Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI

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FNUS73 KMKX 181506
FWSMKX

SPOT FORECAST FOR HRRBP1603-SHOP...USFWS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MILWAUKEE/SULLIVAN WI
1006 AM CDT THU AUG 18 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1025 CDT ON AUGUST 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

SKIES WILL BECOME PARTLY SUNNY INTO THIS AFTERNOON...WITH LIGHT
SOUTH WINDS. THERE IS A SMALL CHANCE FOR A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM
JUST EAST OF THE BURN LOCATION THIS AFTERNOON...NEAR THE LAKE
BREEZE BOUNDARY. THINK THE BURN LOCATION WILL REMAIN DRY. WARM AND
HUMID CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED...WITH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES
DROPPING FROM THE 70S TO 50S PERCENT RANGE BY MID AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. AREAS OF FOG EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....80 AT IGNITION...MAX 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 5 MPH AT IGNITION...REMAINING
                    SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH THIS AFTERNOON.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW AT IGNITION...MAX 4.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD /32800 KNOT-FT/ AT IGNITION. MAX...GOOD
                    /42300 KNOT-FT/ INCREASING TO GOOD TO EXCELLENT
                    (51800-76000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLEAR PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TEMP............79     81     84     85
RH..............72     63     55     53
20 FT WIND......S 4    S 5    S 5    S 5
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF
                    PRECIPITATION 20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....MIN 67.
MAX HUMIDITY........MAX 100 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (1300-28700 KNOT-FT).

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....                                   S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR
TEMP............82     77     72     71     71     70
RH..............61     74     87     87     87     93
20 FT WIND......S 5    S 4    S 4    S 4    S 4    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10     10     10
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      3      3      4

.FRIDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS. CHANCE OF PRECIPITATION 30
                    PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....MAX 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........MIN 56 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 9 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (1400-47600 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO
                    GOOD TO EXCELLENT (47000-69500 KNOT-FT) IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............67     70     77     83     87     87
RH..............97     90     79     65     57     59
20 FT WIND......S 4    S 5    SW 7   SW 8   SW 8   SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     15     15     20
HAINES INDEX....4      4      4      4      4      4

$$
FORECASTER...WOOD
REQUESTED BY...SEAN SALLMANN
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160818.HRRBP.01/MKX



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