Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Los Angeles, CA

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FNUS76 KLOX 120801
FWSLOX

Spot Forecast for CREEK...LAC/ANF
National Weather Service Los Angeles/Oxnard CA
1201 AM PST Tue Dec 12 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 PST on December 12.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 PM PST WEDNESDAY...

.DISCUSSION...A persistent weak to locally moderate offshore flow is expected
to continue through much of this week. Relative humidities will
remain very low in single digits with little overnight recoveries.
Temperatures will remain over 10 degrees warmer than normal for this
time of year. Models continue to keep High pressure aloft will also
continue to persist over much of California through this week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny. Patchy smoke near the fire.
Max temperature.....81-83.
Min humidity........3-5 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 3 to 4 mph with gusts to around
 10 mph through mid morning. Gusts lowering to 6 mph through noon.
Winds then shifting to the south-southwest at 3 to 4 mph in the
afternoon. Wind (20 ft)........ Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 6
to 9 mph with gusts to around 20 mph through mid morning. Gusts
lowering to 12 mph through noon. Winds then shifting to the south-
southwest at 4 to 7 mph in the afternoon. Ridgetop...........East
winds 10 to 20 mph with gusts to around 25 mph. Mixing
height.......AOB 600 ft AGL early increasing to 7500 to 8000 ft AGL
early in the afternoon. Transport winds.....Northeast around 14 mph.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear and smokey near the fire.
Min temperature.....Around 64.
Max humidity........6-10 percent.
Eye level winds.....Winds variable 2 to 3 mph early...becoming northeast
                    3 to 6 mph with gusts to 10 mph after midnight.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Winds variable 3 to 6 mph early...becoming northeast
                    6 to 12 mph with gusts to 20 mph after midnight.
 Ridgetop...........East to northeast 10 to 20 mph. Gusts to 25 kt
Mixing height.......4500 ft AGL early evening...lowering to AOB 500 ft
                    AGL overnight.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....77-79.
Min humidity........4-7 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northeast winds 3 to 5 mph with gusts to
                    around 9 mph in the morning. Winds becoming variable
                    2 to 4 mph in the afternoon.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northeast winds 6 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 18 mph in the morning. Winds becoming variable
                    3 to 5 mph in the afternoon.
 Ridgetop...........Northeast winds 8 to 16 mph with gusts to
                    around 22 mph.
Mixing height.......AOB 500 ft AGL early increasing to 6500 to 7000 ft AGL
                    early in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 12 mph.

$$
Forecaster...KAPLAN
Requested by...Lyle Koegler, SITL Type 3 IMT
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1719849.0/LOX
.EMAIL lyle.koegler@fire.lacounty.gov,mdelay@fs.fed.us.



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