Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FNUS73 KUNR 191817
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR SECTION 2 RX...SD WILDLAND FIRE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
1217 PM MDT SUN OCT 19 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...DRY AND WARM CONDITIONS EXPECTED EARLY THIS WEEK.
SMOKE DISPERSAL NOT EXPECTED TO BE GOOD ON MONDAY...BUT MAY BE A
BIT BETTER ON TUESDAY. MIN RH`S BOTH DAYS AROUND 25 PERCENT.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY.
TEMPERATURE.........60 AT IGNITION...MAX 71.
RH..................40 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 27 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST AT 6 TO 10 MPH AT
                    IGNITION...SOUTH 10 TO 14 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BRIEFLY FAIR IN THE AFTERNOON.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLEAR.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 48.
RH..................MAX 63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.OUTLOOK FOR TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.
RH..................MIN 26 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........WINDS SOUTHWEST 12 TO 18 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR.

$$
FORECASTER...JJ
REQUESTED BY...DARREN CLABO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141020.SECTI.01/UNR





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