Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS

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000
FNUS72 KTAE 070706
FWSTAE

SPOT FORECAST FOR BURN UNIT 253...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
306 AM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON JULY 07.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE AT (850)942-8833.

.DISCUSSION...
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED WITH 40 PERCENT CHANCE AT BURN SITE
THIS AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL BE LESS THAN 10 MPH TODAY... FROM THE
NORTHWEST THIS MORNING AND FROM THE SOUTHWEST THIS AFTERNOON AFTER
THE SEA BREEZE KICKS IN.

FOG POTENTIAL AND OTHER REMARKS...WIDESPREAD FOG IS NOT EXPECTED.


.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
                    CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........85 AT IGNITION...MAX 94.
RH..................67 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 49 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS NORTHWEST AT 4 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...OTHERWISE LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................10 PERCENT INCREASING TO 40 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......600-2400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5900-6100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 2 TO 7 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 47.

TIME (EDT)      10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............85     91     93     93
RH..............67     54     49     49
20 FT WIND......NW 3   NW 3   NW 2   W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     10

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING...THEN
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 75.
RH..................MAX 94 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL EARLY MORNING.
CWR.................40 PERCENT DECREASING TO 20 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-5200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 400-800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MIN 5.

TIME (EDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY COVER.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE S CHC  S CHC  S CHC
TEMP............91     86     82     79     77     76
RH..............54     65     77     85     87     87
20 FT WIND......W 2    SW 4   S 2    S 1    SW 1   W 1
20 FT WIND GUST.10     10     10     5      5      5

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 96.
RH..................MIN 43 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5 MPH LATE
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
CWR.................20 PERCENT INCREASING TO 50 PERCENT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500-2100 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4800-5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 1 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....MAX 54.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY COVER.......MCLEAR PCLDY  PCLDY  PCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
WEATHER COV.....       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........       S CHC  S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE
TEMP............75     78     87     95     96     94
RH..............94     88     59     45     43     46
20 FT WIND......W 0    NW 1   N 2    N 2    N 2    SE 1
20 FT WIND GUST.5      5      10     10     10     5

$$
FORECASTER...EMMA WESTON
REQUESTED BY...AARON EDWARDS
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150707.BURNU.01/TAE


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