Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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000
FNUS74 KMOB 181112
FWSMOB

SPOT FORECAST FOR EGLIN AFB...E.N.R.
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
512 AM CST WED JAN 18 2017

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 CST ON JANUARY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...RAIN CHANCES WILL INCREASE LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE
THROUGH THURSDAY AS A DEEP UPPER LOW OVER THE MID SECTION OF THE
COUNTRY APPROACHES FROM THE WEST. AFTERNOON RELATIVE HUMIDITY LEVELS
WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS THROUGH THURSDAY. LOW TO
MODERATE DISPERSION IS EXPECTED THROUGH THURSDAY.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (55-65 PERCENT). AREAS OF DENSE
                    FOG EARLY IN THE MORNING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
                    DAY.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 75.
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2200 FT AGL INCREASING TO 2700-3000 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 14 IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............6.
STABILITY CLASS.....2.

TIME (CST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........60  61  62  63  62  61  60  58  57
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20  20
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
TEMP............69  72  73  74  75  75  74  73  71
RH..............84  76  76  74  71  71  74  76  81
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.0 1.6 2.2 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S
TRANSP WIND SPD.3   3   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
DISPERSION IDX..5   8   10  12  14  14  14  14  14
LVORI...........5   4   4   3   3   3   3   4   4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
LAL.................NO TSTMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............7.
STABILITY CLASS.....4.

TIME (CST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........56  56  57  58  58  59  59  60  63  65  67  70
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
TEMP............69  67  66  65  64  64  64  63  63  63  62  62
RH..............87  93  93  97  100 100 97  100 100 100 100 100
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT WIND SPD..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4
20 FT WIND GUST.5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.9 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.6   5   5   5   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   6
DISPERSION IDX..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5
LVORI...........5   6   7   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE MORNING...THEN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    LIKELY IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.
LAL.................1-8 STRIKES UNTIL 1200...THEN 16-25 STRIKES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.
MIN HUMIDITY........79 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 12 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......700-2000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 14 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 23 IN THE LATE MORNING AND
                    AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............5.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.

TIME (CST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........71  73  77  82  86  90  92  93  94  96  98  99
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
WEATHER TYPE....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
TSTM COV........SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY LKY
CHC OF PCPN (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  60  60  60  60  60  60
LAL.............2   2   2   2   2   2   4   4   4   4   4   4
TEMP............63  64  66  68  70  72  73  73  72  71  69  67
RH..............100 100 97  90  84  81  79  79  81  84  90  97
20 FT WIND DIR..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..4   5   6   7   8   9   10  11  11  11  10  10
20 FT WIND GUST.5   10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.7 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.7   8   9   10  12  13  13  14  14  14  13  12
DISPERSION IDX..8   10  13  15  18  22  25  26  26  27  25  23
LVORI...........7   7   5   4   4   4   3   3   4   4   4   4

$$
FORECASTER...32
REQUESTED BY...NATHAN PRICE
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1700480.0/MOB
.EMAIL NATHAN.PRICE@US.AF.MIL



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