Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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000
FNUS71 KAKQ 211747
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for MDBWR Marshlands...USFWS
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1247 PM EST Wed Feb 21 2018

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 EST on February 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure becomes anchored off the southeast coast through
tonight. A backdoor cold front drops south across the area
Thursday, then lifts back north across the region through the
Friday afternoon and evening.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........67 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 10 to 15 mph.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Mixing height.......1200-1800 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph.

TIME (EST)          10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).............63  59  55  52  49  46  42  37
Weather cov.........
Weather type........
Tstm cov............
Temp................65  68  69  69  71  70  70  68
RH..................84  80  72  69  68  70  71  76
20 FT wind dir......SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
20 FT wind spd......7   8   8   8   7   7   6   6
20 FT wind gust.....20  20  20  20  20  20  15  15
Mix hgt (kft).......0.5 0.6 0.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.3
Transp wind dir.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.....17  18  16  16  15  15  14  13
ADI.................15  11  16  27  27  27  26  22
Chc of pcpn (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
VRate kt-ft/1000....8   10  10  25  23  23  22  14

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent), then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers late in the evening. A chance of
                    showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening,
                    becoming light, then becoming north around 5
                    mph late.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.

TIME (EST)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).............33  28  34  40  46  51  55  60  69  78  87  90
Weather cov.........                    SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type........                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov............
Temp................65  63  63  63  62  61  60  58  57  55  55  54
RH..................81  84  84  84  87  87  87  93  93  96  93  90
20 FT wind dir......S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd......6   6   5   5   5   5   4   3   3   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.....15  15  15  15  10  10  10  5   5   10  10  10
LVORI...............4   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   8   7   6
Chc of pcpn (%).....10  10  10  10  10  20  20  40  40  40  40  40

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). A chance of showers
                    early in the morning, then a chance of rain in
                    the morning. A chance of showers in the
                    afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds, becoming northeast 5 to 8 mph
                    early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Mixing height.......300-1200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 8 to 15 mph.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).............92     94     92     97     98     94
Weather cov.........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type........RNSHWR RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov............
Temp................53     52     52     51     50     48
RH..................89     86     83     83     80     86
20 ft wind..........N 5    NE 5   E 6    E 5    E 5    NE 5
20 ft wind gust.....10     15     15     10     10     10
Mix hgt (ft)........300    500    700    800    900    1200
Transport wind......N 8    NE 14  E 15   E 15   E 12   NE 8
ADI.................9      15     17     16     14     12
Chc of pcpn (%).....40     50     50     50     50     50
VRate kt-ft/1000....2      6      9      10     9      9

$$
Forecaster...RUSNAK
Requested by...John Ashcraft
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1800862.6/AKQ
.EMAIL john_ashcraft@fws.gov



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