Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS74 KEPZ 111536
FWSEPZ

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR COX RX...NM-LNF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE EL PASO TX/SANTA TERESA NM
936 AM MDT FRI JUL 11 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 MDT ON JULY 11.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
THE REGION WILL BE IN BETWEEN DISTURBANCES TODAY...BUT OROGRAPHIC
LIFT WILL STILL ALLOW FOR SCATTERED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE THIS
AFTERNOON. A STRONGER EASTERLY WAVE WILL BE MOVING ACROSS SOUTHERN
NEW MEXICO SATURDAY AND BRING INCREASED THUNDERSTORM COVERAGE
WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN. DAILY THUNDERSTORM CHANCES WILL
CONTINUE THROUGH NEXT WEEK WITH THE GREATEST COVERAGE LIKELY COMING
IN THE MON-WED TIME FRAME.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)  THIS MORNING...THEN
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING...THEN
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR.................30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BECOMING SOUTHEAST 4 TO 9 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6400 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST AROUND 7 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........FAIR.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48-51.
MAX HUMIDITY........87-92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST 2 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 200-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 7 KNOTS.

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT)IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........49-54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........VARIABLE UNDER 5 MPH BECOMING SOUTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 10 KNOTS.
VENT RATE...........GOOD.

$$
FORECASTER...GRZYWACZ
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140711.COXRX.01/EPZ





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