Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 012129
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
TNZ000-KYZ000-ILZ000-MOZ000-ARZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/01/15 2129Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 2115Z  HANNA
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LOCATION...TENNESSEE...KENTUCKY...ILLINOIS...MISSOURI...
LOCATION...ARKANSAS...KANSAS...NEBRASKA...
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ATTN WFOS...PAH...MEG...LSX...LZK...SGF...EAX...TSA...OAX...TOP...
ATTN WFOS...ICT...
ATTN RFCS...LMRFC...NCRFC...MBRFC...ABRFC...
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ALTHOUGH THE OFFICIAL PERIOD FOR SPENES RETIREMENT APPEALS HAS ENDED,
NESDIS WILL CONTINUE TO ACCEPT ADDITIONAL APPEALS THROUGH EMAILS TO
JOHN.SIMKO@NOAA.GOV
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EVENT...SATELLITE FEATURES FOR HEAVY RAIN THREAT
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...LATEST WV IMAGERY INDICATES HIGH
AMPLITUDE LONG WAVES OVER THE CONUS WITH ANOMALOUS E COAST TROF AND W
COAST RIDGE WITH A NUMBER OF SMALLER SCALE IMPULSES AMPLIFYING SE TOWARDS
THE BASE OF THE E US TROF.  LEAD IMPULSE WAS NOW OVER PORTIONS OF S MO
WITH SECOND UPSTREAM IMPULSE ASSOCIATED WITH MID LEVEL DRYING NOW ON WV
IMAGERY PUSHING INTO NW MO.  AT THE SURFACE, MESOANALYSIS WAS INDICATING
THAT FRONTAL BOUNDARY WAS ANALYZED FROM PORTIONS OF CNTRL IL EXTENDING
W TO NE KS.  PREFRONTAL THERMAL BOUNDARY ASSOCIATED WITH DIFFERENTIAL
HEATING AND REMNANT OUTFLOW BOUNDARIES EXTENDED FROM N AR NW TO WHERE
IT APPEARED TO INTERSECT SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY OVER NE KS.  ALTHOUGH CLOUD
COVER HAS REDUCED THE AMOUNT OF DAY TIME HEATING AND INSTABILITY FROM
PORTIONS OF W TN/W KY NW TO CNTRL MO, ENVIRONMENT HAS BECOME MODERATELY
TO VERY UNSTABLE ALONG DIFFERENTIAL HEATING BOUNDARY AS E PERIPHERY OF EML
ON GOES SOUNDER WAS OVERSPREADING NARROW ENHANCED MOISTURE AXIS OVER E KS
AND W MO.  VIS IMAGERY WAS BEGINNING TO SHOW AN INCREASING AREA OF CU NEAR
THE MESOSCALE AND SYNOPTIC BOUNDARY INTERSECTION OVER PORTIONS OF NE KS
AND NW MO IMPLYING WEAKENING INHIBITION IN THIS REGION.  BELIEVE REMAINING
INHIBITION SHOULD CONTINUE TO WEAKEN ALLOWING FOR INITIATION OVER PORTIONS
OF E/NE KS AND NW MO AND THEN FURTHER DOWNSTREAM OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS
AS LARGE SCALE FORCING FROM UPSTREAM TROF CONTINUES TO OVERSPREAD REGION.
AREA VWPS WERE INDICATING THAT ALTHOUGH FORWARD PROPAGATING ORGANIZED
CONVECTIVE COMPONENTS SHOULD BE FAVORED IN LARGELY UNIDIRECTIONAL NW
FLOW, PERSISTENT AND STRENGTHENING LLJ TOWARDS SPLIT IN THE FLOW AND
IMPLIED DIFFLUENT THICKNESS REGION WOULD ALSO SUGGEST THAT ENVIRONMENT
WOULD BE SUPPORTIVE OF UPSTREAM REDEVELOPMENT AND BACKBUILDING ON WITH
THE POTENTIAL FOR DOWNSTREAM TRAINING TO ENHANCE HEAVY RAIN THREAT
THROUGHOUT THE EVENING.  BELIEVE THAT MOST FAVORED LOCATIONS BEING FROM
S CNTRL/CNTRL MO EXTENDING DOWNSTREAM INTO EXTREME W KY. NW TN AND NE
AR. SEE RECENT QPFERD WHICH INCLUDES A MODERATE RISK OVER CNTRL AND S
MO FOR FURTHER INFORMATION ON HEAVY RAIN THREAT AND RECENT SWOMCD FOR
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT.
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4023 9471 4011 9335 4010 9311 3910 9115 3778 8936
3660 8901 3571 8958 3523 9037 3533 9145 3590 9247
3696 9399 3808 9535 3899 9591 3976 9574 4012 9535

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