Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Boise, ID

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000
FNUS75 KBOI 061256
FWSBOI

SPOT FORECAST FOR WEISER RIVER 3...PAYETTE NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BOISE ID
656 AM MDT FRI MAY 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 MDT ON MAY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AGAIN TODAY...SOME STRONG...

.DISCUSSION...
AN UPPER LEVEL LOW TO THE SOUTH IS STILL SUPPLYING SUFFICIENT
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
TODAY. SOME WILL BE STRONG WITH GUSTY WINDS...SMALL HAIL...AND
BRIEF HEAVY RAIN. WINDS WILL BE HIGHLY VARIABLE...BUT GENERALLY A
COMBINATION OF NORTHEAST PREVAILING FLOW ALONG WITH UPSLOPE. THE
SOUTH ASPECT WILL SHIELD YOU FROM MOST OF THE WIND...EXCEPT ON THE
RIDGETOP...OF COURSE. AS THE LOW MOVES EAST TONIGHT AND THEN
NORTHEAST TOMORROW...BOTH THE STRENGTH AND THE COVERAGE OF SHOWERS
WILL DIMINISH COMPARED TO TODAY. SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED
TO BE ONGOING IN THE BURN AREA AT IGNITION TIME...THEN BECOME
STRONGER AS WE MOVE INTO THE AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 50
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70 TO 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........39 TO 46 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....UPSLOPE 3 TO 6 MPH...STRONGEST ON NORTHEAST-FACING
                    ASPECTS...WITH NORTHEAST GUSTS TO 15 MPH ON
                    RIDGETOPS. THUNDERSTORM GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 40 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49 TO 54.
MAX HUMIDITY........73 TO 78 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LESS THAN 3 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...10 POOR.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY. A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72 TO 77.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 TO 38 PERCENT.
WIND - EYE LEVEL....UPSLOPE AROUND 3 MPH WITH RIDGETOP GUSTS OUT OF
                    THE NORTH UP TO 10 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 VERY LOW.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WIND......NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1050 EXCELLENT.

$$
FORECASTER...PARKER
REQUESTED BY...PHIL GRAEVE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160506.WEISE.01/BOI


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