Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Chicago, IL

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000
FNUS73 KLOT 171259
FWSLOT

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUTH PATROL...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CHICAGO IL
759 AM CDT THU APR 17 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CDT ON APRIL 17.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LOW PRESSURE IS OVER SOUTHERN WISCONSIN AND ITS COLD FRONT WILL
SWEEP THROUGH THE REGION THIS MORNING WITH WINDS BECOMING WEST
BEHIND THE FRONT AROUND 10 MPH.  CLOUD COVER WILL INCREASE AS
WELL BEHIND THE FRONT.  THE LOW CONTINUES OFF TO THE NORTHEAST
THIS EVENING AND HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS IN TO THE REGION.  WINDS
WILL DIMINISH SIGNIFICANTLY THIS EVENING AND BECOME LIGHT AND
VARIABLE.

THERE IS A CHANCE OF RAIN THIS EVENING INTO THE OVERNIGHT
HOURS WITH UNDER 0.05 INCHES OF RAIN EXPECTED.  WINDS TURN
NORTHEAST LATE TONIGHT AND REMAIN NORTHEAST AT 5-10 MPH FRIDAY.
MIXING HEIGHTS WILL BE A BIT LOWER TOMORROW BUT STILL OVER
3000 FT.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........52 AT IGNITION...MAX 60.
RH..................44 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTH AT 11 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 22
                    MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500-4000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 22 TO 30 MPH BECOMING WEST 12 TO 20
                    MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..54.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR /43000 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...FAIR
                    /59500 KNOT-FT/.

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........48  49  50  50  56  62  68  76  84
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............52  55  57  58  58  59  59  59  58
RH..............44  43  42  44  44  44  44  44  47
20FT WIND DIR...200 210 220 230 240 240 250 250 260
20FT SPEED(MPH).9   9   9   9   9   8   7   6   5
20FT SPEED(KT)..8   8   8   8   8   7   6   6   4
20FT GUST(MPH)..22  22  20  18  18  17  16  14  10
20FT GUST(KT)...19  19  17  16  16  15  14  12  9
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.0 2.5 3.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.5 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.220 230 230 230 230 240 240 250 250
TRANSP WIND SPD.24  22  20  18  16  15  14  13  12
CWR.............0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
VRATE KT-FT/100043  51  56  60  54  50  45  39  33

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF LIGHT RAIN IN THE LATE
                    EVENING AND EARLY MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 41.
RH..................MAX 82 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTH AROUND 5
                    MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2000-3000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 500-1500 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 3 TO 10 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..MISSING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (1000-28000 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM
SKY (%).........93  93  93  93  91  89  87  79  72  65  56  48
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
TEMP............57  55  54  52  51  49  48  47  46  45  44  42
RH..............49  55  57  63  66  71  74  76  76  76  79  82
20FT WIND DIR...260 260 270 270 280 290 300 320 350 010 020 030
20FT SPEED(MPH).5   4   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4   4
20FT SPEED(KT)..4   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
20FT GUST(MPH)..7   6   5   3   3   3   3   3   5   6   6   7
20FT GUST(KT)...6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   4   5   5   6
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.0 2.5 2.0 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.250 250 250 250 250 250 250 260 290 310 340 000
TRANSP WIND SPD.10  9   8   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   3   3
CWR.............20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30  10  10  10
VRATE KT-FT/100028  22  16  11  7   4   1   2   2   2   2   2

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY THEN BECOMING MOSTLY SUNNY THEN
                    BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 59.
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000-3000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN INCREASING TO
                    2500-3500 FT AGL EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON
                    DECREASING TO 2000 FT AGL LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 3 TO 8 MPH.
MIXING TEMP 1700FT..54.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO POOR (2000-12500 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM
SKY (%).........40  35  31  26  32  37  43  42  42  42  40  39
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............41  44  48  51  53  55  56  57  58  58  57  55
RH..............85  76  68  61  57  53  49  47  44  42  43  45
20FT WIND DIR...040 040 050 050 050 050 050 040 040 040 050 060
20FT SPEED(MPH).5   5   5   5   5   4   4   3   3   4   5   6
20FT SPEED(KT)..4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   4   6
20FT GUST(MPH)..7   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   6   8   12
20FT GUST(KT)...6   6   6   6   6   5   5   4   4   5   7   10
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 1.0 1.5 2.0 2.5 3.0 3.5 3.0 3.0 2.5 2.0 2.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.010 010 020 020 020 030 030 030 040 040 050 050
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   6   7   8
CWR.............10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
VRATE KT-FT/10002   3   4   5   7   8   11  11  12  13  13  12

$$
FORECASTER...ENDERLEN
REQUESTED BY...JEFF MARTINA
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140417.SOUTH.01/LOT








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