Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Rapid City, SD

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000
FNUS73 KUNR 212107
FWSUNR

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAHONEY...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RAPID CITY SD
307 PM MDT SUN SEP 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1450 MDT ON SEPTEMBER 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE CONTACT THE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICE IN RAPID CITY.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH FAIR HUMIDITY
RECOVERY OVERNIGHT. A WEAK SYSTEM WILL CROSS THE REGION THE NEXT
COUPLE DAYS...WHICH WILL BRING CHANCES FOR SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. TRANSPORT WINDS WILL STILL BE LIGHT...RESULTING IN
POOR SMOKE DISPERSAL MONDAY. SOUTH WINDS WILL INCREASE THROUGH
MONDAY MORNING.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 49.
RH..................MAX 66 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 3 TO 6 MPH.
CWR.................0 PERCENT.
LAL.................1.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......100 TO 600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 14 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE MORNING...THEN CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........MAX 73.
RH..................MIN 44 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.
CWR.................15 PERCENT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000 TO 3800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

$$
FORECASTER...CALDERON
REQUESTED BY...JACOB DIEDTRICH
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140921.MAHON.03/UNR






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