Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

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000
FNUS55 KPSR 010949
FWFPSR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH-CENTRAL
ARIZONA AND SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PHOENIX AZ
249 AM MST SAT OCT 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
DRY CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY ALONG WITH A DECREASE IN
HUMIDITY BUT WITH GOOD RECOVERY TONIGHT. AFTERNOON WINDS TODAY WILL
BE A BIT STRONGER THAN YESTERDAY. ON SUNDAY...AN APPROACHING COLD
FRONT LEADS TO ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING OF THE WINDS...ESPECIALLY
OVER SOUTHEAST CALIFORNIA WHERE HUMIDITIES AND WINDS WILL APPROACH
CRITICAL THRESHOLDS. FURTHER EAST...THERE WILL BE A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTH-CENTRAL ARIZONA.
TEMPERATURES WILL BE NEAR AVERAGE THIS WEEKEND.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY GUSTY WINDS...

NOTE...ADDITIONAL FIRE WEATHER FORECAST INFORMATION CAN BE FOUND
IN THE AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION. SEE PRODUCT PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-012200-
WEST CENTRAL DESERTS/NORTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/GREATER PHOENIX
AREA/SOUTHWEST DESERTS/SOUTHWEST MARICOPA COUNTY/
NORTHWEST AND NORTH-CENTRAL PINAL COUNTY-
PHOENIX BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
249 AM MST SAT OCT 1 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................91-96.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................20-25 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......11300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTHWEST 7 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........VERY GOOD.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................68-78.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................46-61 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 15 TO 25 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................89-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................14-24 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR PHOENIX.......10100 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR PHOENIX......SOUTH 14 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR PHOENIX..........EXCELLENT.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-68. HIGHS 77-87.
WEST WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER
THAN 15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 55-65. HIGHS 80-88. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 55-65. HIGHS 85-91. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 57-67. HIGHS 88-94.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-70. HIGHS 90-95.

$$

AZZ133-012200-
SOUTHERN GILA COUNTY/TONTO NATIONAL FOREST FOOTHILLS-
SOUTHERN TONTO NF/WEST SAN CARLOS BIA/SOUTH PORTION FT APACHE BIA/
CAZ-
249 AM MST SAT OCT 1 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-91.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES WARMER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................23-33 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................9 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................MOSTLY CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................52-69.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................47-68 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................10 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING EAST AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE
  EVENING...BECOMING 15 TO 25 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
  SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-90.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................24-31 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTH 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING 10 PERCENT IN THE AFTERNOON.
* LAL.............................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 2 IN
  THE AFTERNOON.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 45-67. HIGHS 70-83. SOUTHWEST WINDS
10 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 41-60. HIGHS 68-81. NORTHWEST WINDS
5 TO 15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 41-60. HIGHS 72-85. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 43-62. HIGHS 75-88.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 46-66. HIGHS 77-90.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-012200-
YUMA/MARTINEZ LAKE AND VICINITY/LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY AZ-
LOWER COLORADO RIVER VALLEY CA-
249 AM MST SAT OCT 1 2016 /249 AM PDT SAT OCT 1 2016/

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................95-99.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................18-23 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..LIGHT AND VARIABLE IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........10300 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........SOUTH 10 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................70-74.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................39-53 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTH 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................92-96.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................7 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
* MIXING HEIGHT FOR YUMA..........7800 FT AGL.
* TRANSPORT WIND FOR YUMA.........WEST 9 KNOTS.
* DISPERSION FOR YUMA.............VERY GOOD.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...NOT AS WARM. CLEAR. LOWS 56-66. HIGHS 79-85. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN
15 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 56-63. HIGHS 84-88. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 57-67. HIGHS 87-92. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
10 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 60-68. HIGHS 90-94.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 61-68. HIGHS 92-96.

$$

CAZ230-012200-
JOSHUA TREE NATIONAL PARK-
249 AM PDT SAT OCT 1 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................80-93.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................16-23 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................60-69.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................29-35 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................76-89.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-16 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...NOT AS WARM. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 50-60. HIGHS 66-75.
NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 51-60. HIGHS 70-80. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 52-63. HIGHS 76-84. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 55-64. HIGHS 77-85.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 53-64. HIGHS 78-88.

$$

CAZ232-012200-
IMPERIAL COUNTY AND EASTERN RIVERSIDE COUNTY-
249 AM PDT SAT OCT 1 2016

.TODAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................91-99.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE CHANGE.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................16-22 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................LITTLE RH CHANGE.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................CLEAR.
* MIN TEMPERATURE.................68-72.
*    24 HR TREND..................3 DEGREES COOLER.
* MAX HUMIDITY....................33-49 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................8 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 15 MPH.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* SKY/WEATHER.....................SUNNY.
* MAX TEMPERATURE.................87-95.
*    24 HR TREND..................4 DEGREES COOLER.
* MIN HUMIDITY....................11-17 PCT.
*    24 HR TREND..................6 PCT DRIER.
* WINDS - 20 FEET...SLOPE/VALLEY..WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE
  MORNING...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
* WINDS...10000 FT MSL............SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
* CHANCE OF PRECIP................0 PERCENT.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 PERCENT.
* LAL.............................1.
* HAINES HIGH LEVEL INDEX.........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
  PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.


.EXTENDED...
.MONDAY...NOT AS WARM. CLEAR. LOWS 58-64. HIGHS 75-84. NORTHWEST
WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 58-63. HIGHS 79-86. WEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.WEDNESDAY...CLEAR. LOWS 59-67. HIGHS 84-91. NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO
15 MPH. MINIMUM RELATIVE HUMIDITY MAY BE LOWER THAN 15 PERCENT.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62-67. HIGHS 86-93.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS 62-67. HIGHS 88-94.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...SATURDAY OCTOBER 8TH THROUGH MONDAY OCTOBER
10TH...NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND BELOW MEDIAN PRECIPITATION.


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