Land Management Forecasts
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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ECCDA Discussions
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
905 AM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

ECC029-191015-
Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Vandenberg ECC Dispatch
905 AM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Discussion from Los Angeles/Oxnard...

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
across southern Santa Barbara county much of this week with possible
   stronger winds Friday night into Saturday night...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected to impact southern Santa Barbara
county much of this week. This evening and again Thursday evening,
wind gusts between 35 and 45 mph with humidities falling into the
teens will bring elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions
to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In the wake
of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential for stronger
 sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds are expected over coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds are expected to move far
inland over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into
Friday as a stronger trough moves over Northern California.
Increasing northerly flow, clearing and warming is expected for
Saturday as the upper trough moves further inland.

From Sunday through next Tuesday, there is the potential for a
prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry
conditions. While there is still some uncertainty with the strength
of this upcoming Santa Ana event (which will depend on the upper
level wind support), there will be the potential for at least
moderate Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling
into the single digits and teens which could bring a return of
critical fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California.


...Discussion from Monterey...

Slight cooling is expected today with winds turning more onshore by
late afternoon and evening. The onshore breezes  will bring better
humidity recovery tonight into Thursday  morning. Slight chance of
light rain in the North Bay by Thursday  with a only a few
hundredths down into the Santa Cruz mountains.  The main impact of
the front will be cooler temperatures and  higher humidity for
Friday. However long range trends show  significant warming, dry and
periods of offshore winds over the  weekend and into early next
week.

Note : All winds are 20-foot Winds Unless otherwise specified.
Thunderstorms imply strong, gusty and erratic winds.



$$

ECC028-191015-
Santa Barbara County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Santa Barbara ECC Dispatch
905 AM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
across southern Santa Barbara county much of this week with possible
   stronger winds Friday night into Saturday night...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected to impact southern Santa Barbara
county much of this week. This evening and again Thursday evening,
wind gusts between 35 and 45 mph with humidities falling into the
teens will bring elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions
to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In the wake
of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential for stronger
 sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds are expected over coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds are expected to move far
inland over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into
Friday as a stronger trough moves over Northern California.
Increasing northerly flow, clearing and warming is expected for
Saturday as the upper trough moves further inland.

From Sunday through next Tuesday, there is the potential for a
prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry
conditions. While there is still some uncertainty with the strength
of this upcoming Santa Ana event (which will depend on the upper
level wind support), there will be the potential for at least
moderate Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling
into the single digits and teens which could bring a return of
critical fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California.


$$

ECC031-191015-
Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Lancaster ECC Dispatch
905 AM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
across southern Santa Barbara county much of this week with possible
   stronger winds Friday night into Saturday night...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected to impact southern Santa Barbara
county much of this week. This evening and again Thursday evening,
wind gusts between 35 and 45 mph with humidities falling into the
teens will bring elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions
to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In the wake
of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential for stronger
 sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds are expected over coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds are expected to move far
inland over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into
Friday as a stronger trough moves over Northern California.
Increasing northerly flow, clearing and warming is expected for
Saturday as the upper trough moves further inland.

From Sunday through next Tuesday, there is the potential for a
prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry
conditions. While there is still some uncertainty with the strength
of this upcoming Santa Ana event (which will depend on the upper
level wind support), there will be the potential for at least
moderate Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling
into the single digits and teens which could bring a return of
critical fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California.


$$

ECC024-191015-
San Luis Obispo County-
Discussion for San Luis Obispo ECC Dispatch
905 AM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
across southern Santa Barbara county much of this week with possible
   stronger winds Friday night into Saturday night...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected to impact southern Santa Barbara
county much of this week. This evening and again Thursday evening,
wind gusts between 35 and 45 mph with humidities falling into the
teens will bring elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions
to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In the wake
of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential for stronger
 sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds are expected over coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds are expected to move far
inland over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into
Friday as a stronger trough moves over Northern California.
Increasing northerly flow, clearing and warming is expected for
Saturday as the upper trough moves further inland.

From Sunday through next Tuesday, there is the potential for a
prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry
conditions. While there is still some uncertainty with the strength
of this upcoming Santa Ana event (which will depend on the upper
level wind support), there will be the potential for at least
moderate Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling
into the single digits and teens which could bring a return of
critical fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California.


$$

ECC032-191015-
Ventura County excluding Los Padres National Forest-
Discussion for Ventura ECC Dispatch
905 AM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
across southern Santa Barbara county much of this week with possible
   stronger winds Friday night into Saturday night...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected to impact southern Santa Barbara
county much of this week. This evening and again Thursday evening,
wind gusts between 35 and 45 mph with humidities falling into the
teens will bring elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions
to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In the wake
of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential for stronger
 sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds are expected over coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds are expected to move far
inland over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into
Friday as a stronger trough moves over Northern California.
Increasing northerly flow, clearing and warming is expected for
Saturday as the upper trough moves further inland.

From Sunday through next Tuesday, there is the potential for a
prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry
conditions. While there is still some uncertainty with the strength
of this upcoming Santa Ana event (which will depend on the upper
level wind support), there will be the potential for at least
moderate Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling
into the single digits and teens which could bring a return of
critical fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California.


$$

ECC030-191015-
Los Angeles County excluding Angeles National Forest-
Discussion for Los Angeles ECC Dispatch
905 AM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

...Periods of gusty sundowner winds will bring elevated fire danger
across southern Santa Barbara county much of this week with possible
   stronger winds Friday night into Saturday night...

Gusty sundowner winds are expected to impact southern Santa Barbara
county much of this week. This evening and again Thursday evening,
wind gusts between 35 and 45 mph with humidities falling into the
teens will bring elevated to brief critical fire weather conditions
to the Santa Ynez Range and Santa Barbara south coast. In the wake
of a passing upper level trough, there is the potential for stronger
 sundowner winds Friday night into Saturday evening.

Otherwise, expect increasing onshore trends, rising humidities and
cooler temperatures through Friday as a series of weak troughs move
over the region. Marine layer clouds are expected over coastal areas
tonight into early Thursday. Low clouds are expected to move far
inland over the valleys to the coastal slopes Thursday night into
Friday as a stronger trough moves over Northern California.
Increasing northerly flow, clearing and warming is expected for
Saturday as the upper trough moves further inland.

From Sunday through next Tuesday, there is the potential for a
prolonged duration of gusty Santa Ana winds with hot and very dry
conditions. While there is still some uncertainty with the strength
of this upcoming Santa Ana event (which will depend on the upper
level wind support), there will be the potential for at least
moderate Santa Ana winds, triple digit heat, and humidities falling
into the single digits and teens which could bring a return of
critical fire weather conditions to portions of Southwest
California.


$$


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