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000
FXUS04 KWBC 191029
QPFPFD

QUANTITATIVE PRECIPITATION FORECAST DISCUSSION
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD
629 AM EDT SUN MAY 19 2013


FINAL DAY 1...DAY 2 AND DAY 3 QPF DISCUSSION
VALID MAY 19/1200 UTC THRU MAY 22/1200 UTC
REFERENCE AWIPS GRAPHICS UNDER...PRECIP ACCUM - 24HR



...PLAINS/UPPER MIDWEST...

MODEL QPF DIFFERENCES ARE NOT AS SIGNIFICANT AS WITH PRIOR
RUNS...HOWEVER STILL SHOW SOME SPATIAL AND TIMING DISPARITIES WITH
THE AREAS OF MAXIMUM RAINFALL TODAY AND TONIGHT.  AT ANY
RATE...THE COMBINATION OF AN ANOMALOUS MOISTURE FEED (PW`S  OF 1
TO 1.5 INCHES OR 2-2.5 STANDARD DEVIATION ABOVE NORMAL FOR MID
MAY) ALONG WITH ROBUST UPPER DYNAMICS WITH THE AMPLIFYING TROUGH
WILL SET THE STAGE FOR WIDESPREAD AREAS OF MOD-HEAVY RAINFALL.
FCST CONFIDENCE IS LOWERED A BIT BY THE LIKELY CONVECTIVE
CONTRIBUTION THROUGH DAY ONE...PARTICULARLY ALONG THE AXIS OF
HIGHEST MUCAPES FARTHER SOUTH DURING THE PEAK HEATING HOURS.
HOWEVER AT THE SAME TIME THE SLOW MOVING...INCREASINGLY NEGATIVELY
TILTED UPPER TROUGH AND PROLONGED PERIOD OF FVRBL UPPER LEVEL
DIFFLUENCE/AGEOS DIVERGENCE WILL WARRANT SOME HIGH AREAL-AVG
AMOUNTS (1-3") OVER A BROAD AREA FROM THE NRN HIGH PLAINS E INTO
THE UPPER MS VLY THROUGH DAY 1...MUCH OF WHICH WILL BE ROOTED WITH
THE ONGOING MCS ACTIVITY EARLY SUN MORNING AND AGAIN SUN NIGHT.


...SERN U.S./MID ATLC STATES AND ADJACENT APLCNS...

A WEAK MID/UPPER LVL LO/TROF WILL CONTINUE TO ADVANCE SLOWLY EWD
THRU THE FCST PD AND GENERATE SCTD AREAS OF SHWRS..SOME VRY
HVY..ACROSS THIS RATHER LARGE AREA OF THE NATION.  MODEL QPFS ARE
BEGINNING TO REFLECT THE WKNG UPPER SYSTEM AND ARE NOW SHOWING
LARGER DIFFERENCES AND RUN TO RUN DISCONTINUITIES.  FOR THE QPF
TOOK A BLEND OF THE GEM REGIONAL...ECMWF...AND UKMET WHICH HAVE
BEEN DOING A RELATIVELY GOOD JOB TO THIS POINT IN TIME HANDLING
THIS SYSTEM.  STILL SOMEWHAT CONCERNED ABOUT THE POTENTIAL FOR HVY
RAINS TNGT OVR NRN AL/W CNTRL GA WHERE ISENTROPIC LIFT WILL
CONTINUE ON THE BACKSIDE OF THE MID/UPR LVL COOL POCKET.


DAYS 2-3...


...PACIFIC NORTHWEST/INTERMOUNTAIN WEST...

A STRONG CLOSED LOW DROPPING SOUTH FROM THE GULF OF AK WILL CROSS
THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST COAST DURING DAY 3...RESULTING IN AN
INCREASE IN PRECIPITATION ACROSS THE REGION. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE
EVENTUALLY CLUSTERS WITH THIS FEATURE BY DAY 3...SO THE QPF
FORECAST WAS BASED LARGELY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

THE CLOSED LOW COMES ASHORE NEAR THE WA/OR BORDER DURING THE
SECOND HALF OF DAY 3. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES BRIEFLY JUMP UP TO
0.75 INCHES AHEAD OF THE CLOSED LOW...THEN DROP OFF QUICKLY BEHIND
IT AS THE LOW LEVEL FLOW BECOMES WEST. SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS
PROVIDED IN THE FORM OF DIVERGENCE IN THE LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF A
90 KT JET STREAK. THE FLOW FAVORS THE HIGHER TERRAIN FOR QPF...AND
AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ALONG THE WA/OR
BORDER...AS WELL AS ACROSS THE CASCADES OF WA.


...NORTHERN PLAINS/GREAT LAKES...

THE CLOSED LOW REMAINING IN PLACE WILL ALLOW HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT
AIR TO BE DRAWN INTO THE CIRCULATION FOR BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3...WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN. THE GREATEST THREAT APPEARS TO BE ON
DAY 2...AND A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS INCLUDED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE NORTHERN PLAINS. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE  CLUSTERS
WITH THIS FEATURE (AS IT HAS BEEN DOING)...SO THE QPF FORECAST WAS
BASED LARGELY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

ACROSS THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE AREA (MAINLY NORTHERN MN...ND...SN
AND WI)...AN EAST SOUTHEAST LOW LEVEL INFLOW CONTINUES TO PUSH
1.25 INCH PRECIPITABLE WATER AIR NORTH UP AND OVER A SURFACE FRONT
DRAPED ACROSS THE AREA. THE FRONT BECOMES THE FOCUS FOR QPF...AS
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW ELEVATED CONVECTION ABOVE THE LOW LEVEL
EASTERLY FLOW. THE THREE HOUR FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE VALUES ARE
GENERALLY BETWEEN 1 AND 2 INCHES IN THIS AREA...AND THIS IS CLOSE
TO THE QPF FORECAST FOR THE AREA. THE EXISTING SLIGHT RISK OF
EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS ADJUSTED TO BETTER FOR THE EXPECTED QPF
PATTERN FOR DAY 2.

FURTHER SOUTH...IN THE WARM SECTOR...A SHORT WAVE MOVING NORTH
THROUGH IA/MN WILL SPARK CONVECTION IN THE 1.50 INCH PRECIPITABLE
WATER AIR ACROSS THE REGION. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MODERATE
INSTABILITY...AND AN AREA OF 0.50 TO 0.75 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED
ACROSS THE LOWER GREAT LAKES.

ON DAY 3...THE INFLOW STARTS TO WANE ACROSS THE QUASI STATIONARY
FRONT AND CLOSED MID LEVEL SYSTEM. AGAIN...MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW
SOME ELEVATED CONVECTION ACROSS THE FRONT IN SOUTHERN MN INTO
CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN WI INTO SOUTHERN MI. IN THIS AREA...A STRIPE
OF 0.50 TO 1.00 INCHES WAS INCLUDED.  THESE NUMBERS ARE CLOSE TO
THE THREE HOURLY FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS. FOR NOW...A SLIGHT
RISK AREA WAS NOT ASSIGNED...PENDING CONDITIONS DEVELOPING DURING
DAYS 1 AND 2 IN THIS REGION.

CONVECTION IN THE WARM SECTOR SHOULD PRODUCE A LINEAR AREA OF 0.75
TO 1.25 INCHES OF QPF FROM NORTHERN IL THROUGH THE BOOT HEEL OF
MO. THESE NUMBERS ARE BELOW THE FLASH FLOOD GUIDANCE NUMBERS.


...SOUTHERN AND CENTRAL PLAINS/MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY...

A SHORT WAVE MOVING ACROSS THE SOUTHERN PLAINS WILL ENCOUNTER
STRONG INSTABILITY AND DEEP MOISTURE IN PLACE...RAISING THE
SPECTER FOR HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE AREA. BECAUSE OF
THIS...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WILL BE RETAINED FOR
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS AND MID MISSISSIPPI VALLEY FOR DAY
2. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE CLUSTERED WELL IN THIS AREA...AND THE QPF
WAS BASED MAINLY ON A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

ON DAY 2...THE AFOREMENTIONED SHORT WAVE WILL BE THE TRIGGER
CONVECTION... STARTING DURING THE AFTERNOON AND CONTINUING INTO
THE OVERNIGHT MONDAY NIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY. DURING THE
AFTERNOON...THE CONVECTION SHOULD FOCUS ON A COLD
FRONT/DRYLINE...WITH PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES CLOSE TO 1.25
INCHES. MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW A CAP AND SOME INHIBITION IN
PLACE...SO THE CONVECTION SHOULD REMAIN SCATTERED INTO THE
EVENING.

DURING THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT...THE ACTIVITY SHIFTS TO THE
NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET ACROSS NORTHEAST OK...SOUTHEAST KS AND
SOUTHWEST MO. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES JUMP TO NEAR 1.75 INCHES
ON THE NOSE OF THE 50 KNOT LOW LEVEL JET...AND MODEL SOUNDINGS
SHOWING STRONG INSTABILITY WITH GOOD LOW LEVEL TURNING. THERE IS
SOME MODEL SUPPORT FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SMALL MCS DURING THIS
TIME. A GENERAL 1.50 TO 2.50 INCH QPF BULLS EYE WAS PLACED IN THE
ABOVEMENTIONED AREA...AND SOME OF THE 00Z MODEL SOLUTIONS
INDICATED AS MUCH AS 4 OR 5 INCHES OF RAIN. DUE TO THE EXPECTED
RAINFALL AMOUNTS AND POTENTIAL FOR AS MUCH AS 5 INCHES OF RAIN IN
THE POSSIBLE COMPLEX...A SLIGHT RISK OF EXCESSIVE RAINFALL WAS
PLACED ACROSS NORTHEAST OK...SOUTHEAST KS AND SOUTHWEST MO.

ON DAY 3...ANOTHER SHORT WAVE IN THE FLOW APPROACHES OK AND KS.
SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS PROVIDED VIA STRONG DIVERGENCE IN THE RIGHT
REAR QUADRANT OF A 90 KNOT JET STREAK...AND STRONG INSTABILITY AND
HIGH MOISTURE CONTENT REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS THE AREA. THERE IS
AGAIN SOME MODEL INDICATION THAT A SMALL MCS COULD FORM ON THE
NOSE OF THE LOW LEVEL JET...THIS TIME FURTHER SOUTHEAST INTO
NORTHEAST TX AND SOUTHWEST AR. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1.50 TO 2.00
INCHES WERE PLACED IN THE MOST PROBABLE LOCATION OF ORGANIZED
DEVELOPMENT...AND THE 00Z MODEL SUITE DID NOT HIT THIS AREA AS
HARD AS THE DAY 2 AREA. SO...FOR NOW...NO SLIGHT RISK AREA WAS
ASSIGNED.


...MID ATLANTIC/NEW ENGLAND...

A VACILLATING FRONT WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR QPF ACROSS NEW ENGLAND
AND THE MID ATLANTIC STATES FOR BOTH DAYS 2 AND 3. THE QPF
FORECAST WAS SKEWED TOWARD THE 00Z GFS/UKMET...AS THE 00Z ECMWF
SEEMED TOO FAST TRYING TO RETURN THE FRONT NORTH INTO NEW ENGLAND
DURING DAY 3.

ON DAY 2...A COLD FRONT DROPPING SOUTH THROUGH NORTHERN NEW
ENGLAND WILL BE THE FOCUS FOR RAIN ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL ME.
SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IS PROVIDED IN THE FORM OF DIVERGENCE IN THE
LEFT FRONT QUADRANT OF A 110 KNOT JET STREAK CROSSING QUEBEC.
PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES PEAK NEAR 1.25 INCHES (WHICH IS CLOSE TO
TWO STANDARD DEVIATIONS OF ABOVE NORMAL FOR THE DATE) ON A 40 TO
50 KNOT SOUTHWEST LOW LEVEL FLOW. MODEL SOUNDINGS DO NOT SHOW MUCH
IN THE WAY OF INSTABILITY...SO AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS EASTERN ME.

ON DAY 3...THE POSITION OF THE FRONT WILL DICTATE THE COVERAGE OF
QPF ACROSS THE MID ATLANTIC AND NEW ENGLAND STATES. THE FRONT
DROPS INTO THE MID ATLANTIC STATES. MODEL SOUNDINGS SOUTH OF THE
FRONT SHOW STRONG INSTABILITY...BUT NOT MUCH IN THE WAY OF
CONVERGENCE. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES RISE TO NEAR 1.25 INCHES
ALONG THE STATIONARY FRONT...AND AN AREA OF 0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF
QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS PA INTO NORTHERN AND CENTRAL NJ. FURTHER
NORTH...WARM AIR ADVECTION OVER THE FRONT SHOULD RESULT IN AN AREA
OF 0.10 TO 0.25 INCHES OF QPF...MAINLY LATE IN DAY 3.


...FL...

A SHORT WAVE IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM WILL CROSS NORTHERN FL DURING
DAY 2... ENHANCING CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL OUTSIDE OF THE USUAL SEA
BREEZE REGIME. THE 00Z MODEL SUITE CLUSTERED FAIRLY WELL WITH THE
SHORT WAVE IN THE FLOW...AND THE QPF FORECAST WAS BASED MAINLY ON
A 00Z ECMWF/GFS/UKMET BLEND.

A SHORT WAVE IN THE SOUTHERN STREAM WILL CROSS NORTHERN FL DURING
DAY 2... RESULTING IN SYNOPTIC SCALE LIFT IN A REGIME MORE SUITED
TO CONVECTION BASED ON THE SEA BREEZE REGIME. THE SHORT WAVE WILL
ALLOW CONVECTION TO DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FL...WHERE
MODEL SOUNDINGS SHOW MARGINAL TO MODERATE INSTABILITY IN A WEAKLY
SHEARED ENVIRONMENT. FURTHER SOUTH...THE LOW LEVEL FLOW APPEARS TO
SUPPORT A MORE EAST COAST SEA BREEZE CONVECTION SCENARIO...AND
0.25 TO 0.50 INCHES OF QPF WAS PLACED ACROSS THE EAST COAST OF THE
PENINSULA TO COVER BOTH THE SHORT WAVE PASSAGE AND THE SEA BREEZE
CONVECTION.

ON DAY 3...THE FLOW REVERTS BACK TO A MORE SEA BREEZE ORIENTED
CONVECTION PATTERN. PRECIPITABLE WATER VALUES VALUES NEAR 1.50
INCHES SUGGESTS THAT THE CONVECTION COULD LAST THROUGH ABOUT
00Z...AND ONCE AGAIN FAVOR THE EAST COAST. ANOTHER 0.25 TO 0.50
INCH QPF AREA WAS PLACED ALONG THE EAST COAST.


HURLEY/HAYES

GRAPHICS AVAILABLE ON THE WEB AT WWW.WPC.NCEP.NOAA.GOV

24HR QP VT 20/12Z
 0.01 503665 518670 537732 523745 526765 526772 527777 528798
      523802 516807 508811 500816 497821 493824 492829 495835
      497838 499847 499851 500857 501867 503879 506887 508898
      507905 508923 511937 514961 513970 512981 507008 504042
      499063 503085 512100 518120 525130 526135 526141 526150
      531162 534170 537176 539182 534188 532190 529190 522190
      519192 513191 500187 497186 495182 492181 485179 480177
      472168 464168 460169 457168 452163 456155 464156 467153
      470153 478154 482154 484149 483143 477138 474133 470132
      466133 463132 461129 457123 450126 446130 441136 443142
      448146 445150 441153 435153 432149 430147 424139 421134
      416130 412127 408130 405130 403133 405140 410149 410153
      407155 403156 400148 392147 389146 389143 385136 382131
      381127 379122 380115 388115 393110 393101 392097 391094
      380087 378083 375075 375070 375068 377068 381068 383064
      381061 375054 378050 381049 387040 378034 373023 371012
      369005 366001 368997 370991 370986 368984 366982 363982
      354982 338984 326986 322990 315991 312991 310988 306985
      311977 326968 335961 346947 355937 369920 385914 391911
      398908 403905 406900 409895 413889 418885 425882 426876
      431873 443865 447859 449853 453841 455835 456831 458823
      458816 461806 462798 460789 457774 454768 453764 450762
      440771 435785 433787 430792 423796 416808 412819 408832
      399836 388843 384847 381853 379857 376861 371870 369874
      364874 360874 355872 347869 340860 333852 324846 318842
      313838 309834 304833 300833 298836 296835 292835 291834
      287830 283828 278827 269826 259823 254820 251817 249811
      250806 252803 258801 268802 275798 279798 284796 289794
      294795 301793 306789 312780 315777 320773 324769 330764
      350745 354741 360736 374729 375723 374719 374713 374707
      375700 386681 388670 390660 398654 410653 415652 422651
      426649 432650 437651 444652 453653 462656 467656 472657
      494664 503665
 0.01 485218 484218 482215 479212 476210 474209 472210 470211
      467211 466213 464214 462216 463219 466220 469221 472221
      475221 478221 481220 484219 485218
 0.01 456796 455792 451789 446792 440795 438797 436802 434807
      435811 439813 445810 450808 452802 454801 456796
 0.01 437758 436754 434753 430750 427747 425745 423748 421751
      416755 413756 411760 409762 408767 408770 411778 412781
      415783 420780 426777 428775 430771 432766 434763 436761
      437758
 0.25 498684 496682 493681 486679 472671 459668 449668 442671
      427679 418682 409687 401693 398697 397701 397706 398710
      401714 402717 399718 399722 402723 406719 410718 420715
      425713 424707 423705 426704 430704 432708 438704 441706
      441710 439713 440717 444717 448720 450723 453729 456732
      458737 462749 465756 468761 474767 480773 487774 492771
      494767 498756 498745 501740 501735 499724 497716 497708
      499703 500697 498684
 0.25 523163 522158 520153 517148 514143 510137 507134 504131
      501136 500141 501145 503150 507155 511160 514164 516167
      520168 523163
 0.25 498908 496894 494886 489864 487851 482841 478834 473833
      471837 469855 468864 466872 461880 457884 449885 440886
      435888 431890 427896 425902 422905 419907 390922 381924
      376928 371932 368937 358949 354957 353964 357970 362973
      374977 381979 386982 394985 398989 403997 402004 398011
      398016 399020 405023 409025 412030 413039 413049 411057
      407063 404071 408077 416079 417083 417091 418095 421098
      427100 436101 443102 454110 462113 470115 475115 481112
      485107 486102 487097 485091 484084 481075 479067 478063
      479060 480058 488037 490028 492019 494000 499981 501969
      500958 499944 499930 498908
 0.25 381773 379769 373766 367769 362764 358766 345773 337776
      331780 326784 323788 322794 323802 322808 320813 317816
      311817 307819 315825 323830 327833 331837 335842 339846
      348850 353853 359854 363850 366845 369833 375823 378816
      379810 382785 381773
 0.25 283815 279812 276811 271810 267809 264808 260808 255808
      256813 258815 261817 266819 270819 273819 278818 283815
 0.50 482722 482714 479706 473691 472687 469684 466682 458678
      451675 446677 443681 442687 444694 451708 456718 462731
      468738 471739 474738 479733 481728 482722
 0.50 495932 495919 494909 493898 490888 485869 480858 476856
      472863 470869 466881 462888 458891 445895 437905 435911
      430916 422917 417916 413916 409918 404922 380932 374936
      369941 363951 360958 360963 360967 362969 367971 372972
      381972 389970 396971 399976 403981 406984 412986 415986
      417989 419996 420002 422006 426009 428014 427020 425025
      422031 421035 422040 422050 420057 419063 420069 423076
      427080 433083 437087 441089 451099 457102 463102 469098
      472093 470077 470065 471059 476051 479046 485030 489015
      492998 494988 495978 496968 495954 495932
 0.50 374788 373783 370780 365783 361784 353784 345784 338784
      331787 325792 329803 324819 329824 334832 338839 344843
      353842 359845 362843 363838 364831 366822 368817 371813
      373807 374796 374788
 1.00 471717 470713 469712 465713 465716 467718 468718 471718
      471717
 1.00 490916 489902 488896 486892 482886 477884 473887 467895
      462900 456904 451910 448916 446924 442929 439935 434944
      431948 427951 423953 414926 410929 408932 402938 398939
      395938 389937 380939 375942 370947 368951 366958 365963
      367965 372967 376966 384964 396958 400957 404957 409959
      421966 427970 429972 431976 432985 436985 437983 444970
      447964 450961 453959 457959 459962 463971 464979 464987
      462996 460003 456009 451015 445019 439024 435030 432036
      429044 429052 430056 431059 434062 438064 444077 450084
      455086 456085 457079 458069 461060 465052 469045 472038
      476022 482007 486998 488991 490979 491969 490916
 1.00 362802 360799 359798 355798 346795 342795 337797 333805
      332811 333815 336824 339830 341833 347832 349829 352829
      355829 357826 357825 353824 357816 361806 362802
 1.50 485908 483900 480897 478897 472899 468902 464904 458908
      453914 449922 448926 447932 448938 450942 453943 460944
      463945 466949 469956 469966 469974 472986 474990 476991
      480990 482987 485980 487970 488957 486944 485921 485908
 1.50 460043 460034 458030 455028 452028 446029 441031 438034
      436040 438048 439052 442056 447059 450061 453060 456052
      458047 460043
 1.50 388954 390950 387947 386947 384945 381945 378946 376947
      374949 373950 371953 369957 369961 372963 375963 378962
      380960 383958 386956 388954 388954
 1.50 344821 345817 343816 341819 341820 341822 342826 343827
      344825 344823 344821
 2.00 483962 482940 480931 476924 468916 465910 459912 452922
      449927 450931 455935 462936 474938 477943 477955 476961
      475969 475977 480976 482970 483962
 2.00 448039 447038 445035 444034 441035 440036 439040 441043
      444044 447043 448039

24HR QP VT 21/12Z
 0.01 408626 406630 402635 400639 398645 392653 391663 391673
      392678 391683 392689 395696 399703 401709 397715 396720
      396725 392729 386729 380732 370738 366740 363740 358743
      354747 348751 339759 335764 330767 316781 307786 297789
      288790 282789 267782 252771 247771 239774 238779 238785
      240787 242793 244798 242801 239804 237808 233819 243825
      259825 291831 307839 316835 319834 321836 324838 341844
      344840 350837 361829 363835 368834 370829 374821 379818
      382820 388816 394808 397805 399808 399815 399825 399840
      399857 382875 377878 374881 365886 359897 355905 329971
      326973 318976 305978 297985 290990 289996 294997 306999
      309003 311007 316008 319006 322003 324002 327999 330996
      335995 343992 353991 374990 380990 382989 385991 388991
      391993 391995 387001 386007 382013 376010 367014 363018
      362021 361030 362037 363044 365050 366066 370075 370083
      372088 375092 378094 383095 386093 391092 396093 397101
      397104 395108 389115 388120 393117 398118 411118 419112
      440121 443125 445131 445133 460135 467138 471141 474140
      480142 486148 491149 497150 503153 506156 512163 527175
      533176 536170 535160 532155 526142 520130 508110 503108
      498103 493098 490097 488094 494078 498063 502036 503028
      504019 505013 505006 505941 507933 506925 504904 501878
      501872 500858 499849 499841 496821 492804 487787 484779
      482775 479769 476761 471747 470743 470738 472734 475722
      477717 478711 480704 483698 484695 488690 492685 493680
      496678 499673 499665 499658 498653 498648 496642 496635
      492623 489618 487618 483613 478610 472607 462606 459601
      455598 449597 444597 441598 439600 433606 429606
 0.01 518268 519259 518251 517248 515245 512242 512237 509233
      503231 497230 495234 495240 491239 488235 485235 482237
      478240 472239 469240 462239 457242 447244 438248 432248
      428251 427257 428264 431269 434272 437277 439280 439285
      439289 441294 447296 449295 453295 456293 460293 470287
      489284 492282 495283 498281 505283 510281 514273 518268
 0.01 315894 312891 303893 301894 299897 296902 294905 294909
      293913 297919 301924 306929 313929 313926 312921 310912
      312905 314897 315894
 0.25 473666 471658 467653 464650 460642 457633 454629 450626
      442624 432624 425626 420628 415633 408641 402651 400656
      400660 400666 401673 407685 412693 413697 416697 419695
      423689 429682 433682 438685 444688 453696 456697 461694
      465688 467682 471673 473666
 0.25 511260 511256 510250 507247 505248 505253 503256 497254
      495251 491250 482249 473253 466260 464264 464268 467269
      477266 484264 493260 498261 504263 511260
 0.25 492841 489824 488816 485808 481798 475787 470783 467778
      459770 454766 451764 447765 444769 438775 433794 430799
      427802 424804 420804 415803 412804 411807 411813 412820
      415837 415851 411861 406868 401875 400880 400888 401897
      401903 400906 398908 392908 388908 382910 370910 364915
      361924 357932 352940 345951 342961 341973 342979 345981
      348982 354983 362980 372976 379970 385961 390951 394941
      400932 403927 405923 409920 415920 418920 421920 424922
      426930 423955 421970 417984 410003 405012 398018 394021
      392027 390040 390068 392072 397076 400077 406076 425084
      427084 433081 437078 441076 456090 461089 464085 465082
      466074 468065 470060 474052 481041 486030 490018 494000
      495987 496974 497958 497943 496923 496902 496886 495872
      492841
 0.25 382761 380756 378752 372751 364754 354758 346762 342767
      336774 330780 324786 319789 310794 301797 289797 276795
      264793 256791 253794 251797 253804 256810 259813 263813
      266813 269811 271809 274809 280809 286814 293817 298817
      306815 312809 316807 320806 332810 339812 345815 353810
      357806 363799 367792 373786 377780 381764 382761
 0.50 460667 459663 456659 452654 450651 449647 447640 444636
      437634 433634 426635 417638 414641 409649 408655 409663
      414668 419670 430664 435666 439670 444674 451674 455674
      458671 460667
 0.50 489842 487830 484818 482812 476806 468801 463796 456791
      453790 451790 451794 449811 447818 444824 436831 430833
      426836 423844 421851 408878 410890 410901 410906 412909
      415910 420909 425904 429898 431896 431891 429879 427872
      427868 429863 432861 440861 444861 445864 446874 449880
      449890 448893 443895 438897 435898 438907 442917 444929
      446940 446945 444947 433957 432962 432970 429980 424994
      412023 412033 413043 415053 419060 423063 427063 433060
      440057 445056 448058 453059 458051 462044 465041 470038
      474034 478026 483010 486001 488989 490977 490965 491944
      491922 491908 491896 491869 490855 489842
 0.50 372770 370767 365766 361765 356765 351766 346770 340778
      336785 332790 336793 339794 343800 345802 348804 350800
      353792 358785 365778 372770
 0.50 397925 393921 386918 381917 376917 372919 367923 363930
      355942 348954 346958 344963 344969 346973 349975 356976
      371971 376967 380961 387947 393934 397925
 1.00 485853 484842 480831 477829 475829 469835 462840 455839
      452841 451845 453851 455856 458864 462872 465883 466890
      465895 464898 461901 459909 456917 457922 460921 464915
      466911 471909 474912 476911 481905 483898 485886 485867
      485853
 1.00 483967 483966 483962 480958 479959 477962 477964 475968
      475973 476977 476981 479985 482980 483976 483971 483967
      483967
 1.00 453027 453018 450014 446012 440012 434014 430016 427021
      424025 424029 426033 429036 432037 438040 441041 444039
      449035 452031 453027
 1.00 387935 387932 386929 383925 379924 373926 369928 366933
      361941 357949 352957 351960 350964 352967 361967 366967
      372964 377956 381948 385939 387935
 1.50 381940 381935 379930 374931 368936 365940 361946 358952
      356960 358963 360963 364963 369961 373957 376951 379944
      381940
 2.00 378941 377937 372938 369940 367944 364948 362952 360956
      360959 366958 369957 372953 374949 376945 378941


24HR QP VT 22/12Z
 0.01 496757 490744 486734 482728 478722 473715 464702 455691
      447682 441674 436669 435668 432671 431676 430682 427687
      423687 418685 400685 397681 393676 386674 379664 375663
      374668 372671 370677 369685 371691 371707 371721 366722
      360724 348733 341741 338748 335753 332757 330762 327771
      326775 322780 319783 316779 312778 307777 298777 294774
      291770 282762 275758 266753 261749 259747 255747 246745
      241744 237744 227743 221750 219756 220761 228780 231789
      237798 240801 240806 245812 252818 260824 267827 272830
      277834 286837 291842 297843 301847 302851 306857 309853
      314850 316847 319845 331845 337843 341844 347843 350839
      355836 357831 361824 366813 372809 376808 379812 380818
      378823 376829 376833 375838 376847 373861 365871 364873
      360873 357876 348886 345890 341893 330895 326893 320895
      315894 311895 307896 305899 302900 295902 294904 294908
      297923 298929 297934 294942 292952 290957 289961 287967
      284971 280974 276979 269989 266993 260996 248000 242001
      237005 242009 250013 255013 259015 264017 267020 273026
      279025 281023 289019 296014 300011 304006 310999 317992
      326983 329978 334974 336973 338974 341975 345973 351962
      360953 366946 369942 376939 394928 409924 413926 417932
      420936 420940 418943 415945 413949 408958 404964 401968
      393968 389973 385976 382984 380989 378996 373004 375008
      376014 383014 387014 390016 397023 402026 406030 412038
      417038 420038 423041 422046 419047 413047 398048 392042
      386042 384045 380045 372039 366033 360036 361041 366047
      369051 372051 375054 381055 386055 389057 394059 397064
      401076 406073 410076 415076 418068 423065 427068 430069
      432072 438074 443075 446078 450081 454081 454073 450068
      444060 442057 442052 442044 445042 448041 456041 462040
      466037 471033 475030 479029 485018 490000 494991 496983
      499968 501961 500951 498929 497919 496911 492891 491880
      489867 486847 486834 489824 493818 495811 499799 500794
      500787 501782 500774 496763 496757
 0.01 519273 521264 523254 526234 527225 526217 519210 506190
      501182 497172 496165 493159 487149 478133 473128 468126
      464129 461133 456139 453145 450149 443157 441162 438167
      436171 434178 433192 428205 426208 425215 425219 421221
      415223 411226 407231 405237 399237 397239 396245 398249
      401252 406256 408261 411272 413277 413283 414287 417291
      419295 423295 426297 438301 445304 448302 451303 457305
      466305 470303 477306 484305 491301 496301 500296 506287
      510285 513281 519273
 0.01 379743 377740 376736 373734 372739 370742 369745 368746
      366748 365751 366754 367757 369760 371762 372763 375765
      377763 380761 381758 380754 379751 378747 379743
 0.01 302807 301807 298807 296806 295806 294807 296809 297809
      299811 302809 302807
 0.25 514261 516246 516240 516231 514222 511215 506207 501201
      493189 482175 478169 475167 470169 468172 467175 468177
      470181 473188 478194 480203 480205 477208 474211 472211
      465210 461214 462221 457223 455225 452226 448220 441219
      434221 430226 424230 418233 416235 416239 418243 421245
      426249 430251 435253 444253 457253 469247 477250 485252
      493258 500261 505263 509263 514261
 0.25 490776 488767 485763 481760 475762 472764 470768 470774
      469779 472787 474790 479792 483791 487787 489781 490776
 0.25 454706 453705 450706 447708 445711 444713 445716 447716
      449714 452713 453711 454708 454706
 0.25 499246 496241 494235 491230 489227 484223 481222 476220
      476225 477226 481231 484236 487240 492243 495247 499246
 0.25 482868 482860 481855 480850 477844 475835 470817 465801
      462796 459792 452789 444787 440785 437780 430771 427765
      424760 421755 417750 412745 409742 405742 400745 399748
      398752 397764 395774 395778 396787 398800 403811 410818
      411823 409829 406839 405844 403848 397853 389860 385866
      384872 377874 373877 370881 365887 358894 353901 346906
      338912 331920 324928 320936 314942 308946 305950 304955
      305962 306965 304967 299973 289980 282985 280990 284991
      295991 306990 311988 314987 320982 323979 325974 329969
      333967 339965 344962 350955 355948 361942 373931 392918
      400913 411911 416911 420914 425921 429931 432944 433952
      432957 428973 428977 429986 433997 437006 440011 443012
      447011 451007 457000 459995 461987 464981 467978 474974
      477970 480966 481959 482953 482944 481936 480929 481917
      481900 480892 481882 482868
 0.25 444740 442737 441737 441738 440742 440743 443742 444740
 0.25 473899 473890 470882 468878 464872 461870 459874 458882
      460890 462898 463906 465912 467909 471904 473899
 0.25 459181 458177 457174 456172 454171 452172 451172 449175
      447179 446183 445187 445191 445195 446196 447200 448200
      449200 451199 454197 454196 456193 457189 458185 459182
      459181
 0.25 285791 277784 269781 259778 253782 250785 247790 247794
      250799 252801 253804 254808 256812 259815 263817 267818
      271818 274816 276811 275806 273803 271800 274798 279795
      285791
 0.50 511246 511236 507226 508221 506216 504214 501210 495204
      493197 488195 484196 486201 489206 492211 493216 493221
      494230 497236 502243 506248 510248 511246
 0.50 454239 452237 449237 447237 448239 451240 454239
 0.50 455926 456915 454904 452894 449889 443878 441868 441862
      443858 441853 437844 434838 431833 429830 426830 421834
      417844 413857 410862 409864 405865 402866 397867 392877
      387879 381879 374882 371886 365893 358902 354907 349911
      339917 332924 327931 322943 314951 309957 309961 313964
      316968 318972 322972 331964 341960 348952 354942 357938
      362934 370927 372924 378920 383918 388912 393909 399906
      411904 418901 425901 428905 432913 433920 435928 437936
      439943 441948 443958 445964 449963 450960 452953 454947
      455926
 0.50 425782 423777 418773 415772 409775 405780 403784 404789
      405797 408803 412803 418802 422796 423792 424787 425782
 0.50 428239 431236 428233 425233 423234 422235 421237 422238
      425239 427239 428239
 1.00 503234 503233 500230 500233 503234 503234
 1.00 450931 450927 449923 448919 448918 448920 447924 446926
      446928 446933 446937 447941 448944 449940 450936 450934
      450931
 1.00 413882 413878 411877 408878 406880 403880 401882 400883
      398887 398890 399891 400890 401888 404887 407886 410886
      412883 413882
 1.00 387894 386890 384887 380887 375890 373892 370895 367900
      366904 365911 368915 374914 376911 379908 382903 385898
      387894
 1.00 359927 359923 357921 354920 348921 344924 336928 331934
      327945 325952 322957 322962 327963 329961 332957 336954
      341952 344949 349943 354936 359927
 1.50 351933 350929 347929 346930 345931 342933 339934 338935
      337938 336939 338943 340945 341946 344945 346943 348940
      349940 351936 351935 351933
 2.00 349937 348936 345936 344938 346939 348937 349937

$$