Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FNUS75 KPUB 241035
FWSPUB

Spot Forecast for Mount Shavano Prescribed Fire...US Forest Service
National Weather Service PUEBLO CO
435 AM MDT Tue Oct 24 2017

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on October 24.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

Please contact our office at (719) 948-9429, if you have questions
or concerns with this forecast.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry northerly flow across the burn area today. Continued dry but
slightly warmer for Wednesday as the winds are expected to
increase and shift to a more westerly direction ahead of an
approaching disturbance.

Looking ahead, expect cooler temperatures on Thursday, with a
further drop of 5 to 10 degrees for Friday. There may be the
chance for some isolated rain and or snow showers from midday
Thursday through Friday morning.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....56-61F.
Min humidity........12-17 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North 6-12 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft agl until 1100, then 7000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 0700, then Fair until 1100, then Good.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Clear.
Min temperature.....32-37F.
Max humidity........37-42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 4-7 mph.
Mixing height.......5000 ft agl until 2000, then 2000 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 6 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair until 1900, then Poor.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny.
Max temperature.....58-63F.
Min humidity........10-15 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest 4-7 mph wind until 1100, then west
                    around 9 mph with gusts to around 16 mph.
Mixing height.......4500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....West around 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor until 1000, then good.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...MOORE
Requested by...John Markalunas
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 1717718.1/PUB



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