Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 230259
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR HEMLOCK...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
759 PM PDT WED OCT 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON OCTOBER 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...GUSTY SOUTHWEST WINDS WILL CONTINUE AT TREE TOP LEVEL
THURSDAY AS A FRONTAL SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE AREA. SURFACE OR EYE
LEVEL WINDS WILL BE MUCH LESS DUE TO THE FULL SHELTERING INDICATED
IN THE SPOT REQUEST. EXPECT WETTING RAINS AS THE FRONT PUSHES THROUGH.
THE FRONT WILL STALL NEARBY THURSDAY AFTERNOON/EVENING, THEN PUSH
BACK NORTH AS A WARM FRONT THURSDAY NIGHT. RAIN CHANCES DECREASE
FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE FRONT LIFTING TO THE NORTH. ANOTHER STRONG
FRONT WILL MOVE IN SATURDAY WITH VERY STRONG WINDS PRECEDING IT.

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN IN THE MORNING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........80-90 PERCENT.
20 FT WINDS.........SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH DECREASING TO 5-15 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2000 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 25-35 MPH DECREASING TO 15-25 MPH.
CWR.................100 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY IN THE EVENING...THEN RAIN
                    LIKELY AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 41.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
20 FT WINDS.........SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING SOUTH OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500 FT AGL.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 10-20 MPH.
CWR.................85 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........RAIN LIKELY IN THE MORNING...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.
20 FT WINDS.........SOUTH 5-10 MPH INCREASING TO 10-15 MPH IN
                    THE AFTERNOON WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3500 FT BY EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST 20-30 MPH.
CWR.................85 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS 45 TO 55. 20 FT WINDS SOUTH
20-30 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 40 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
RAIN LIKELY AND A CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID TO UPPER 40S. 20 FT WINDS SOUTHWEST BECOMING
NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS NEAR 50. 20 FT WINDS
SOUTHWEST BECOMING WEST 5-10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SPILDE
REQUESTED BY...HEATHER MCRAE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141023.HEMLO.01/MFR







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