Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Blacksburg, VA

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378
FNUS71 KRNK 201105
FWSRNK

SPOT FORECAST FOR SASSAFRAS RIDGE...NC STATE PARKS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BLACKSBURG VA
705 AM EDT WED JUL 20 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EDT ON JULY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LOW THROUGH THE PERIOD.

A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL REMAIN JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA
TODAY WITH HIGH PRESSURE IN CONTROL THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE
WEEK. THIS WILL RESULT IN WARM AND DRIER WEATHER, BUT AN ISOLATED
SHOWER OR STORM STILL CANNOT BE RULED OUT. VERY LOW PROBABILITY
THOUGH. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT EXCEPT NEAR ANY STORMS.

INVERSION LIFTS THIS MORNING BETWEEN 9AM AND 10AM...AND SETS BACK IN
BETWEEN 7PM AND 8PM.

&&

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING NORTHEAST 5
                    TO 6 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 4500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 2 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH 0 TO 1 MPH
                    LATE.

TIME (EDT)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............17     20     32
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................81     84     86
RH..................58     52     47
20 FT WIND..........NE 4   NE 4   NE 5
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      10
MIX HGT (FT)........2400   4100   4100
TRANSPORT WIND......NE 7   NE 5   S 1
CWR.................10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 68.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......EAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE EVENING...BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL...DECREASING TO 300 FT AGL EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 3 MPH...BECOMING EAST 3 TO 9 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............36     33     42     42     34     37
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................83     80     76     73     72     70
RH..................55     65     74     80     82     86
20 FT WIND..........E 5    E 6    E 5    E 3    E 2    E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10     5      5      5
MIX HGT (FT)........2800   300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......S 3    E 9    E 7    E 5    E 3    E 3
CWR.................10     10     10     10     10     10

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.
20-FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
CWR (0.01 IN).......10 PERCENT...INCREASING TO 20 PERCENT IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 3900 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 1 TO 5 MPH.

TIME (EDT)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............36     30     26     27     31     34
WEATHER COV.........                            S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV............                            S CHC  S CHC
TEMP................69     72     77     81     84     86
RH..................90     86     75     65     57     52
20 FT WIND..........E 3    NE 3   E 2    E 2    SE 2   E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5      5                    5
MIX HGT (FT)........300    500    1300   2300   3500   3800
TRANSPORT WIND......E 5    NE 5   NE 3   NE 2   E 1    E 1
CWR.................10     10     10     10     20     20

$$
FORECASTER...KEIGHTON
REQUESTED BY...MATT WINDSOR
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160720.SASSA.01/RNK



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