Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI

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000
FNUS73 KGRR 291233
FWSGRR

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR ALLEGAN RX...DNR
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
833 AM EDT MON SEP 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1500 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A COLD FRONT WILL PROGRESS SOUTH THROUGH THE REGION
THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THE FRONT WILL PUSH A BAND OF RAIN
SHOWERS THROUGH THE AREA AND USHER IN COOLER AIR FOR TONIGHT AND
TUESDAY. THE RAIN BAND SHOULD MOVE THROUGH ALLEGAN COUNTY AFTER
10 PM THIS EVENING. THE RAIN WILL GENERALLY RANGE FROM TRACE AMOUNTS
TO A TENTH OR SO. A COOL AND MOSTLY CLOUDY DAY CAN BE EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY WITH HIGHS ONLY REACHING NEAR 60 DEGREES. WEDNESDAY WILL
BE WARMER AND DRY WITH HIGHS NEAR 70. SHOWERS AND A FEW STORMS
WILL MOVE THROUGH ON THURSDAY WITH ANOTHER COLD FRONT.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........73 AT IGNITION...MAX 75.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 57 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS WEST AT 12 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........WEST 2 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST 12
                    TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE DAY.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 1300-1800
                    FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....0-200 (POOR TO FAIR).

TIME (EDT)      3 PM   5 PM   7 PM
SKY (%).........25     42     59
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............73     73     67
RH..............59     59     73
20 FT WIND......W 12   W 11   NW 12
20 FT GUST......15            15
HAINES INDEX....3      3      2

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
                    LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 46.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 14 TO 18 MPH.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 58.
RH..................MIN 77 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING WINDS........NORTH 7 TO 15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-3500 FT AGL.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 4 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR
                    LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....200-500 (FAIR TO GOOD).

$$
FORECASTER...MARINO
REQUESTED BY...LEE OSTERLAND
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140929.ALLEG.01/GRR






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