Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Austin/San Antonio, TX

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FNUS74 KEWX 261640
FWSEWX

SPOT FORECAST FOR GILLESPIE COUNTY FAIR GROUNDS...TEXAS A&M FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
1040 AM CST THU FEB 26 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 CST ON FEBRUARY 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
IN THE WAKE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT...NORTHEAST WINDS OF 10 TO 13
MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH ARE EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON INTO EVENING.
IT IS POSSIBLE THAT BRIEF PERIODS OF STRONGER WINDS COULD OCCUR.
TEMPERATURES WILL FALL INTO AND THROUGH THE 30S. LOW TEMPERATURES
TONIGHT WILL BE IN THE MID 20S WHILE NORTHEAST WINDS OF 9 TO 13
MPH PREVAIL. HUMIDITIES WILL REMAIN ABOVE 57 PERCENT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 49.
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 6 TO 13 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO NORTHEAST
                    20 TO 28 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

TIME (CST)      2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........73     77
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE
TEMP............42     36
RH..............57     63
20 FT WIND......NE 13  NE 13
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 10  NE 10
EYE LEVEL WIND..20     20
HAINES INDEX....2      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 26.
MAX HUMIDITY........78 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 9 TO 13 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 17 TO 26 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........70     71     69     63     77     80
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............34     32     31     31     29     28
RH..............70     76     76     71     74     78
20 FT WIND......NE 13  NE 12  NE 12  NE 12  NE 10  NE 10
20 FT WIND GUST.20     20     20     20     20     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 10  NE 10  NE 9   NE 9   NE 8   NE 7
EYE LEVEL WIND..20     20     20     20     20     15
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      3      3

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MIN HUMIDITY........64 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 3 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-1900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 16 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........77     85     89     91     93     94
WEATHER COV.....              S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW   SNOW
TEMP............26     26     28     31     34     35
RH..............76     77     73     66     65     66
20 FT WIND......NE 9   NE 9   NE 9   NE 8   NE 9   NE 9
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     15     15
EYE LEVEL WIND..NE 6   NE 7   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6   NE 6
EYE LEVEL WIND..15     15     15     15     15     15
HAINES INDEX....3      2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...04
REQUESTED BY...RANDALL FUCHS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150226.GILLE.01/EWX





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