 11 G18

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the 20s to upper 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Highs in the lower 40s to mid
50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper
30s to lower 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-281000-
Nantahala National Forest-
348 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
TEMP (24H TREND)      54-59 (+5)   44-49 (+16)  63-68
RH % (24H TREND)      34-39 (+13)  95-100 (+25) 68-73
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 10 G25                 S  5 G15
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 12 G28     SE 11 G28    S  7 G15
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        showers      tstms
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     30           30           60
PRECIP DURATION       1            1            3
PRECIP BEGIN          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.07         0.02         0.07
LAL                   2            1            4
LASI                  5                         3
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5300                      3700
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   S 18                      S 14
DISPERSION            45 Gen good               16 Gen poor
MAX LVORI             3                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     SE 12 G25                 S  7 G15
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 15 G28     SE 14 G28    S  9

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to lower
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Highs in the lower 40s to mid
50s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the upper
30s to lower 50s. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-281000-
East Tennessee District East-
348 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      57-62 (+11)  43-48 (+15)  67-72
RH % (24h trend)      30-35 (+6)   88-93 (+17)  51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  6 G15                 S  5 G15
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S  9 G21     SE  7 G20    SW  8 G19
Precip type           showers      showers      showers
Chance precip (%)     20           20           40
Precip duration       1            1            1
Precip begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.01         0.03         0.15
LAL                   1            1            3
LASI                  5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3000                      3600
Transport wnd (mph)   S 12                      SW 14
Dispersion            16 Gen poor               25 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  7 G15                 S  6 G15
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G21     SE  9 G20    SW 10 G19

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to mid
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Much colder.
Lows in the 20s to upper 30s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Much cooler. Highs in the lower 40s to
mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s to lower 50s. East winds up to 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. South winds less
than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-281000-
East Tennessee District West-
348 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      55-60 (+7)   46-51 (+17)  65-70
RH % (24h trend)      33-38 (+10)  91-96 (+24)  59-64
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     SE  5 G19                 S  6 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 12 G30     S  7 G23     SW  9 G22
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     30           40           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.03         0.09         0.15
LAL                   2            1            4
LASI                  5                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4400                      3200
Transport wnd (mph)   S 15                      S 20
Dispersion            41 Gen good               32 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)     SE  7 G19                 S  8 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G30     S 10 G23     SW 11 G22

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s to lower 60s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 60s to
lower 70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Much colder.
Lows in the 30s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the 40s
to lower 50s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-281000-
Cumberland District South-
348 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017 /248 AM CST Mon Feb 27 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Tue

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        MCldy
Temp (24h trend)      53-58 (+3)   47-52 (+15)  64-69
RH % (24h trend)      41-46 (+16)  95-100 (+28) 68-73
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     E  5 G15                  S  7 G20
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 11 G31     S  8 G20     S  9 G21
Precip type           tstms        showers      tstms
Chance precip (%)     60           50           60
Precip duration       1            1            3
Precip begin          7 AM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.12         0.10         0.12
LAL                   2            1            4
LASI                  4                         2
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    3500                      2300
Transport wnd (mph)   S 18                      S 20
Dispersion            36 Fair                   19 Gen poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     E  7 G15                  S  9 G20
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 14 G31     S 10 G20     S 12 G21

Remarks...None.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...Cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 50s. South winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms. Highs in the 60s to mid
70s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Much colder.
Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Cooler. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s.
West winds up to 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to mid
50s. Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the 50s
to lower 60s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. South winds less than
10 mph.

$$


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