Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Memphis, TN

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230
FNUS74 KMEG 060931
FWSMEG

SPOT FORECAST FOR LAKE MCKELLAR...USCG SECTOR LMR MEMPHIS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEMPHIS TN
331 AM CST SAT FEB 6 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 0600 CST ON FEBRUARY 06.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...PRECIPITATION FREE WEATHER IS EXPECTED TODAY
AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE PASSES TO THE SOUTH OF THE
FORECAST AREA. AN ARCTIC COLD FRONT WILL MOVE INTO
THE LOWER MISSISSIPPI VALLEY SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING A CHANCE
OF LIGHT RAIN AND/OR SNOW TO PORTIONS OF WEST TENNESSEE NEAR
THE TENNESSEE RIVER SUNDAY NIGHT INTO MONDAY. COLD ARCTIC AIR
WILL SPREAD INTO THE REGION FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. MODERATING
TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK FOLLOWED
BY COLDER AIR BEHIND ANOTHER COLD FRONT NEXT WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 54.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 PERCENT.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
CLOUD COVER.....71  71  71  71  69  66  64  55  45  36  30  25
PRECIP CHC (%)..0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
PRECIP TYPE.....
WEATHER COV.....
TEMPERATURE.....32  32  34  38  42  46  48  50  52  53  52  51
DEWPOINT........25  26  26  27  27  27  27  27  26  26  26  26
RH (%)..........76  79  72  64  55  48  43  40  36  35  36  38
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   7   7   7   7
MIXHGT KM AGL...0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.2 1.9 1.4 0.6
MIXHGT KFT AGL..0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.3 6.1 7.0 7.1 6.3 4.4 2.1
MIXHGT KM MSL...0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.0 1.4 0.7
MIXHGT KFT MSL..0.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2 4.5 6.3 7.2 7.3 6.5 4.6 2.3
TRANSWND DIR....S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   W   W   W   W
TRANS SPD M/S...1   1   1   0   0   0   0   0   1   1   1   1
TRANS SPD MPH...3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2
CATEGORY DAY....1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   1   1   1

.TONIGHT...

MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 33.
MAX HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
CLOUD COVER.....19  13  8   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   4   8
PRECIP CHC (%)..0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
PRECIP TYPE.....
WEATHER COV.....
TEMPERATURE.....47  45  44  42  41  40  39  38  37  37  36  36
DEWPOINT........26  26  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  27  28
RH (%)..........43  46  51  54  57  59  61  63  66  68  68  74
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5
20 FT WIND GUST.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   8
MIXHGT KM AGL...0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MIXHGT KFT AGL..0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MIXHGT KM MSL...0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
MIXHGT KFT MSL..0.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
TRANSWND DIR....W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
TRANS SPD M/S...1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
TRANS SPD MPH...2   2   3   3   3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
CATEGORY DAY....1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

.SUNDAY...

MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........46 PERCENT.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
CLOUD COVER.....11  12  14  15  20  24  29  33  38  42  44  45
PRECIP CHC (%)..0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
PRECIP TYPE.....
WEATHER COV.....
TEMPERATURE.....35  35  37  41  45  49  51  53  55  56  55  54
DEWPOINT........28  29  30  31  32  34  35  35  35  35  35  35
RH (%)..........76  79  75  67  60  57  54  49  47  46  46  49
20 FT WIND DIR..SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT WIND SPD..5   6   7   7   8   10  12  12  12  12  12  9
20 FT WIND GUST.8   9   12  13  15  17  20  21  21  21  20  16
MIXHGT KM AGL...0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.4 1.2 0.9 0.4
MIXHGT KFT AGL..0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 2.9 4.1 4.6 4.6 4.1 2.8 1.3
MIXHGT KM MSL...0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.3 0.9 0.4
MIXHGT KFT MSL..0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.1 4.3 4.8 4.8 4.3 3.0 1.5
TRANSWND DIR....SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W   SW  SW
TRANS SPD M/S...2   2   3   4   6   8   10  11  11  11  9   6
TRANS SPD MPH...5   5   6   8   13  17  22  24  25  24  20  14
CATEGORY DAY....1   1   1   1   2   3   4   4   4   4   3   2

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
COLDER. MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS AROUND 40. NORTHWEST
WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S.
NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 6 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...CHASKELSON
REQUESTED BY...LCDR MARY DWYER
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20160206.LAKEM.01/MEG



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