Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA

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FNUS71 KAKQ 311029
FWSAKQ

SPOT FORECAST FOR ROCK N ROLL HALF MARATHON...VIRGINIA BEACH FIRE DEPARTMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WAKEFIELD VA
629 AM EDT SUN AUG 31 2014

IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN STATES DURING THE EARLY
PORTION OF THIS WEEK. THIS RESULTS IN AN INCREASE OF HEAT AND
HUMIDITY THROUGH TUESDAY. A WEAK FRONT DROPS THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY NIGHT AND SETTLES OVER THE CAROLINAS WEDNESDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.
WIND (20FT/2MIN)....SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 14 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1900 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2300-2700 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 15 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).............49  49  49  48  48  48  35  35  35  33  33  33
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........
TSTM COV............
TEMP................74  75  75  77  80  82  83  84  85  85  85  84
RH..................93  90  90  82  74  67  65  63  61  61  61  63
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 1.9 2.3 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.3
20 FT WIND DIR......S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD......7   6   6   7   7   8   9   10  10  12  13  14
20 FT WIND GUST.....10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  20  20  20
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.....10  10  9   10  10  12  13  13  13  14  15  15
VRATE KT-FT/1000....2   2   2   6   10  16  20  25  30  31  31  31
LVORI...............6   5   5   4   3   3   2   2   2   1   1   1
ADI.................8   7   7   8   15  23  29  26  29  30  31  32
HAINES INDEX........3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 5 OR VERY LOW TO MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
MIX HGT (KFT).......1.7 1.0 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....16  17  17  17  17  16  17  17  17  17  16  16
VRATE KT-FT/1000....24  15  6   5   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
LVORI...............3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.................18  15  16  16  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
HAINES INDEX........4   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3

.LABOR DAY...

CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2700-3500 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 TO 4 OR VERY LOW TO LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE
                    PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
CHC OF PCPN (%).....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
MIX HGT (KFT).......0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 1.2 1.7 2.2 2.7 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANSP WIND SPD.....16  16  16  16  17  17  17  17  16  16  15  15
VRATE KT-FT/1000....4   3   4   10  18  26  33  40  47  47  47  46
LVORI...............4   4   4   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.................18  17  17  18  24  30  35  39  41  41  40  39
HAINES INDEX........3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4



FORECASTER...ZIMMERMAN
REQUESTED BY...CAPTAIN RICHARD SHELLY
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20140831.ROCKN.01/AKQ






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