Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL

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000
FNUS72 KMLB 271440
FWSMLB

Spot Forecast for Rx Fire KCOL Gardner Cobb...SFWMD
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
940 AM EST Mon Feb 27 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1100 EST on February 27.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...The axis of a high pressure ridge will remain to our
north today before shifting southward through mid week. This will
generate a steady southeast surface and transport flow through
Tuesday afternoon. A few showers over the Atlantic will push onshore
south of Cape Canaveral but are not expected to impact the burn site.
Patchy fog may develop early Tuesday morning.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather........Sunny (10-20 percent) then becoming partly
                   sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of rain
                   showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn.....20 percent.
LAL................No Tstms.
Max temperature....Around 84.
Min humidity.......51 percent.
Wind (20 ft).......Southeast winds 5 to 13 mph.
Mixing height......200-500 ft AGL increasing to 4600-5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds....East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast 13
                   to 21 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index...3 increasing to 39 early in the morning, then
                   increasing to 71 around midday, decreasing to
   55 late in the afternoon.
LVORI..............9 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)         11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............34  34  53  53  53  42  42
Weather cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type.......        RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov...........
Chc of pcpn (%)....20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL................1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp...............78  80  83  83  84  84  81
RH.................62  59  54  53  51  51  56
20 FT wind dir.....E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd.....14  14  13  13  12  10  9
20 FT wind gust....20  20  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)......3.6 4.2 4.7 5.3 5.5 5.0 3.6
Transp wind dir....SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd....21  20  17  17  16  16  13
Dispersion idx.....73  75  69  73  70  67  55
LVORI..............1   1   1   1   1   1   1


.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                   showers early in the evening. Patchy fog after
                   midnight.
Chance of pcpn.....20 percent.
LAL................No Tstms.
Min temperature....Around 64.
Max humidity.......100 percent.
Wind (20 ft).......East winds 5 to 7 mph until early morning
                   becoming light.
Mixing height......300-600 ft AGL.
Transport winds....East 3 to 9 mph.
Dispersion index...23 decreasing to 3.
LVORI..............3 increasing to 7.

TIME (EST)         6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)............42  32  32  32  32  32  32  45  45  45  45  45
Weather cov........SCH                             PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type.......RW                              FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov...........
Chc of pcpn (%)....20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp...............78  74  73  71  69  69  68  67  67  66  66  66
RH.................63  72  76  82  90  89  91  93  92  94  93  94
20 FT wind dir.....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd.....8   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   5   5   3   3
20 FT wind gust....
Mix hgt (kft)......2.0 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir....E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd....9   7   7   7   7   6   6   5   3   3   3   3
Dispersion idx.....23  3   3   3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   2
LVORI..............2   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7


.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent). Patchy fog early
                   in the morning.
Chance of pcpn.....10 percent.
LAL................No Tstms.
Max temperature....Around 85.
Min humidity.......53 percent.
Wind (20 ft).......Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 8 mph early
                   in the morning.
Mixing height......300-700 ft AGL increasing to 4200-4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds....Southeast 3 to 8 mph increasing to 10 to 15 mph
                   in the late morning and afternoon.
Dispersion index...2 increasing to 39 early in the morning,
   increasing to 59 early afternoon, decreasing to
   51 late in the afternoon.
LVORI..............8 decreasing to 1.

TIME (EST)         6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)............45  51  51  51  51  51  51  48  48  48  48  48
Weather cov........PTY
Weather type.......FOG
Tstm cov...........
Chc of pcpn (%)....10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL................1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp...............65  65  69  73  76  79  81  83  85  84  83  80
RH.................99  99  90  82  75  67  63  58  53  53  54  59
20 FT wind dir.....E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  E
20 FT wind spd.....3   3   6   8   9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8
20 FT wind gust....
Mix hgt (kft)......0.3 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.6 3.3 4.0 4.4 4.7 4.7 4.3 3.2
Transp wind dir....E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd....5   3   8   13  15  14  12  10  12  13  14  14
Dispersion idx.....2   2   12  29  46  55  56  56  62  62  62  51
LVORI..............8   8   5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1

$$

Forecaster...Bragaw
Requested by...A Riddick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1702994.0/MLB
.EMAIL ariddick@sfwmd.gov



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