Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Medford, OR

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000
FNUS76 KMFR 310430
FWSMFR

SPOT FORECAST FOR CAMPY 9...USFS HIGH CASCADES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MEDFORD OR
930 PM PDT SAT MAY 30 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 PDT ON MAY 31.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE A MAJOR CONCERN OVER THE BURN
SITE DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS. WHILE AN LAL OF 3 IS
EXPECTED...A PERIOD OF 4 IN THE LATE AFTERNOON CAN NOT BE RULED OUT.
MODELS SUGGEST THUNDERSTORMS WOULD BEGIN TO THE WEST OF THE BURN
SITE BETWEEN 1400 AND 1600...THEN MOVE TO THE EAST POSSIBLY
IMPACTING THE IMMEDIATE AREA AROUND THE BURN SITE BY AS EARLY AS
1800. THUNDERSTORMS WILL THEN LIKELY REMAIN IN THE AREA THROUGH THE
REST OF THE EVENING. HOT AND DRY WEATHER DURING THE DAY SUNDAY WILL
BECOME COOLER AND SHOWERY MONDAY. WINDS COULD BECOME GUSTY AND
ERRATIC IN THE VICINITY OR WITHIN THUNDERSTORMS...BUT WINDS SHOULD
REMAIN RELATIVELY CALM OTHERWISE. MIXING WILL BE LIMITED DURING THE
OVERNIGHT HOURS...BUT WILL BE EXCELLENT DURING THE DAYTIME.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY IN THE MORNING...THEN PARTLY
                    CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-25 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 5 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO
                    7000-7500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
CWR.................10 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 IN THE MORNING...BECOMING 3 AFTER NOON.

HR______TEMP____|___RH____
1200:    73|31%
1300: 75|28%
1400: 78|25%

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........90-100 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WEST WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO AROUND 1500 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 4 MPH.
CWR.................40 PERCENT.
LAL.................3 IN THE EVENING...BECOMING 1 OVERNIGHT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 61.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-60 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS IN THE MORNING BECOMING WEST 2-4
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......AROUND 1500 FT AGL IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 6000-7000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING WINDS........WEST AROUND 15 MPH.
CWR.................60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.

HR______TEMP____|___RH____
1200:    57|68%
1300: 59|64%
1400: 60|61%

$$
FORECASTER...NIEUWENHUIS
REQUESTED BY...JOSLIN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150531.CAMPY.01/MFR



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