Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

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000
FNUS74 KLZK 101333
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR ARNOLD BEND...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
733 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1115 CST ON FEBRUARY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...HUMIDITY WILL BOTTOM OUT CLOSE TO THE 30TH PERCENTILE THIS
AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE WEAKER TODAY VERSUS YESTERDAY. IF THE
FORECAST IS NOT VERIFYING OR DIFFERS SIGNIFICANTLY FROM
OBSERVATIONS...PLEASE CONTACT US IMMEDIATELY FOR AN UPDATE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........41 AT IGNITION...MAX 48.
RH..................34 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 28 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2600 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3353 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 5 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH
                    5 TO 7 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CST)      11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............38  41  43  45  47  46  45
RH..............34  31  30  29  28  31  33
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   5   6   7   7   6   5
20 FT WIND GUST.5       10  10  10  10
EYE LVL WND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   3   4   4   4   4   3
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   10  10  10  10  5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
TRANSP WIND SPD.15  16  17  18  20  21  22
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 27.
RH..................MAX 78 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 22 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 2500 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3252 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR CLR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............42  40  38  37  35  34  34  32  32  31  30  30
RH..............39  44  50  54  61  66  69  74  73  75  77  76
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  NW  N   N   N
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5                       5
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  NW  N   N   N
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5                       5
TRANSP WIND DIR.W   W   W   W   W   W   W   NW  NW  NW  N   N
TRANSP WIND SPD.22  22  21  20  18  17  16  15  14  14  13  13
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 47.
RH..................MIN 42 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 3 TO 12 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3100 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 3851 FT MSL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON...THEN
                    BECOMING LIGHT EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............1.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR MCR PC
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TEMP............29  30  31  34  37  40  42  44  45  46  45  44
RH..............78  76  74  66  59  52  48  45  43  42  43  44
20 FT WIND DIR..N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..2   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5                       5   5   5   5
EYE LVL WND DIR.N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
EYE LVL WND SPD.2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
EYE LVL WND GST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
TRANSP WIND DIR.N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E
TRANSP WIND SPD.12  12  10  10  10  10  9   8   7   6   5   3
LVORI...........1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0

$$
FORECASTER...55
REQUESTED BY...TIM FONDRIEST TYPE OF
REQUEST...PRESCRIBED .TAG 20160210.ARNOL.01/LZK


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