Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Louisville, KY

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
190
FNUS73 KLMK 241442
FWSLMK

Spot Forecast for Antoich...USDA Forest Service
National Weather Service Louisville, KY
1042 AM EDT Fri Mar 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 CDT on March 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Dry and mild conditions are expected today with clouds
increasing from the west ahead of the next storm system. Winds will pick
up out of the south late this morning and be quite gusty at times, with gusts
around 25mph. Dew points and resulting relative humidity could drop a bit lower
than forecast around mid day, however will quickly recover once heavier cloud
cover moves in this afternoon. Showers and thunderstorms move in from the west
late tonight through tomorrow and last through much of Sunday. Most areas could
pick up to a half inch of rain by the end of the weekend. More active and wet
weather looks possible next week as well.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Becoming mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 71.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 8 to 9 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph late
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 26 to 28 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (53500-79800 knot-ft).
LVORI...............1.
ADI.................61 increasing to 69 late in the afternoon.
DSI.................1.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........72  85  85  84  84
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Temp............65  67  69  70  71
RH..............55  51  50  52  55
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   8   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.15  15  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.26  26  28  28  28
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............56  59  65  68  70
VRate kt-ft/100054  59  68  76  80

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after midnight.
Min temperature.....Around 59.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1500-3400 ft AGL decreasing to 900-1200 ft AGL
                    after midnight.
Transport winds.....South 17 to 26 mph decreasing to around 16 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Good to excellent (39200-78700 knot-ft)
                    decreasing to poor to fair (11700-27800
                    knot-ft) late in the evening.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................67 decreasing to 16.
DSI.................2.

TIME (CDT)      5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........83  83  82  83  83  83  84  84  84  85  86  87
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Temp............70  68  67  65  63  62  62  62  62  62  61  60
RH..............59  61  63  68  70  72  72  72  72  72  75  78
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.15  15  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...3.4 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.0 1.5 1.2 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.26  25  24  23  23  22  20  17  16  16  16  16
LVORI...........1   1   1   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4
ADI.............67  34  32  15  15  15  18  15  14  14  14  14
VRate kt-ft/100079  73  64  52  39  28  20  15  12  12  12  13

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms in the morning. Rain showers
                    likely through the day. Chance of thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........61 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    morning.
Mixing height.......700-2000 ft AGL increasing to 4900-5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 15 to 21 mph increasing to 26 to 31 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good (8600-45300 knot-ft) increasing to
                    excellent (72900 knot-ft) late in the morning.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................16 increasing to 83.
DSI.................2.

TIME (CDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........88  89  87  89  93  95  95  97  98  98  97  97
Weather cov.....SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
Temp............59  59  59  60  62  64  65  66  67  68  69  70
RH..............80  78  78  78  72  70  68  68  65  63  63  61
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.15  15  10  10  15  15  15  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.7 0.8 1.3 2.0 2.7 3.4 4.0 4.5 4.9 5.1 5.0
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.15  15  16  21  26  31  31  30  28  28  26  26
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............13  16  18  30  50  70  79  83  81  84  81  81
VRate kt-ft/100010  9   11  23  45  73  92  103 107 115 118 115

$$
Forecaster...BJS
Requested by...Jeremy Kolaks
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1705144.0/LMK
.EMAIL jkolaks@fs.fed.us



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.