Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Binghamton, NY

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FNUS71 KBGM 281051
FWSBGM

Spot Forecast for SGL 36...Pa Game Commission
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
651 AM EDT Tue Mar 28 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on March 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

High pressure will build down from Canada on Wednesday, bringing a
brief period of drying conditions. Relative humidities will fall to
between 45 and 50 percent Wednesday afternoon, while winds will gust
to near 20 mph at times.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 9 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon...then 20
                    mph late.
Mixing height.......2200-3300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 18 to 21 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  47  45  42  40  37  32  28  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............35  37  39  40  42  43  44  44  44
RH..............78  72  64  59  55  51  47  45  43
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..7   8   8   8   8   8   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  20  20  20  20  15  15  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 2.5 2.8 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.1 2.7 2.3
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.20  20  21  21  21  21  21  20  18
Haines index....3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 25.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 6 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......400-1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 18 mph...decreasing to 5 to 8 mph
                    late.
Haines Index........2 to 4 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth to or low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
SUNRISE.............

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........21  18  16  18  19  21  26  32  37  37  38  38
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............42  40  35  34  32  31  30  29  27  27  26  25
RH..............46  50  61  64  66  69  72  75  81  81  81  84
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6   5   5
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.9 1.5 1.1 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.5 0.4
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.18  17  16  15  15  14  13  12  10  8   7   5
Haines index....2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   3

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). A slight chance
                    of rain showers early in the morning.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 47.
Min humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph until late
                    afternoon...becoming light.
Mixing height.......0-200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 0 to 3 mph.
Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
SUNSET..............

TIME (EDT)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........40        44        47        63
Weather cov.....          S CHC     S CHC     S CHC
Weather type....NONE      RNSHWR    RNSHWR    RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0         0         0         0
LAL.............1         1         1         1
Temp............25        28        39        46
RH..............81        75        52        38
20 FT wind......N 5G10    N 4G10    NE 4G10   NE 3G5
Mix hgt (ft)....200       BLW100    BLW100    BLW100
Transport wind..N 3       N 0       N 0       N 0
Haines index....3         2         2         2

$$
Forecaster...Padavona
Requested by...Philip Kasper
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705334.0/BGM
.EMAIL pkasper@pa.gov



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