Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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951
FNUS75 KRIW 302021
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOKEWANNA...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
221 PM MDT SAT JUL 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1353 MDT ON JULY 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...RED FLAG WARNING FOR THE FIRE AND ZONE 277 THROUGH 9 PM THIS
EVENING...

SCATTERED GUSTY SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE AROUND
AND OVER THE FIRE AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. THE POTENTIAL FOR
VERY STRONG WIND GUSTS OVER 50 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITH THESE MOSTLY
DRY THUNDERSTORMS. IT WILL CONTINUE QUITE WARM AND DRY (LOW RH`S)
AGAIN SUNDAY WITH BREEZY TO WINDY CONDITIONS CONTINUING. A CHANCE
OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE THROUGHOUT THE
DAY WITH THE POTENTIAL FOR GUSTY WINDS NEAR THEM.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 52-55.
MAX HUMIDITY........42-47 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25
                    MPH IN THE EVENING THEN BECOMING SOUTHWEST AROUND
                    8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    OF 40 TO 50 MPH EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 10 MPH
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6500 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (113100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (20000 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE
                    MORNING...THEN SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....83-87.
MIN HUMIDITY........16-19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS OVER 40 MPH
                    EXPECTED NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10300 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 17 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (71300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (250800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...SID HALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160730.TOKEW.01/RIW



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