Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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FNUS72 KMLB 260946
FWSMLB

SPOT FORECAST FOR PERKINS...US FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MELBOURNE FL
546 AM EDT FRI AUG 26 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 26.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...STEADY ONSHORE FLOW WILL KEEP RH VALUES ON THE HIGH SIDE.
LIGHT NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS WILL STEADILY INCREASE THROUGH MID MORNING,
BECOMING EAST AROUND 10 TO 15 MPH. ISOLATED SHOWERS WILL MOVE OVER THE
BURN SITE THIS MORNING WITH AN ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKE POSSIBLE THIS
AFTERNOON.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS THROUGH LATE MORNING.
                    A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND A SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........56 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS THIS MORNING BECOMING EAST 9 TO 13 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1100...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3800-4000 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....INCREASING TO EAST 13 TO 16 MPH BY LATE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....INCREASING TO 51 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............7 AT SUNRISE DECREASING TO 1.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........50  50  50  50  50  63  63  63  63
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TEMP............80  83  86  90  91  90  89  88  87
RH..............83  75  68  61  56  57  58  61  63
20 FT WIND DIR..NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT WIND SPD..7   8   10  12  12  12  13  14  14
20 FT WIND GUST.    10          15  15  15  15  15

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
                    CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 12 MPH IN THE EVENING
                    BECOMING LIGHT...THEN BECOMING NORTHEAST AROUND
                    5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2000...THEN 1.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2200-3800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-1200 FT AGL
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 9 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST
                    AROUND 5 MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.
DISPERSION INDEX....32 AT SUNSET DECREASING TO 3 AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LVORI...............2 INCREASING TO 7.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........63  63  47  47  47  47  47  47  36  36  36  36
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW
TEMP............85  83  81  80  79  78  78  77  77  77  76  76
RH..............67  70  75  77  81  84  85  87  88  88  90  90
20 FT WIND DIR..E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N   N   N   NE  NE
20 FT WIND SPD..13  10  8   6   5   3   3   2   3   3   3   5
20 FT WIND GUST.15  14  12
LVORI...........1   1   1   2   2   3   3   4   5   5   5   7

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400...THEN 2.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400-1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 3200-4200 FT AGL
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH INCREASING TO 16 TO 17 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....54.
LVORI...............7 DECREASING TO 1.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........36     48     48     48     68     68
WEATHER COV.....       SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TEMP............75     77     83     88     91     89
RH..............95     90     77     63     54     57
20 FT WIND......NE 5   NE 6   NE 8   E 10   E 12   E 12
20 FT WIND GUST.              10
LVORI...........7      5      3      1      1      1

$$
FORECASTER...ULRICH
REQUESTED BY...ALAN KIRBY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160826.PERKI.01/MLB



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