Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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FLUS44 KMOB 250952
HWOMOB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
452 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

ALZ051>060-261>266-FLZ201>206-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-261200-
CHOCTAW-WASHINGTON-CLARKE-WILCOX-MONROE-CONECUH-BUTLER-CRENSHAW-
ESCAMBIA-COVINGTON-MOBILE INLAND-BALDWIN INLAND-MOBILE CENTRAL-
BALDWIN CENTRAL-MOBILE COASTAL-BALDWIN COASTAL-ESCAMBIA INLAND-
ESCAMBIA COASTAL-SANTA ROSA INLAND-SANTA ROSA COASTAL-
OKALOOSA INLAND-OKALOOSA COASTAL-WAYNE-PERRY-GREENE-STONE-GEORGE-
452 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA...SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...NORTHWEST FLORIDA AND SOUTHEAST
MISSISSIPPI.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

FOR TODAY...GIVEN THE POSITION OF THE BETTER MOISTURE AND DAYTIME
INSTABILITY OVER THE WESTERN HALF OF THE LOCAL AREA...ISOLATED TO
SCATTERED STORMS ARE FORECAST BY MID MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON
GENERALLY ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE FROM GROVE HILL ALABAMA TO
PENSACOLA FLORIDA. THE POTENTIAL EXISTS FOR A FEW STRONG STORMS
CAPABLE OF PRODUCING BRIEF STRONG WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH. FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND TORRENTIAL DOWNPOURS ALSO POSSIBLE IN STRONGER STORMS.

AS A DRIER DEEP LAYER AIRMASS MOVES IN FROM THE EAST...CHANCES OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL TREND TO MINIMAL PERCENTAGES LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHT.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80%...THAT A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
APPROACHING THE BAHAMAS THIS WEEKEND WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE. DUE TO THE LARGE UNCERTAINTY THAT REMAINS REGARDING THE
FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS DISTURBANCE BEYOND THE
WEEKEND...IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO TALK ABOUT SPECIFICS ON IMPACTS
TO THE NORTH CENTRAL GULF COAST FOR NEXT WEEK. PLEASE CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR UPDATES AS THIS SYSTEM DEVELOPS THROUGH THE
WEEK.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

ACTIVATION OF SKYWARN SEVERE STORM SPOTTER NETWORKS IS NOT
EXPECTED THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

$$

GMZ630>635-650-655-670-675-261200-
NORTHERN MOBILE BAY-SOUTHERN MOBILE BAY-MISSISSIPPI SOUND-
PERDIDO BAY-PENSACOLA BAY SYSTEM-CHOCTAWHATCHEE BAY-
COASTAL WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS OUT 20 NM-
COASTAL WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL OUT 20 NM-
WATERS FROM PENSACOLA FL TO PASCAGOULA MS FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM DESTIN TO PENSACOLA FL FROM 20 TO 60 NM-
452 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF THE COASTAL
WATERS OF ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

NO HAZARDOUS WEATHER IS EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE...80%...THAT A TROPICAL DISTURBANCE
APPROACHING THE BAHAMAS THIS WEEKEND WILL DEVELOP INTO A TROPICAL
CYCLONE. DUE TO THE LARGE UNCERTAINTY THAT REMAINS REGARDING THE
FUTURE TRACK AND INTENSITY OF THIS DISTURBANCE BEYOND THE
WEEKEND...IT IS STILL TOO EARLY TO TALK ABOUT SPECIFICS ON IMPACTS
TO THE ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA GULF COASTAL WATERS FOR NEXT
WEEK. PLEASE CONTINUE TO MONITOR THE FORECAST FOR UPDATES AS THIS
SYSTEM DEVELOPS THROUGH THE WEEK.

$$


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