Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Miami, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMFL 230349
FWSMFL

Spot Forecast for COLLIER INCIDENT REQUEST...COLLIER COUNTY EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT
National Weather Service Miami FL
1149 PM EDT Sat Apr 22 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0000 EDT on April 23.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (305) 229-4522, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...
The current lull in the steady rainfall is expected
to continue through the overnight hours over the wildfire. An
additional round of more steady rain is expected to arrive after
daybreak on Sunday, before coverage tapers off into the afternoon
hours. While not immediately likely, an occasional lightning
strike and heavy downpour in the vicinity can not be ruled out
on Sunday. Light winds and wet ground may allow for local shallow
fog formation overnight leading reduced visibilities where it
mixes with smoke.

.SUNDAY THROUGH MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Patchy smoke
                    late in the night. Showers likely. A slight
                    chance of thunderstorms. A chance of showers.
Min temperature.....Around 66.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 7 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
LAL.................2.
Mixing height.......300-3600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 1 to 10 mph.
Dispersion index....13.
LVORI...............7.
Ceiling (kft).......3000.

Time (EDT)      MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A
Sky (%).........92  92  89  89  89  86  86  86  83  83  83  79
Weather cov.....        PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY CHC CHC CHC LKY
Weather type....        SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK SMK RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                                            SCH
Temp............69  68  67  67  66  66  65  66  67  70  74  78
RH..............95  96  97  97  98  99  100 100 99  92  84  77
20 ft wind dir..E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 ft wind dir..080 070 060 060 060 050 050 050 050 060 070 090
20 ft wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2
20 ft wind gust.                                        5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.9 1.6 2.2
Mixng wind dir..E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
Mixng wind spd..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   3   5
Dispersion idx..1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   3   6   12
LVORI...........9   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10  6   4   4
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  30  30  30  70
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). A slight chance
                    of showers through the day. A slight chance of
                    thunderstorms through early afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 83.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 14 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms through early
                    afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 0800,...then 2.
Mixing height.......300-1700 ft AGL...increasing to 2400-4200 ft
                    AGL early.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 15 mph...increasing to 18 to 21 mph
                    early.
Dispersion index....7...increasing to 57.
LVORI...............5.
Ceiling (kft).......25000.

$$
Forecaster...Baxter
Requested by...RICK ZYVOLOSKI
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1707335.12/MFL



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