Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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000
FNUS74 KEWX 221419
FWSEWX

Spot Forecast for Stephens Ranch...TFS
National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
919 AM CDT Sat Jul 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1000 CDT on July 22.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and dry afternoons are expected today and Sunday. Minimum
RH values will fall to around 30 percent. Prevailing wind speeds
should be mainly below 12 mph but an occasional gust to 15-20 mph
will be possible.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......500-2200 ft AGL increasing to 9000-9400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 10 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 in the morning to 6 in the afternoon,
                    or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth in the morning to high potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........19  20  21  22  22  23  23  22
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............82  86  89  92  94  95  96  96
RH..............65  55  48  43  39  36  34  33
20 FT wind dir..S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..8   8   8   8   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.2 3.6 6.6 8.1 8.4 9.1 9.4 9.0
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.10  12  12  13  13  13  13  13
Haines index....3   4   5   5   5   6   6   6

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 8
                    mph late in the evening.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 8 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light, then becoming southeast 5 to 8
                    mph late in the evening.
Mixing height.......7800-8200 ft AGL decreasing to 200-2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 13 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........6 in the evening to 3 in the morning,
                    high potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth in the evening to low potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth in
                    the morning.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........20  19  17  14  12  14  17  19  22  26  29  34
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............96  94  91  87  84  82  81  80  79  78  76  74
RH..............32  34  37  42  48  53  56  60  67  74  82  87
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..9   9   7   6   5   6   6   8   8   8   8   7
20 FT wind gust.15  15  10              10  15  15  15  15  10
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.5   5   4   4   3   4   4   5   5   5   5   4
Eye lvl wnd gst.15  15  10              10  15  15  15  15  10
Mix hgt (kft)...8.2 7.8 5.9 2.1 0.2 0.7 1.5 1.9 1.8 1.5 1.4 1.2
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S
Transp wind spd.13  13  14  15  17  18  20  20  18  17  16  14
Haines index....6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   3

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 96.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......800-2500 ft AGL increasing to 9000-9200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 12 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 in the morning to 6 in the afternoon,
                    or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth in the morning to high potential
                    for large plume dominated fire growth in
                    the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........40  45  39  32  26  25  24  23  22  22  21  23
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............73  73  76  79  83  86  90  92  94  95  96  96
RH..............90  90  82  74  65  57  47  43  39  36  34  33
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..7   6   6   7   7   7   8   8   9   9   10  10
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Eye lvl wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Eye lvl wnd spd.4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   6   6
Eye lvl wnd gst.10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.9 0.8 1.2 2.1 2.5 4.0 6.9 8.4 8.6 9.0 9.2 9.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.13  12  12  12  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13
Haines index....3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   6   6

$$

Forecaster...76
Requested by...M. Peters
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1713162.0/EWX
.EMAIL mpeters@tfs.tamu.edu


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