Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 291233
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for Bansa A-77...USAF Eglin
National Weather Service Mobile AL
733 AM CDT Sat Apr 29 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 CDT on April 29.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT SUNDAY NIGHT...

.DISCUSSION...A strong mixed layer southeast flow today will be of
most impact today due to the difference in pressure between a
ridge of high pressure to the east and an intensifying storm
system over the Plains. Dispersion will be good with frequent wind
gusts likely near 35 mph. These conditions likely to continue
into the day Sunday. Storms look to be isolated in coverage.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph. Frequent
                    gusts up to 35 mph.
Mixing height.......1400-2500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...427-762 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 21 to 24 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 9 to 11 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 51.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........70  69  68  66  65  65  64  63  62  60
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............76  78  79  80  80  81  81  81  80  79
RH..............87  82  79  77  77  74  74  74  77  79
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..14  15  16  17  18  19  19  19  19  18
20 FT wind gust.20  25  25  30  30  35  35  35  35  30
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.6 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.21  22  23  23  24  24  24  23  23  22
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).9   10  10  10  11  11  11  10  10  10
Dispersion idx..35  40  45  48  50  51  50  49  48  47
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min temperature.....Around 73.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 13 to 18 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...274 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 14 to 22 mph.
Transport winds m/s.Southeast 6 to 10 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Decreasing to 14.
LVORI...............4 to 5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........59  59  58  57  56  55  54  53  54  58  61  64
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  76  75  75  75  75  75  75  74  74  74  73
RH..............85  87  90  90  90  90  90  90  93  93  93  97
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..18  17  16  15  15  14  13  13  13  13  14  15
20 FT wind gust.25  25  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...2.3 1.6 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 1.0 1.0 1.2
Mix hgt (km)....0.7 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.4
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.22  21  20  18  17  15  14  14  14  15  17  21
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Trans spd (m/s).10  9   9   8   8   7   6   6   6   7   8   9
Dispersion idx..47  26  21  20  19  16  14  14  15  16  20  23
LVORI...........3   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5   5

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1300, then 1-8 strikes.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 16 to 23 mph. Gusts up to 35
                    mph increasing to 40 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1400-2500 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...427-762 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 23 to 30 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South 10 to 13 meters/second.
Dispersion index....Increasing to 65.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........67  68  68  68  67  67  66  66  68  71  75  78
Weather cov.....                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........                            SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2   2   2   2
Temp............73  74  76  78  79  80  80  80  79  79  79  77
RH..............93  90  85  79  77  74  74  74  77  77  77  82
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..16  17  18  19  20  21  22  23  22  21  20  20
20 FT wind gust.20  25  25  30  30  35  40  40  40  35  35  30
Mix hgt (kft)...1.4 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.23  26  28  29  30  29  28  26  28  29  29  28
Trans wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Trans spd (m/s).10  12  13  13  13  13  13  12  13  13  13  13
Dispersion idx..28  47  54  60  65  65  63  61  60  59  58  55
LVORI...........4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...10
Requested by...Jerry Coon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1708005.0/MOB
.EMAIL jerry.coon@us.af.mil



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