Hydrometeorological Discussion
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AGUS71 KTIR 021745
HMDTIR
Ohio River Basin Hydrometeorological Discussion
Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, Ohio
145 PM EDT Monday, May 2, 2016

...HYDROMETEOROLOGICAL DISCUSSION...
A batch of showers and thunderstorms associated with a low pressure system
rolling through the southern Ohio Valley will produce locally heavy
rainfall today. Some isolated showers may linger into Tuesday.  A strong cold
front expected to dive into the region midweek will bring more widespread
showers and thunderstorms, although with limited moisture, amounts will be
modest.

...FLOOD POTENTIAL DISCUSSION...
Rain from this past weekend has resulted in minor flooding in the western
Ohio Valley and in eastern Kentucky.  This flooding will persist a few more
days.  Otherwise, with relatively lighter rainfall expected the rest of the
week, the flood threat will dwindle.

...24-HR OBSERVED PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Widespread showers and thunderstorms produced 0.25" to 0.75" across much of
the basin. Locally heavier amounts over 1.50" were observed in
thunderstorms.

...48-HR FORECAST PRECIPITATION USED IN TODAY`S RIVER FORECASTS...
Forecast amounts in the southern basin range from 0.25" to 1.25".
Meanwhile, less than 0.20" is expected north of the Ohio River.

...RIVER BASINS IN FLOOD...
Points along the following river basins were in flood Monday morning:
 River Basin     Forecast Point   Flood Stage Latest Stg Tendency *
Kentucky River   Heidelberg Lock       20         20.5    Falling
Kentucky River   Ravenna               21         23.2    Falling
White River      Petersburg            16         16.3    Rising
Little Wabash Ri Clay City             18         18.9    Steady

Forecast precipitation graphics are available on the OHRFC Website
at the following address:  http://weather.gov/ohrfc/ForecastPrecipitation

* Tendency based on observed value and a 1-day forecast.
$$
jm




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