Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS San Francisco Bay Area, CA

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939
FNUS76 KMTR 190205
FWSMTR

Spot Forecast for Bear Fire CA-CZU-007822...CalFire
National Weather Service San Francisco Bay Area
705 PM PDT Wed Oct 18 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1900 PDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Better relative humidity recoveries are expected on
Wednesday night as onshore flow persists and a marine layer becomes
established along the coastal slopes. Cooler conditions are forecast
for Thursday along with rising relative humidity as onshore flow
increases. An early season cold front is forecast to bring
light rain to the Santa Cruz Mountains on Thursday night. Rainfall
amounts are expected to be around 0.10".  Rain will end by Friday
morning. Light north winds tonight will be followed by slightly
stronger west winds on Thursday. Winds will then turn to the
southwest ahead of the front on Thursday evening and be gusty
at times. Winds will switch to the northwest behind the front
late Thursday night and continue gusty from the northwest
into Friday. A warming trend is forecast for the upcoming
weekend with warm and dry weather expected during the first
half of next week.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear.
Min temperature.....40-48.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
Eye level winds.....North winds 3 to 5 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......North winds 5 to 8 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL early lowering to 500 ft AGL after midnight.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Marine layer........None.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....68-73.
Min humidity........45-55 percent.
Eye level winds.....West winds 4 to 7 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 7 to 10 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 3500 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
Marine layer........None.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Chance of light rain.
Min temperature.....45-51.
Max humidity........90-100 percent.
Eye level winds.....Southwest winds 4 to 7 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight. Gusts to 12 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph shifting to the
                    northwest after midnight. Gusts to 17 mph.
CWR.................30 percent of getting 0.10" or more.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......2000-3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 8 to 13 mph shifting to the northwest
                    10 to 17 mph after midnight.
Marine layer........None.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy.
Max temperature.....58-63.
Min humidity........55-65 percent.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph with gusts to 15 mph.
Wind (20 ft)........
 Slope/valley.......Northwest winds 9 to 15 mph with gusts to 20 mph.
CWR.................0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Mixing height.......1500 ft AGL increasing to 4000 ft AGL
                    in the afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph.
Marine layer........None.

$$
Forecaster...D_DYKEMA
Requested by...Jim Irving
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1717512.0/MTR
.EMAIL jirving@nbimt.org



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