Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 251328
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SOUP COMPLEX...MODOC NF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
628 AM PDT SUN SEP 25 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0748 PDT ON SEPTEMBER 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A STRONG RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE WILL PRODUCE
UNSEASONABLY WARM AND VERY DRY WEATHER THROUGH MONDAY. TODAY WILL
BE MUCH WARMER THAN YESTERDAY WITH SLOPE DRIVEN WINDS OVER MUCH OF
THE FIRE AND EAST WINDS ON THE RIDGES. MODERATE RECOVERIES ARE
EXPECTED MID SLOPE AND BELOW TONIGHT WITH POOR RECOVERIES ON THE
RIDGES. DRY EAST WINDS ARE LIKELY TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT
OVER THE RIDGES WITH ACTIVE BURNING CONDITIONS. WINDS BECOME MORE
SOUTHERLY TOMORROW WITH EVEN WARMER AND DRIER CONDITIONS.

WE WILL GRADUALLY START TO COOL OFF TUESDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY,
THEN SIGNIFICANT COOLING IS EXPECTED THURSDAY AND BEYOND AS A
LARGE TROUGH COMES INTO THE AREA. WE MAY ALSO SEE RAIN AND HIGH
ELEVATION SNOW LATE THIS WEEK AND NEXT WEEKEND.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....78 BOTTOM...65 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH 10AM THEN UPSLOPE
                    1-3 MPH THROUGH 2PM THEN EAST 3-6 MPH.
                    RIDGES: EAST 6-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH 10AM THEN UPSLOPE
                    1-3 MPH THROUGH 2PM THEN EAST 4-8 MPH.
                    RIDGES: EAST 10-15 MPH.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....48 BOTTOM...55 TOP.
MAX HUMIDITY........40-45 PERCENT BOTTOM...20-25 PERCENT TOP.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH. RIDGES: EAST 2-4 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........DOWNSLOPE 1-3 MPH. RIDGES: EAST 5-10 MPH.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82 BOTTOM...68 TOP.
MIN HUMIDITY........8-13 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH 10AM THEN UPSLOPE
                    1-3 MPH THROUGH 2PM THEN SOUTHEAST 3-6 MPH.
                    RIDGES: SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT AND VARIABLE THROUGH 10AM THEN UPSLOPE
                    1-3 MPH THROUGH 2PM THEN SOUTHEAST 4-8 MPH.
                    RIDGES: SOUTH-SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...WRIGHT
REQUESTED BY...DONAHUE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160924.SOUPC.01/MFR



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