Suppression Forecast
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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 151818
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR GRINDSTONE RX...LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
1218 PM MDT MON SEP 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1110 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
TODAY WILL BE PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH INCREASING SHOWER AND STORM
ACTIVITY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON...AS THE FIRST BAND OF CLOUD COVER AND
INSTABILITY FROM ODILE APPROACH THE BURN SITE FROM THE SOUTH.  TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY LOOKS VERY WET...WITH UP TO SEVERAL INCHES OF RAINFALL
POSSIBLE BY THAT TIME.  FLOODING WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH ACTIVITY
THIS WEEK.
.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....67-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........57-62 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1300-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 2 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........4000 KNOT-FEET(POOR) THIS MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 13000 KNOT-FEET(POOR) EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-54.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING...
                    BECOMING LIGHT TOWARDS MIDNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-6100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1100-1500 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 6 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....33500 KNOT-FEET(POOR) EARLY IN THE EVENING...DECREASING
                    TO 7200 KNOT-FEET(POOR) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-71.
MIN HUMIDITY........64-69 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT IN THE MORNING...BECOMING SOUTH-SOUTHWEST
5 TO 7 MPH Y EARLY AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1100-2500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4500-6200 FT
                    AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 4 KNOTS.
VENTILATION RATE....7200 KNOT-FEET(POOR) IN THE MORNING...INCREASING
                    TO 21200 KNOT-FEET(POOR) IN THE AFTERNOON.



$$
FORECASTER...TRIPOLI
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140915.GRIND.01/EPZ






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