River Forecast
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000
FGUS53 KKRF 290125
RVFKSR

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
0122Z Sun May 29 2016
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS KANSAS

:                ***     EVENING FORECAST     ***

: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
CHAPMAN CREEK
  CHAPMAN KS 4NNW        19.0   20.6   CRESTING
LYON CREEK
  JUNCTION CITY KS 7S    21.0   18.7   CONTINUE TO FALL
KANSAS RIVER
  MANHATTAN KS           18.0   16.6   CRESTING
  LECOMPTON KS 1NE       17.0   15.4   CONTINUE TO FALL
  LAWRENCE KS HWY 40     18.0   18.4   FALL BELOW FS 5/28 AROUND 4Z
STRANGER CREEK
  EASTON KS              17.0   17.4   FALL BELOW FS 5/29 AROUND 4Z
  TONGANOXIE KS 4E       23.0   25.8E  FALL BELOW FS 05/29 AROUND 22Z
KANSAS RIVER
  DESOTO KS 1N           26.0   23.0   CONTINUE TO FALL
  KC KS 23RD ST          33.0   37.4   FALL BELOW FS 05/30 AROUND 06Z

:__________________________________________________________________

:CHAPMAN KS 4NNW - CHAPMAN CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 17.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 37.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 20.6 FT AT 0045Z ON 0529

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0528           /  20.7 /  20.8 /  20.9
:   0529   /  20.7

.ER CHPK1 20160529 Z DC201605290122/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0529:        /  18.8 /  15.3 /  13.3
.E2  :0530:/  11.2 /   9.5 /   8.3 /   7.5
.E3  :0531:/   7.1 /   6.8 /   6.7 /   6.6
.E4  :0601:/   6.5 /   6.5 /   6.4 /   6.4
.E5  :0602:/   6.4 /   6.4 /   6.3 /   6.3
.E6  :0603:/   6.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.26 /  0.20 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 29:   0.46  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0529          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0530  /  0.05
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 30:   0.05  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:JUNCTION CITY KS 7S - LYON CREEK     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 21.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 19.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 39.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 18.7 FT AT 0015Z ON 0529

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0528           /  21.1 /  21.6 /  20.6
:   0529   /  18.8

.ER JNCK1 20160529 Z DC201605290122/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0529:        /  13.9 /  12.0 /  10.4
.E2  :0530:/   9.2 /   8.3 /   7.7 /   7.3
.E3  :0531:/   6.9 /   6.7 /   6.5 /   6.5
.E4  :0601:/   6.4 /   6.4 /   6.4 /   6.4
.E5  :0602:/   6.4 /   6.3 /   6.3 /   6.3
.E6  :0603:/   6.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.17 /  0.14 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 29:   0.31  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0529          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0530  /  0.05
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 30:   0.05  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:MANHATTAN KS - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 16.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 42.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 16.6 FT AT 0000Z ON 0529

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0528           /  15.6 /  15.9 /  16.4
:   0529   /  16.6

.ER MHKK1 20160529 Z DC201605290122/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0529:        /  16.3 /  16.1 /  15.9
.E2  :0530:/  15.6 /  15.4 /  15.2 /  15.1
.E3  :0531:/  15.0 /  14.9 /  14.8 /  14.6
.E4  :0601:/  14.3 /  14.0 /  13.4 /  12.8
.E5  :0602:/  12.3 /  11.9 /  11.5 /  11.2
.E6  :0603:/  11.6


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.18 /  0.12 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 29:   0.30  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0529          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0530  /  0.04
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 30:   0.04  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:LECOMPTON KS 1NE - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.8 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 38.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 15.4 FT AT 0030Z ON 0529

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0528           /  19.6 /  19.5 /  18.0
:   0529   /  15.6

.ER LCPK1 20160529 Z DC201605290122/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0529:        /  13.9 /  12.7 /  11.8
.E2  :0530:/  11.5 /  11.4 /  11.3 /  11.2
.E3  :0531:/  11.0 /  10.8 /  10.6 /  10.3
.E4  :0601:/  10.1 /   9.9 /   9.7 /   9.6
.E5  :0602:/   9.6 /   9.6 /   9.7 /   9.6
.E6  :0603:/   9.5


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.19 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 29:   0.20  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0529          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0530  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 30:   0.01  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:LAWRENCE KS HWY 40 - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - TOP
:FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 16.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 29.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 18.4 FT AT 0050Z ON 0529

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0528           /  20.0 /  20.2 /  20.1
:   0529   /  18.7

.ER LWRK1 20160529 Z DC201605290122/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0529:        /  17.7 /  16.9 /  15.9
.E2  :0530:/  15.3 /  14.9 /  14.6 /  14.4
.E3  :0531:/  14.1 /  13.9 /  13.6 /  13.6
.E4  :0601:/  13.4 /  13.2 /  13.1 /  13.0
.E5  :0602:/  12.9 /  12.8 /  12.8 /  12.8
.E6  :0603:/  12.8


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.41 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 29:   0.41  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0529          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0530  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 30:   0.01  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:EASTON KS - STRANGER CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 17.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 15.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 18.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 17.4 FT AT 0030Z ON 0529

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0528           /  21.2 /  20.6 /  19.8
:   0529   /  17.7

.ER ESTK1 20160529 Z DC201605290122/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0529:        /  15.3 /  12.4 /   9.7
.E2  :0530:/   7.3 /   6.0 /   5.1 /   4.4
.E3  :0531:/   3.8 /   3.4 /   3.1 /   2.8
.E4  :0601:/   2.6 /   2.5 /   2.4 /   2.4
.E5  :0602:/   2.3 /   2.3 /   2.2 /   2.2
.E6  :0603:/   2.2


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.35 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 29:   0.35  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0529          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0530  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 30:   0.01  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:TONGANOXIE KS 4E - STRANGER CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT
:LATEST ESTIMATED RIVER STAGE 25.8 FT AT 0000Z ON 0529

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0528           /  26.7 /  26.2 /  26.0
:   0529   /  25.8

: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/29/2016 AROUND 22Z
.AR  TNGK1 20160529 DH0000/HGIPX 25.80E
.ER TNGK1 20160529 Z DC201605290122/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0529:        /  25.7 /  25.3 /  24.5
.E2  :0530:/  22.4 /  18.0 /  12.4 /   8.1
.E3  :0531:/   5.5 /   4.9 /   4.4 /   4.0
.E4  :0601:/   3.6 /   3.3 /   3.2 /   3.0
.E5  :0602:/   2.8 /   2.7 /   2.6 /   2.5
.E6  :0603:/   2.5


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.38 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 29:   0.38  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0529          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0530  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 30:   0.01  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:DESOTO KS 1N - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 24.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 23.0 FT AT 0045Z ON 0529

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0528           /  22.8 /  23.8 /  23.8
:   0529   /  23.2

.ER DSOK1 20160529 Z DC201605290122/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0529:        /  22.7 /  21.7 /  20.5
.E2  :0530:/  19.5 /  18.7 /  17.5 /  16.5
.E3  :0531:/  15.6 /  14.9 /  14.4 /  13.9
.E4  :0601:/  13.5 /  13.2 /  12.9 /  12.7
.E5  :0602:/  12.4 /  12.3 /  12.1 /  12.1
.E6  :0603:/  12.2


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.51 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 29:   0.51  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0529          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0530  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 30:   0.01  inches


:DESOTO KS 1N - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - EAX
:LATEST ESTIMATED FLOW 97.85 KCFS AT 0000Z ON 0529

.ER DSOK1 20160529 Z DC201605290122/DH06/QRIFF/DIH6
:Flow Fcst /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0529:        / 94.26 / 85.90 / 76.40
.E2  :0530:/ 67.50 / 60.44 / 51.57 / 45.08
.E3  :0531:/ 40.38 / 36.89 / 34.16 / 31.85
.E4  :0601:/ 30.10 / 28.73 / 27.53 / 26.47
.E5  :0602:/ 25.54 / 24.82 / 24.35 / 24.13
.E6  :0603:/ 24.71
:__________________________________________________________________

:KC KS 23RD ST - KANSAS RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 31.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 54.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 55.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 37.4 FT AT 0045Z ON 0529

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0528           /  35.0 /  36.4 /  37.3
:   0529   /  37.5

: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/30/2016 AROUND 06Z
.ER KCKK1 20160529 Z DC201605290122/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0529:        /  37.3 /  36.8 /  35.9
.E2  :0530:/  34.2 /  32.9 /  31.6 /  30.2
.E3  :0531:/  28.6 /  27.7 /  26.9 /  26.1
.E4  :0601:/  25.3 /  24.3 /  23.5 /  22.8
.E5  :0602:/  22.2 /  21.8 /  21.4 /  21.1
.E6  :0603:/  20.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.50 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0529  /  0.00
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 29:   0.50  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0529          /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:    0530  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 30:   0.01  inches

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:TOP -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Topeka, Kansas
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: ajp
:...END of MESSAGE...



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