Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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000
FNUS74 KMAF 240904
FWSMAF

SPOT FORECAST FOR COYOTE...NM ADC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
404 AM CDT TUE MAY 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0233 MDT ON MAY 24.
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO 10 PM
CDT THIS EVENING...
...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
WEDNESDAY EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
AN EXTENDED PERIOD OF CRITICAL FIRE WEATHER IS EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY, AND POSSIBLY INTO THURSDAY. TODAY THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BE
IN A DEFINITIVE DRY AND UNSTABLE STATE WITH HAINES INDICES OF MOSTLY 5,
BUT A BRIEF PERIOD OF 6 IS POSSIBLE. OTHERWISE VERY DRY AIR IS IN PLACE
THIS MORNING AND WILL ONLY GET DRIER THROUGH THE DAY WITH MOST OF THE
AFTERNOON IN OR NEAR SINGLE DIGIT RH/S. RIDGETOPS WIND WILL INCREASE TO
ABOVE 20 MPH SUSTAINED WITH HIGHER GUSTS...DRAINAGE BOTTOMS WILL
EXPERIENCE LESS WIND. MORE OF THE SAME FOR WEDNESDAY BUT WINDS MAY BE A
LITTLE STRONGER.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-11 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........BREEZY. RIDGETOPS WEST WINDS 16 TO 21 MPH...INCREASING
                    22 TO 26 MPH BY MID/LATE MORNING WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
                    DRAINAGE BOTTOMS...TERRAIN DRIVEN 5 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (8500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (288500 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........CLEAR        CLEAR        CLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0            0            0
TEMP............57           66           74
RH..............21           14           10
20 FT WIND DIR..W            W            SW
20 FT WIND SPD..18           20           24
20 FT WIND GUST.29           31           35
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100       3900         8400
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           W            W
TRANS WIND SPD..13           20           26
VENT CAT........POOR         GOOD         EXCLNT
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....5            5            5

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (5-15 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 56-59.
MAX HUMIDITY........RIDGETOPS 19-23 PERCENT AND 27 TO 32 DRAINAGE BOTTOMS.
WIND (20 FT)........RIDGETOPS WEST WINDS 13 TO 18 MPH. DRAINAGE BOTTOM TERRAIN
                    DRIVEN 5 MPH OR LESS.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (133000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (1300 KNOT-FT) IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 PM         10 PM        2 AM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0            0            0
TEMP............74           71           63
RH..............9            13           16
20 FT WIND DIR..SW           W            W
20 FT WIND SPD..24           20           15
20 FT WIND GUST.30           25           20
MIX HGT (FT)....8000         BLW100       BLW100
TRANS WIND DIR..SW           W            W
TRANS WIND SPD..25           18           14
VENT CAT........EXCLNT       POOR         POOR
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....5            5            5

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-12 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDY. RIDGETOPS SOUTHWEST WINDS 22 TO 27 MPH AND GUSTY.
                    DRAINAGE BOTTOMS...TERRAIN DRIVEN 6 TO 9 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 (MODERATE).
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (410000 KNOT-FT).
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF PRECIP....0 PERCENT.

TIME (MDT)      6 AM         10 AM        2 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR       MCLEAR       MCLEAR
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE         NONE         NONE
CHC PCPN (%)....0            0            0
TEMP............56           65           72
RH..............18           15           11
20 FT WIND DIR..W            W            SW
20 FT WIND SPD..19           22           27
20 FT WIND GUST.25           30           40
MIX HGT (FT)....BLW100       4000         10000
TRANS WIND DIR..W            W            SW
TRANS WIND SPD..17           24           31
VENT CAT........POOR         GOOD         EXCLNT
LAL.............1            1            1
HAINES INDEX....5            5            5

$$

FORECASTER...MURDOCH
REQUESTED BY...NM-ADC
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160524.COYOT.01/MAF


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