Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Amarillo, TX

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000
FNUS74 KAMA 262148
FWSAMA

Spot Forecast FOR CARSON COUNTY WILDFIRE...WFO AMARILLO TX
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE Amarillo TX
448 PM CDT Sun Mar 26 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1700 CDT on March 26.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will push across the wildfire site between 1700 and
1800 hours CDT this evening. Winds will shift to the northwest and
north 15 to 25 mph with gusts near 30 mph which should diminish
to around 10 to 15 mph around 1800 and 2000 hours CDT this evening.
Winds overnight tonight will be from the northwest and north
5 to 10 mph after 0000 to 0200 hours CDT Monday morning. Skies
will be partly cloudy until around 1800 to 1900 hours CDT this
evening and then skies will become mostly clear. No precipitation
is expected at the wildfire site tonight through Monday.

.TONIGHT...

Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (72000-119000 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to poor to good (3000-47500 knot-ft)
                    in the late evening and overnight.
Min temperature.....Around 39.
LAL.................1.
Max humidity........92 percent.
Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (15-25 percent).
Transport winds.....North 15 to 22 mph shifting to the northwest 7
                    to 12 mph late in the night.
Mixing height.......7000 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......North winds 9 to 18 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 7 to 8 mph late in the night.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent.

Time (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  Midngt 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........PCLDY  MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather Cov.....
Weather Type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Temp............69     64     56     51     47     44
RH..............27     35     49     59     68     79
20 Ft Wind......NW 17  NW 17  N 15   N 13   N 10   N 8
20 Ft Wind Gust.25     25     25     20     15     10
Chc of Pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Haines Index....3      3      3      3      3      3
VentR KtFt/1000.119    72     29     18     13     4

.MONDAY...

Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (0-49000 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good (58500 knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 71.
LAL.................1.
Min humidity........28 percent.
Sky/weather.........Sunny (10-20 percent).
Transport winds.....East 3 to 12 mph shifting to the south 6 to 10
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......0-1500 ft AGL increasing to 6500-7000 ft AGL.
20-foot winds.......Northeast winds 6 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    southeast 7 to 8 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 OR very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Chance of Pcpn......0 percent.

Time (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  Noon   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR
Weather Cov.....
Weather Type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Temp............41     40     49     60     67     70
RH..............85     92     68     44     33     29
20 Ft Wind......NW 7   NW 7   N 6    NE 6   E 7    S 7
20 Ft Wind Gust.10     10     10     10     10     10
Chc of Pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Haines Index....3      2      2      2      2      2
VentR KtFt/1000.3      4      15     15     14     49

$$
Forecaster...Schneider
Requested by...KEN SCHNEIDER
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1705234.0/AMA


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