Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Knoxville/Tri Cities, TN

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000
FNUS54 KMRX 190817
FWFMRX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for East Tennessee...Southwest
Virginia...and Extreme Southwest North Carolina
National Weather Service Morristown TN
317 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

.DISCUSSION...
Temperatures will turn colder today behind an exiting
cold front, with highs mainly in the 40s. Dry weather with a gradual
warming trend can be expected through the first half of the week.



VAZ001-002-005-006-008-200930-
Jefferson National Forest/Virginia District 6-
317 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      39-44 (-19)  24-29 (-10)  47-52
RH % (24h trend)      47-52 (+1)   75-80 (-11)  27-32
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 13 G29                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 12 G27     W  9 G23     LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            1 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5800                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3700                      1100
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 21                     SW  6
Dispersion            68 Good                   5 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 16 G29                 SW  5
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 15 G27     W 11 G23     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. West winds
up to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the upper 30s to lower 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 30. Highs in the 40s to mid
50s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower
30s. Highs in the 40s to mid 50s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ018-041-043-045-047-200930-
Northern Cherokee National Forest-
317 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           MCldy        PCldy        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      37-42 (-23)  22-27 (-12)  47-52
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (+1)   76-81 (-10)  25-30
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 16 G38                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 15 G34    NW 12 G32    LGT/VAR
Precip type           showers      NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     20           0            0
Precip duration       1
Precip begin          7 AM
Precip end            1 PM
Precip amount         0.01         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5600                      3300
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2900                      500
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 24                     SW  5
Dispersion            59 Gen good               1 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 20 G38                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 19 G34    NW 16 G32    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows near 30. South winds 5 to
15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. South
winds 5 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. West winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ072-074-200930-
Tennessee Portion Of The Great Smoky Mountain National Park-
317 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      38-43 (-19)  20-25 (-11)  49-54
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (-11)  81-86 (-9)   19-24
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 12 G30                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 11 G27    NW  8 G24    LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           3                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5200                      3500
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2200                      500
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 18                     SW  2
Dispersion            33 Fair                   0 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 15 G30                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 14 G27    NW 10 G24    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s. South
winds 10 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 40s to upper 50s. South winds 5 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the north after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
lower 40s to mid 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s
to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows in the mid
30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. West winds 5 to 15 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ087-102-200930-
Southern Cherokee National Forest-
317 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (-19)  21-26 (-14)  54-59
RH % (24h trend)      46-51 (-9)   86-91 (-1)   24-29
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 12 G26                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 11 G25    N  8 G21     LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         5
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4900                      3100
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   2900                      1000
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 18                     SE  2
Dispersion            43 Gen good               2 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 15 G26                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 14 G25    N 10 G21     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower to mid 30s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. South
winds 5 to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph shifting to the north after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up
to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

NCZ060-061-200930-
Nantahala National Forest-
317 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

CLOUD COVER           PCldy        Clear        Clear
TEMP (24H TREND)      43-48 (-14)  20-25 (-15)  55-60
RH % (24H TREND)      41-46 (-22)  85-90 (-5)   22-27
20FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 14 G30                 LGT/VAR
20FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 12 G27    N  9 G23     S  5
PRECIP TYPE           NONE         NONE         NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%)     0            0            0
PRECIP DURATION
PRECIP BEGIN
PRECIP END
PRECIP AMOUNT         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         5
MIXING HGT(FT-MSL)    5000                      3300
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)*   2700                      1000
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)   NW 20                     S  3
DISPERSION            45 Gen good               2 Very poor
MAX LVORI             3                         5
33FT WIND-AM(MPH)     NW 17 G30                 LGT/VAR
33FT WIND-PM(MPH)     NW 15 G27    N 11 G23     S  6

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Southeast winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Highs in the
upper 40s to mid 50s. South winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Southwest
winds less than 10 mph shifting to the north after midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the mid 40s to upper 50s.
Northeast winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s to
upper 50s. Northwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the
upper 40s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ015>017-038>040-042-044-046-070-200930-
East Tennessee District East-
317 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        PCldy        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      41-46 (-22)  23-28 (-14)  49-54
RH % (24h trend)      48-53 (-1)   81-86 (-4)   28-33
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     W 13 G28                  LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     W 12 G26     W  8 G21     LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5500                      2800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   4000                      1300
Transport wnd (mph)   W 20                      S  2
Dispersion            69 Good                   3 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     W 16 G28                  LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     W 15 G26     W 10 G21     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 20s to mid 30s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 40s to lower 60s.
Southwest winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to lower 40s.
West winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 40s to mid 50s.
Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the 40s
to mid 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s to lower 60s. West winds less than
10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ012>014-035>037-067>069-071-073-086-200930-
East Tennessee District West-
317 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        MClear       Clear
Temp (24h trend)      42-47 (-19)  23-28 (-11)  50-55
RH % (24h trend)      44-49 (-12)  85-90 (-1)   29-34
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 10 G23                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW  9 G21    NW  5 G17    LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    5100                      2800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3800                      1500
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 16                     SE  3
Dispersion            55 Gen good               4 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 13 G23                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 12 G21    NW  7 G17    LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the 30s. South winds up to
10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. Southwest
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
Southeast winds less than 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to 50s. Northeast
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid
40s to upper 50s. Light winds.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the mid 40s
to upper 50s. Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the
mid 30s. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. West winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$

TNZ077-079>085-097>101-200930-
Cumberland District South-
317 AM EST Sun Nov 19 2017 /217 AM CST Sun Nov 19 2017/

                      Today        Tonight      Mon

Cloud cover           PCldy        Clear        Clear
Temp (24h trend)      45-50 (-17)  23-28 (-12)  52-57
RH % (24h trend)      40-45 (-16)  85-90 (0)    28-33
20ft Wind-AM(mph)     NW 11 G24                 LGT/VAR
20ft Wind-PM(mph)     NW 10 G23    N  6 G18     LGT/VAR
Precip type           NONE         NONE         NONE
Chance precip (%)     0            0            0
Precip duration
Precip begin
Precip end
Precip amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
LAL                   1            1            1
LASI/Haines           4                         4
Mixing hgt(ft-MSL)    4700                      2800
Mixing hgt(ft-AGL)*   3600                      1600
Transport wnd (mph)   NW 17                     E  5
Dispersion            53 Gen good               6 Very poor
33ft wind-AM(mph)     NW 14 G24                 LGT/VAR
33ft wind-PM(mph)     NW 13 G23    N  7 G18     LGT/VAR

Remarks...None.

.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. South winds up
to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly sunny. Highs in the 50s to lower 60s. South
winds up to 10 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the 30s to lower 40s.
South winds less than 10 mph shifting to the northeast after
midnight.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Highs in the 40s to upper 50s. North
winds less than 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 40s
to upper 50s. North winds less than 10 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the 50s.
Southwest winds less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the
50s to lower 60s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.


*The AGL Mixing Height is calculated from an average elevation for
the entire Forecast Zone and should only be used as a guide.
For a specific AGL Mixing Height a Spot Forecast will be needed.

$$



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