Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Jacksonville, FL

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000
FNUS72 KJAX 100854
FWSJAX

SPOT FORECAST FOR FAVER DYKES...FPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE JACKSONVILLE FL
354 AM EST WED FEB 10 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON FEBRUARY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WESTERLY WINDS NEAR 10 MPH AROUND IGNITION TIME WILL INCREASE TO
AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25-30 MPH BY LATE MORNING. MINIMUM
RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES ARE FORECAST TO BE 25-30 PERCENT. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL SETTLE OVER THE REGION TONIGHT...AND FREEZING
TEMPERATURES AND AREAS OF FROST ARE EXPECTED. DRY CONDITIONS AND
LIGHT WESTERLY FLOW ARE FORECAST FOR THURSDAY.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 10 TO 18 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2200-3300 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 20 TO 29 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO 25 TO
                    30 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO AROUND 20
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 17 EARLY IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 51 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 65
                    INCREASING TO 73 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 63 DECREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.

TIME (EST)      8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........1      1      1      1      1
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............38     44     49     52     53
RH..............54     41     33     28     27
20 FT WIND......W 13   W 17   W 18   W 18   W 16
20 FT WIND GUST.20     25     30     25     25
DISPERSION IDX..17     51     69     74     63
LVORI...........2      1      1      1      1

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR (0-5 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 7 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 6 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....28 DECREASING TO 6.
LVORI...............3.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........0      1      2      1      1      2
WEATHER COV.....                            AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   FROST  FROST
TSTM COV........
TEMP............47     43     39     38     37     36
RH..............42     55     64     64     67     69
20 FT WIND......W 10   W 7    W 7    W 7    W 7    NW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     10     10     10     10
DISPERSION IDX..28     5      5      4      4      5
LVORI...........2      2      3      3      3      3

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT). AREAS OF FROST EARLY IN
                    THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
                    AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 19 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO 31 EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........5      6      6      6      1      1
WEATHER COV.....AREAS  AREAS
WEATHER TYPE....FROST  FROST  NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............34     34     45     52     56     56
RH..............72     72     51     39     35     40
20 FT WIND......NW 8   NW 9   N 8    N 7    N 6    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     10     10     10
DISPERSION IDX..6      9      18     22     27     35

$$
FORECASTER...KENNEDY
REQUESTED BY...JESSE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160210.FAVER.01/JAX


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