Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 261755
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR NASSAWANGO 2   16...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
155 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2016

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL REMAIN CENTERED OFF THE CAROLINA COAST THROUGH
FRIDAY, BRINGING SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WINDS, WARM TEMPERATURES, AND
MAINLY DRY CONDITIONS TO THE REGION.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 65.
MAX HUMIDITY........87 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    POSSIBLE IN OR NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300-800 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).............7   7   32  32  32  40  40  40  45  45  45  48  48  48  45  45  45
WEATHER COV.........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE........                    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV............                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
TEMP................85  86  86  86  86  85  83  79  76  74  72  71  70  69  69  68  67
RH..................43  37  37  39  40  43  47  56  62  66  71  73  76  78  78  84  87
20 FT WIND DIR......SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   8   8   8   8   7   7
20 FT WIND GUST.....15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......4.2 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 3.5 2.2 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....7   8   9   10  12  10  9   8   9   9   10  10  10  9   8   7   7
LVORI...............2   1   1   1   1   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   5
ADI.................28  34  39  44  46  7   6   8   8   9   9   9   9   8   8   7   6
CHC OF PCPN (%).....0   0   10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  10  10
HAINES INDEX........5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
VRATE KT-FT/1000....27  35  41  45  48  32  18  6   5   4   2   2   2   2   2   2   2

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........43 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-4100 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 18 TO 20
                    MPH LATE.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............38  38  38  35  35  35  31  31  31  30  30  30
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................66  70  75  77  77  81  82  83  85  85  87  86
RH..................90  78  69  64  64  56  53  51  46  46  43  45
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......6   7   8   8   8   7   8   9   10  10  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.4 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....8   9   10  10  9   10  12  14  15  16  18  20
LVORI...............5   5   4   3   2   2   2   1   2   1   1   1
ADI.................6   7   8   8   15  19  25  31  29  33  37  40
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   7   10  18  28  40  53  59  64  70



FORECASTER...BROWN
REQUESTED BY...GABRIEL CAHALAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160527.NASSA.01/AKQ



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