Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Springfield, MO

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000
FNUS73 KSGF 071239
FWSSGF

SPOT FORECAST FOR PINEY ELBOW...USDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
639 AM CST SUN FEB 7 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 CST ON FEBRUARY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE REGION TODAY AND TONIGHT WITH GUSTY WINDS
AND DRY CONDITIONS. SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY THIS
AFTERNOON THEN NORTHWESTERLY TONIGHT. WIND GUSTS OF 20 TO 30 MPH COULD OCCUR
BY THIS AFTERNOON WITH GUSTY WINDS THROUGH TONIGHT.

MUCH COLDER WEATHER IS THEN EXPECTED MONDAY WITH GUSTY NORTHWEST WINDS
AND FLURRIES.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT).
TEMPERATURE.........43 AT IGNITION...MAX 55.
RH..................57 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 35 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 9 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. HIGHER
                    GUSTS TO AROUND 20 MPH BY AFTERNOON.
WIND SHIFT..........SOUTHWEST WINDS BECOMING MORE WESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH AT IGNITION...MAX 5.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1400 FT AGL AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE 400-2200 FT
                    AGL INCREASING TO 2900-4200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 22 TO 26 MPH.

TIME (CST)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........55     65     69     68
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........
TEMP............43     50     54     55
RH..............57     44     36     35
20 FT WIND......SW 7   W 8    W 8    W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.20     15     15     15
CHC OF PCPN (%).0      0      0      10
HAINES INDEX....5      4      4      4

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    FLURRIES EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 29.
RH..................MAX 75 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 TO 5 OR OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH TO OR MODERATE POTENTIAL
                    FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900-4700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4900-5300 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 28 TO 37 MPH INCREASING TO 38 TO 40
                    MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).........63     59     77     82     91     93
WEATHER COV.....                     SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   NONE   NONE   SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............50     42     38     36     33     31
RH..............39     50     62     64     72     75
20 FT WIND......W 7    W 7    W 7    W 8    NW 9   NW 10
20 FT WIND GUST.15     15     15     15     20     20
CHC OF PCPN (%).10     10     10     10     20     20
HAINES INDEX....3      4      5      3      3      3

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (90-100 PERCENT). SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 32.
RH..................MIN 51 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 13 TO 16 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    AROUND 30 MPH.
WIND SHIFT..........
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 36 TO 41 MPH.

TIME (CST)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).........93     93     94     95     96     98
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR SNSHWR
TSTM COV........
TEMP............30     29     30     31     32     32
RH..............72     69     60     53     51     51
20 FT WIND......NW 10  NW 10  NW 12  NW 14  NW 14  NW 13
20 FT WIND GUST.25     25     30     30     30     30
CHC OF PCPN (%).40     40     40     30     30     30
HAINES INDEX....2      2      2      2      2      2

$$
FORECASTER...FOSTER
REQUESTED BY...REGGIE BRAY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160207.PINEY.01/SGF



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