Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Denver/Boulder, CO

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000
FNUS75 KBOU 031322
FWSBOU

SPOT FORECAST FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE...BOULDER COUNTY SHERIFF'S OFFICE/PARKS AND
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DENVER/BOULDER CO
620 AM MST SAT DEC 3 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MST ON DECEMBER 03.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...TODAY AND TONIGHT...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROF WILL MOVE
OVER EASTERN COLORADO THIS MORNING WITH DIMINISHING CLOUDS EARLY THIS
MORNING. TEMPERATURES WILL BE SLIGHTLY WARMER ALONG WITH LOWER HUMIDITY LEVELS.
THERE WILL BE SLIGHT IMPROVEMENT IN SMOKE DISPERSAL TODAY AS CONDITIONS BECOME
FAIR THIS AFTERNOON WITH STRONGER TRANSPORT WINDS AND WEAKER LOW LEVEL INVERSIONS.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY(40-50%) UNTIL 0900, THEN MOSTLY
                    SUNNY UNTIL 1000, THEN PARTLY CLOUDY(30-35%).
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
MIN HUMIDITY........33%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR UNTIL 1100, THEN FAIR UNTIL 1600, THEN
                    POOR.
HAINES INDEX........4 LOW .

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 19.
MAX HUMIDITY........59%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE
                    LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2300 FT AGL UNTIL 2300, THEN BELOW 1000 FT
                    AGL UNTIL 2400, THEN 1000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15-20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 42.
MIN HUMIDITY........28%.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6-7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 1000 FT AGL UNTIL 0900, THEN 1500-2500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10-15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.
HAINES INDEX........3 VERY LOW .


FIRE WEATHER TABLE FOR WAPITI 2 RX FIRE.

+++  DATA IN THE FOLLOWING TABLE HAS BEEN SAMPLED DIRECTLY FROM THE
     FORECAST DATABASE.  VALUES IN THE TABLE MAY VARY SLIGHTLY FROM
     INFORMATION IN THE NARRATIVE FORECAST.  FEEDBACK WELCOME.  +++

FORECAST SC PP WR AT RH  20-FT  G H L  15KFT  MIXG  TRANS VENTL  AJTV
VALID AT  %  %  %  F  %   WIND  S I A   WIND   HGT   WIND  RATE RATNG
                           MPH  T   L    MPH   AGL    MPH KT-FT

12/03-09 28  2  0 22 59   W  7  7 4 1  NW 14  1882   W 13 20159 P
12/03-10 32  3  1 27 48   W  6  6 3 1 WNW 13  2459   W 14 30226 P
12/03-11 32  4  1 31 41   W  6  6 3 1 WNW 12  3035   W 16 42118  F
12/03-12 32  4  1 35 35   W  6  6 3 1 WNW 12  3469   W 16 46969  F
12/03-13 32  3  1 37 33   W  7  7 2 1 WNW 12  3903   W 15 51526  F
12/03-14 31  3  1 37 34   W  7 12 2 1 WNW 10  4338   W 15 55789  F
12/03-15 30  3  1 34 38   W  7  7 2 1 WNW 12  3695   W 14 46112  F
12/03-16 30  2  0 31 43   W  7  7 2 1 WNW 13  3052   W 14 36925 P
12/03-17 26  2  0 27 50   W  7 12 2 1 WNW 14  2409   W 14 28229 P
12/03-18 22  2  0 25 54   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 16  2145   W 15 26826 P
12/03-19 18  2  0 25 54   W  8 14 2 1 WNW 18  1882 WNW 15 25009 P
12/03-20 17  2  0 24 55   W  9 16 2 1 WNW 21  1618 WNW 16 22776 P
12/03-21 16  1  0 23 54   W 10 17 2 1 WNW 23  1394 WNW 15 18612 P
12/03-22 15  1  0 21 56   W 12 18 2 1 WNW 25  1170 WNW 15 14774 P
12/03-23 14  1  0 20 56   W 12 20 2 1 WNW 28   946 WNW 14 11260 P
12/04-00 14  1  0 19 58   W 12 20 2 1  NW 30   966 WNW 14 11264 P
12/04-01 14  1  0 19 59   W 10 18 3 1  NW 31   985   W 13 11259 P
12/04-02 14  1  0 19 59   W 10 17 3 1  NW 33  1005   W 13 11244 P
12/04-03 14  1  0 20 56   W 10 17 3 1  NW 32   986   W 13 11268 P
12/04-04 14  1  0 20 56   W  9 16 3 1 WNW 30   966   W 14 11281 P
12/04-05 20  1  0 20 52   W  9 15 3 1 WNW 29   947 WNW 14 11286 P
12/04-06 20  1  0 20 55   W  9 14 3 1 WNW 28   901 WNW 13 10158 P
12/04-07 20  1  0 20 54   W  8 14 3 1  NW 28   854 WNW 13  9089 P
12/04-08 20  1  0 21 52   W  8 13 3 1  NW 26   808 WNW 12  8164 P
12/04-09 20  1  0 25 44   W  8 13 3 1  NW 25  1153   W 12 11791 P
12/04-10 20  1  0 31 36 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 24  1498   W 12 15505 P
12/04-11 22  1  0 36 31 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 23  1842   W 12 19307 P
12/04-12 22  1  0 40 28 WSW  7  7 3 1 WNW 23  2135   W 13 23717 P
12/04-13 22  1  0 42 28 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 23  2427   W 14 28495 P
12/04-14 22  1  0 42 29 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 22  2719   W 14 33643 P
12/04-15 22  1  0 39 33 WSW  6  6 3 1   W 24  2198   W 13 25100 P
12/04-16 22  1  0 35 38   W  6  6 2 1 WNW 26  1676   W 12 17548 P
12/04-17 23  1  0 31 45   W  7  7 2 1 WNW 29  1155   W 12 10990 P
12/04-18 24  1  0 29 49   W  8 13 2 1 WNW 26  1056   W 12 10960 P
12/04-19 25  1  0 29 50   W  8 14 2 1 WNW 24   957   W 13 10758 P
12/04-20 26  2  0 29 51 WSW  9 15 2 1 WNW 22   857   W 14 10386 P
12/04-21 28  5  1 28 52 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 20   932   W 15 12159 P
12/04-22 29  8  2 27 53 WSW  9 15 3 1   W 16  1007   W 16 14071 P
12/04-23 30 10  2 26 55 WSW  9 15 3 1   W 14  1082   W 17 16123 P
12/05-00 31 13  3 26 55 WSW  9 15 3 1   W 17  1107   W 16 15225 P
12/05-01 33 16  3 25 59 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 21  1133   W 15 14268 P
12/05-02 34 18  4 25 60 WSW  9 15 2 1   W 23  1158   W 13 13252 P
12/05-03 35 21  4 25 60 WSW 10 16 2 1   W 31  1136   W 13 12318 P
12/05-04 36 24  5 25 60 WSW 12 17 2 1   W 38  1114   W 12 11410 P
12/05-05 37 25  5 25 60 WSW 12 18 2 1   W 46  1092   W 12 10528 P
12/05-06 38 25  5 26 58 WSW 10 17 2 1   W 45  1106   W 12 10982 P
12/05-07 39 25  5 27 56   W  9 16 2 1   W 43  1119   W 12 11443 P
12/05-08 39 25  5 29 53   W  9 15 2 1   W 41  1133   W 13 11912 P
12/05-09 40 25  5 33 47   W 10 16 2 1   W 44  1821   W 15 24280 P
12/05-10 41 25  5 37 41   W 12 18 2 1   W 45  2509   W 18 40526  F
12/05-11 42 25  5 40 37   W 13 21 2 1   W 46  3197   W 22 60652   G
12/05-12 42 25  5 41 35   W 14 22 3 1   W 49  3433   W 25 75311   G
12/05-13 43 26  6 40 36   W 14 22 4 1   W 54  3669   W 29 91369   G
12/05-14 44 26  6 39 36   W 14 22 5 1   W 58  3905   W 32108826    V
12/05-15 45 26  6 36 38   W 14 22 4 1   W 59  3611   W 31 96449   G
12/05-16 45 27  7 33 41   W 13 20 3 1   W 60  3317   W 30 84754   G
12/05-17 46 27  7 31 43   W 12 18 2 1   W 61  3023   W 28 73741   G
12/05-18 63 27  7 29 46   W 10 16 2 1 WSW 52  2938   W 25 63656   G
12/05-19 55 27  7 27 51   W  9 15 2 1 WSW 43  2853   W 22 54035  F
12/05-20 58 27  7 25 55 WSW  8 13 2 1 WSW 32  2768   W 18 44879  F
12/05-21 61 27  7 23 56  SW  8 13 2 1 WSW 36  2702   W 20 45320  F
12/05-22 68 27  7 21 57   S  8 13 2 1   W 38  2637 WNW 20 45687  F
12/05-23 71 37 15 19 59   S  8 13 2 1   W 40  2571 WNW 21 45982  F
12/06-00 70 37 15 19 58 SSE  8 13 2 1   W 37  2679 WNW 18 42780  F
12/06-01 69 37 15 18 60 SSE  8 13 2 1 WNW 32  2787 WNW 16 39165 P
12/06-02 68 37 15 18 59  SE  8 13 2 1 WNW 28  2895  NW 14 35137 P
12/06-03 70 37 15 16 61 SSE  8 13 2 1 WNW 30  2558 WNW 14 30604 P
12/06-04 73 37 15 14 63 SSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 32  2222 WNW 14 26190 P
12/06-05 74 41 18 13 64 SSW  8 13 2 1 WNW 35  1886   W 14 21894 P

KEY:

FORECAST    - MONTH/DAY-HOUR OF FORECAST
VALID AT    - /24-HOUR CLOCK LOCAL TIME/
SC          - SKY COVER /PERCENT/
PP          - PROBABILITY OF PRECIPITATION 0.01 INCH /PERCENT/
WR          - PROBABILITY OF WETTING RAIN 0.10 INCH /PERCENT/
AT          - TEMPERATURE /DEGREES F/
RH          - RELATIVE HUMIDITY /PERCENT/
20-FT WIND  - 20-FOOT WIND /MPH/
GST         - 20-FOOT WIND GUST /MPH/
HI          - HAINES INDEX
LAL         - LIGHTNING ACTIVITY LEVEL
15KFT WIND  - 15000 FEET ABOVE MEAN SEA LEVEL FREE-AIR WINDS /MPH/
MIXG HGT    - MIXING HEIGHT /FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL/
TRANS WIND  - TRANSPORT WINDS /MPH/
VENTL RATE  - VENTILATION RATE /KNOT-FEET/
AJTV RATNG  - SMOKE DISPERSION ADJECTIVE RATING
                P - POOR  F - FAIR  G - GOOD
                V - VERY GOOD  E - EXCELLENT

$$
FORECASTER...ENTREKIN
REQUESTED BY...JAY STALNACKER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1603674.5/BOU


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