River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY

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FGUS51 KTAR 141557
RVFBUF
RIVER STAGE FORECAST
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...TAUNTON, MA
1051 AM EST Sun Feb 14 2016
:
:THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER.
:OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES.
:
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY
:Flood Stage 9.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.07 ft at Feb-14 10:00 am
:
.ER BTVN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     2.1/     2.1
.E2 :0215:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1
.E3 :0216:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1
.E4 :0217:/     2.1/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.31/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.20 ft at Feb-14 10:00 am
:
.ER RAPN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     2.0/     2.0
.E2 :0215:/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0/     2.0
.E3 :0216:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E4 :0217:/     1.9/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.06/ 0.22/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.06 ft at Feb-14 10:15 am
:
.ER GOWN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     2.3/     2.3
.E2 :0215:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3
.E3 :0216:/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3/     2.3
.E4 :0217:/     2.3/     2.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.32/ 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.88 ft at Feb-14 10:15 am
:
.ER GDVN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     1.1/     1.1
.E2 :0215:/     1.4/     1.4/     1.3/     1.2
.E3 :0216:/     1.2/     1.2/     1.1/     1.1
.E4 :0217:/     1.1/     1.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.28/ 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.54 ft at Feb-14 10:30 am
:
.ER LCSN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     3.8/     3.8
.E2 :0215:/     3.8/     3.8/     3.8/     3.8
.E3 :0216:/     3.8/     3.8/     3.8/     3.8
.E4 :0217:/     3.8/     3.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.08/ 0.25/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.83 ft at Feb-14 10:00 am
:
.ER EBZN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     2.8/     2.8
.E2 :0215:/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8
.E3 :0216:/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8/     2.8
.E4 :0217:/     2.8/     2.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.26/ 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY
:Flood Stage 8.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.43 ft at Feb-14 10:15 am
:
.ER WILN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     2.1/     2.1
.E2 :0215:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1
.E3 :0216:/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1/     2.1
.E4 :0217:/     2.1/     2.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.22/ 0.12/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Wellsville, NY
:Flood Stage 11.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.67 ft at Feb-14 09:45 am
:
.ER WLLN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.8
.E2 :0215:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8
.E3 :0216:/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8/     4.8
.E4 :0217:/     4.8/     4.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.20/ 0.50/ 0.18/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Portageville, NY
:Flood Stage 19.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 9.39 ft at Feb-14 10:00 am
:
.ER PRTN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     9.5/     9.4
.E2 :0215:/     9.4/     9.4/     9.4/     9.4
.E3 :0216:/     9.4/     9.4/     9.3/     9.3
.E4 :0217:/     9.3/     9.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.15/ 0.43/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY
:Flood Stage 760.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 588.74 ft at Feb-14 10:00 am
:
.ER MMDN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/   589.0/   589.0
.E2 :0215:/   589.0/   589.0/   589.0/   589.0
.E3 :0216:/   589.0/   589.0/   589.0/   589.0
.E4 :0217:/   589.0/   589.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.39/ 0.16/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Avon, NY
:Flood Stage 33.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 18.18 ft at Feb-14 10:15 am
:
.ER AVON6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/    17.9/    17.7
.E2 :0215:/    17.3/    17.3/    17.3/    17.3
.E3 :0216:/    17.2/    17.2/    17.2/    17.2
.E4 :0217:/    17.1/    17.1
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.39/ 0.18/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION
:*************************************************
:Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 2.68 ft at Feb-14 10:00 am
:
.ER GRBN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     2.7/     2.7
.E2 :0215:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7/     2.7
.E3 :0216:/     2.7/     2.7/     2.6/     2.6
.E4 :0217:/     2.6/     2.6
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.34/ 0.17/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Black Creek - Churchville, NY
:Flood Stage 6.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.75 ft at Feb-14 10:00 am
:
.ER CHRN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     1.9/     1.9
.E2 :0215:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E3 :0216:/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9/     1.9
.E4 :0217:/     1.9/     1.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.07/ 0.29/ 0.16/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Genesee River - Rochester, NY
:Flood Stage 15.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.90 ft at Feb-14 07:00 am
:
.ER RHRN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     4.8/     4.7
.E2 :0215:/     4.6/     4.5/     4.4/     4.4
.E3 :0216:/     4.3/     4.3/     4.3/     4.3
.E4 :0217:/     4.3/     4.3
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.35/ 0.20/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY
:Flood Stage 4.5 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 1.40 ft at Feb-14 10:00 am
:
.ER HNYN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     1.0/     0.9
.E2 :0215:/     0.9/     0.9/     0.9/     0.9
.E3 :0216:/     0.9/     0.9/     0.9/     0.9
.E4 :0217:/     0.9/     0.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.12/ 0.43/ 0.23/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
: RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY
:Flood Stage 689.2 ft
:
.ER CNDN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6
:POOL FCST      1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/   688.7/   688.7
.E2 :0215:/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7/   688.7
.E3 :0216:/   688.7/   688.8/   688.8/   688.8
.E4 :0217:/   688.8/   688.8
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.46/ 0.27/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY
:Flood Stage 7.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.64 ft at Feb-14 10:30 am
:
.ER CPNN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     3.5/     3.5
.E2 :0215:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E3 :0216:/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5/     3.5
.E4 :0217:/     3.5/     3.5
:*************************************************
:Black River - Boonville, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.28 ft at Feb-14 10:00 am
:
.ER BOON6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     4.6/     4.6
.E2 :0215:/     4.6/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5
.E3 :0216:/     4.5/     4.5/     4.5/     4.6
.E4 :0217:/     4.7/     4.9
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.12/ 0.40/ 0.66/ 0.35/ 0.03/ 0.00/
:*************************************************
:Moose River - McKeever, NY
:Flood Stage 12.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 4.67 ft at Feb-14 10:30 am
:
.ER MCKN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     3.3/     3.2
.E2 :0215:/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2/     3.2
.E3 :0216:/     3.2/     3.1/     3.2/     3.5
.E4 :0217:/     4.0/     4.4
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.39/ 0.66/ 0.42/ 0.03/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
:*************************************************
:Black River - Watertown, NY
:Flood Stage 10.0 ft
:Latest Observed Value: 3.84 ft at Feb-14 10:30 am
:
.ER ARTN6 20160214 E DC201602141051/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6
:STAGE FCST     1AM      7AM      1PM      7PM
.E1 :0214:       ::       ::/     4.3/     4.3
.E2 :0215:/     4.2/     4.2/     4.2/     4.2
.E3 :0216:/     4.1/     4.1/     4.1/     4.1
.E4 :0217:/     4.1/     4.0
: Local QPF - 6 hr timestep
: 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.41/ 0.66/ 0.27/ 0.02/ 0.00/
: Stage Reading is Affected by Ice.  Forecast Represents Natural Flow.
$$
:NERFC
:...END OF MESSAGE



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