613
FNUS76 KMFR 040048
FWSMFR

Spot Forecast for Little Yamsay...US FS
National Weather Service MEDFORD OR
548 PM PDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 PDT on May 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A frontal system, fairly strong and cold for this
time of year, moves through the region tonight into Saturday
morning, bringing widespread rain and breezy SW to SSW winds.
Steady precipitation will begin around 11PM-12AM and continue
overnight into Saturday morning. As the front passes through the
local area late Saturday morning, winds will shift to the west and
steady rain will give way to intermittent, on-and-off again
showers for the rest of Saturday into Sunday. Snow levels will
decrease sharply with the front, from above 8,000 feet tonight to
4,600-4,700 feet by late Saturday morning. Snow levels will
continue to decrease gradually for the remainder of Saturday into
Sunday, dropping below 3,000 feet.


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. An approaching front will
lead to increasing chances for rain
this evening. Rain will then continue
overnight.  0.2-0.4" of rain accumulation.
Min temperature.....Around 33 degrees.
Max humidity........87-89 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 2-3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 mph increasing to 13 mph
overnight.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 15 mph.
CWR.................87 percent.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy. Mixed snow and rain in the
morning (70-90% chance). Intermittent
mixed rain and snow showers through the day
transitioning to snow showers in the evening.
Up to a half inch of snow accumulation, 0.5-0.7"
of liquid accumulation.
Max temperature.....43-45 degrees.
Min humidity........59-61 percent.
Eye level winds.....SSW winds 5-6 mph shifting to the
                    west 3-4 mph around 10-11 AM.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph shifting to
the west 7 to 8 mph in the late morning.
Mixing height.......Increasing to 5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 15 mph.
CWR.................93 percent.
LAL.................1.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow
                    showers (30-50% chance). Little snow accumulation
expected.
Min temperature.....Around 23 degrees.
Max humidity........90-93 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 2-3 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 9 mph.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
CWR.................3 percent.
LAL.................1.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of snow showers (40% chance
in the morning and afternoon decreasing to 15-20%
in the evening). Up to half an inch of snow accumulation.
Max temperature.....40-42 degrees.
Min humidity........59-61 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 3-4 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph.
CWR.................23 percent.
LAL.................1.

$$
Forecaster...PRICE
Requested by...Suzi Puddy
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2412869.3/MFR
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL orlfc@firenet.gov