Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary On
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26
000
FOPZ14 KNHC 272036
PWSEP4

HURRICANE HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  26
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
2100 UTC THU JUL 27 2017

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
17.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 116.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

ISLA CLARION   34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

20N 115W       34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

15N 120W       34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

20N 120W       34  3  60(63)  24(87)   1(88)   X(88)   X(88)   X(88)
20N 120W       50  X  10(10)  34(44)   1(45)   X(45)   X(45)   X(45)
20N 120W       64  X   1( 1)  10(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

20N 125W       34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  26(31)  23(54)   X(54)   X(54)
20N 125W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  13(16)   X(16)   X(16)
20N 125W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

25N 125W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   4( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)

20N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   7(16)   X(16)
20N 130W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

25N 130W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)

25N 135W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)

$$
FORECASTER ZELINSKY



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.