Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 301911
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
311 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

.DISCUSSION...
AN APPROACHING LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM AND ASSOCIATED
FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
AREA TONIGHT AND INTO FRIDAY. THE PRECIPITATION WILL TAPER OFF
DURING THE DAY ON FRIDAY...LEADING TO A WARM AND DRY WEEKEND.


VAZ001-002-005-006-008-312015-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
311 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (0)    58-63 (-13)  40-45        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+9)  52-57 (+7)   87-92        51-56
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 10 G27                 NW  8 G21
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 13 G32    W 11 G27     W  9 G21     NW  6 G15
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           80           30           0
Precip duration       3            3            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 AM
Precip amount         0.57         0.19         0.03         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5300                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                SW 21                     NW 17
Dispersion                         58 Gen good               51 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 13 G27                 NW 10 G21
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 17 G32    W 13 G27     W 11 G21     NW  7 G15

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 40. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. East winds
less than 10 mph early in the morning becoming light.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to
lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-312015-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
311 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      49-54 (+1)   58-63 (-7)   39-44        54-59
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  48-53 (-7)   86-91        47-52
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 10 G26                 NW 11 G28
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 15 G39    W 13 G28     W 12 G31     NW  8 G22
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           70           30           0
Precip duration       3            2            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 AM
Precip amount         0.77         0.22         0.02         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5600                      5700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 20                      NW 22
Dispersion                         49 Gen good               56 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 12 G26                 NW 14 G28
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 17 G39    W 16 G28     W 15 G31     NW 10 G22

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 40. Northeast winds up
to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. Light winds
becoming south less than 10 mph early in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 50s to lower 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the 50s to mid 70s. Southwest winds
up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ072-074-312015-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
311 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      47-52 (-2)   57-62 (-12)  39-44        57-62
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+7)  47-52 (-1)   86-91        41-46
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 11 G27                  NW  6 G19
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G43     W 13 G31     W 12 G32     N  5
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           40           20           0
Precip duration       4            1            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing   8 AM
Precip amount         0.74         0.07         0.01         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6800                      5500
Transport wnd (mph)                W 23                      NW 15
Dispersion                         74 Good                   29 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 13 G27                  NW  9 G19
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 20 G43     W 17 G31     W 15 G32     N  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the southwest early in the
afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the mid 50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. East winds up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 50s to lower 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ087-102-312015-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
311 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-1)   61-66 (-13)  41-46        64-69
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+4)   44-49 (+4)   86-91        37-42
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  9 G23                  N  7 G16
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 15 G35     W 11 G24     NW  9 G23    N  8 G18
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           10           0            0
Precip duration       4            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   8 PM
Precip amount         0.75         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 6700                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)                W 22                      N 16
Dispersion                         87 Good                   39 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 12 G23                  N  9
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 18 G35     W 14 G24     NW 11 G23    N 10 G18

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. South winds less
than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the upper 50s to lower 70s. East winds less than
10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 70s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

NCZ060-061-312015-
Nantahala National Forest-
311 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

CLOUD COVER           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
TEMP (24H TREND)      49-54 (+2)   61-66 (-10)  41-46        65-70
RH % (24H TREND)      95-100 (+1)  45-50 (-4)   87-92        36-41
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W  9 G22                  NW  8 G21
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 13 G32     W 12 G25     NW 10 G25    N  8 G17
PRECIP TYPE           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     80           20           0            0
PRECIP DURATION       4            1
PRECIP BEGIN          8 PM         Continuing
PRECIP END            Continuing   8 PM
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.83         0.02         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         4
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)                 7000                      5300
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)                W 22                      NW 17
DISPERSION                         88 Good                   44 Gen good
MAX LVORI                          4                         4
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)                  W 11 G22                  NW 11 G21
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     S 16 G32     W 15 G25     NW 13 G25    N  9 G17

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
East winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the 40s
to upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the upper
50s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. South winds
up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-312015-
East Tennessee District East-
311 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           Cloudy       MCldy        MCldy        PCldy
Temp (24h trend)      51-56 (+1)   60-65 (-13)  42-47        58-63
RH % (24h trend)      95-100 (+3)  49-54 (+5)   85-90        44-49
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  SW 11 G31                 W  8 G18
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     SE 10 G29    W 12 G29     W 10 G22     NW  5
Precip type           tstms        showers      showers      NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           70           0            0
Precip duration       3            2
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   Continuing
Precip amount         0.59         0.13         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5300                      5300
Transport wnd (mph)                W 22                      NW 15
Dispersion                         74 Good                   48 Gen good
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  SW 15 G31                 W  9 G18
33ft wind-PM(mph)     SE 13 G29    W 15 G29     W 12 G22     NW  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. East winds
less than 10 mph early in the morning becoming light.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in
the upper 40s to mid 50s. Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the lower 60s to mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the upper
40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 60s to
mid 70s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the lower 50s to mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-312015-
East Tennessee District West-
311 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        MCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-3)   61-66 (-15)  42-47        62-67
RH % (24h trend)      91-96 (+6)   46-51 (+8)   85-90        38-43
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W 10 G25                  NW  5
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 10 G33     W 10 G25     W  8 G20     N  5
Precip type           tstms        showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     90           20           0            0
Precip duration       4            1
Precip begin          8 PM         Continuing
Precip end            Continuing   5 PM
Precip amount         0.90         0.04         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               3                         3
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5800                      5000
Transport wnd (mph)                W 22                      NW 13
Dispersion                         87 Good                   39 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 13 G25                  NW  6
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G33     W 13 G25     W 10 G20     N  6

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s to upper 40s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 60s to upper 70s. East winds less
than 10 mph shifting to the south early in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the
50s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in
the 60s to lower 70s. South winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 50.
Highs in the lower 60s to mid 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40.
Highs in the 50s to mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-312015-
Cumberland District South-
311 PM EDT Thu Mar 30 2017 /211 PM CDT Thu Mar 30 2017/

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        PCldy        MClear
Temp (24h trend)      50-55 (-5)   62-67 (-14)  42-47        66-71
RH % (24h trend)      89-94 (+3)   44-49 (+6)   87-92        36-41
20ft Wind-AM(mph)                  W  9 G23                  N  6
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     S 13 G34     W 10 G23     NW  7 G17    N  7
Precip type           tstms        NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     80           0            0            0
Precip duration       4
Precip begin          8 PM
Precip end            8 AM
Precip amount         0.73         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   5            1            1            1
LASI                               4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)                 5400                      4700
Transport wnd (mph)                W 20                      N 14
Dispersion                         72 Good                   40 Fair
33ft wind-AM(mph)                  W 11 G23                  N  8
33ft wind-PM(mph)     S 16 G34     W 13 G23     NW  8 G17    N  8

Remarks...None.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 40s. Northeast winds
less than 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Sunny. Highs in the 70s. East winds less than 10 mph
shifting to the south early in the afternoon.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Warmer. Lows in
the upper 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers and chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the mid
60s to lower 70s. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
50s. Highs in the 60s to mid 70s. East winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows around 50. Highs in the upper 60s to mid 70s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Cooler. Lows in the
lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northwest winds
5 to 10 mph.

$$



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