Satellite Precipitation Estimates (TXUS20 KWBC)
Issued by NWS

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000
TXUS20 KNES 112253
SPENES
ZCZC NFDSPENES ALL
SPENES
IAZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-COZ000-WYZ000-
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SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES..DATE/TIME 07/11/14 2253Z
SATELLITE ANALYSIS BRANCH/NESDIS---NPPU---TEL.301-683-1404
LATEST DATA USED: GOES-13 2230Z GOES-15 2241Z      WARREN
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LOCATION...IOWA...NEBRASKA...SOUTH DAKOTA...COLORADO...
LOCATION...WYOMING...
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ATTN WFOS...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...GLD...BOU...CYS...
ATTN RFCS...MBRFC...
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EVENT...HEAVY RAIN THREAT INITIALLY FROM SLOW-MOVING/BACK BUILDING
CONVECTION THAT LIKELY WILL EVOLVE INTO ORGANIZED QUASI LINEAR MCS
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SATELLITE ANALYSIS AND TRENDS...CU FIELD AHEAD OF SFC WARM FRONTAL
BOUNDARY IS SEEN LIFTING  N/NW ACROSS ERN CO/SRN NE THIS EVENING WHILE
A WEAK COLD FRONT REMAINS DRAPED ACROSS NRN PORTIONS OF NE/SERN WY.
THESE TWO SFC FEATURES ALONG WITH GRADUALLY BACKING LLVL FLOW AHEAD OF
SHORTWAVE TROF APPROACHING FROM THE W OVER CO/SRN WY IS SETTING THE
STAGE FOR A POTENTIAL HEAVY RAIN EVENT STRETCHING FROM NE CO/WRN TO
N-CENTRAL NE.  RECENT GOES CI PRODUCT HAS BEEN SHOWING MUCH OF THE NEW
CONVECTION RE DEVELOPING UPSTREAM WHICH FITS IN LINE WITH THE BACKING FLOW
AND UPSTREAM FORCING ASSOCIATED WITH THE SHORTWAVE.  85H SRLY LLJ HAS
BEEN USHERING IN ADDITIONAL GULF MOISTURE ALLOWING IT TO POOL BETWEEN
AFOREMENTIONED FRONTAL BOUNDARIES.  PW VALUES ARE APPROACHING 2.0"
WITH SLIGHTLY LESSER AMOUNTS NEAR 1.5" ACROSS NE CO/WRN NE.
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AN ANNOTATED SATELLITE GRAPHIC SHOWING THE HEAVY PRECIPITATION
THREAT AREA SHOULD BE AVAILABLE ON THE INTERNET ADDRESS LISTED
BELOW IN APPROXIMATELY 10-15 MINUTES.
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SHORT TERM OUTLOOK VALID 2300-0300Z...MEDIUM-HIGH CONFIDENCE FACTOR
IN SHORT TERM OUTLOOK...OVERALL CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE WITH SLOW-MOVING STORMS DRIFTING E/NEWD FROM WRN NE AND
NORTHEAST CO.  ENVIRONMENT APPEARS PRIME FOR AN ORGANIZED MCS THAT MAY
BECOME ORIENTED W TO E ACROSS CENTRAL AND NRN NE TOWARDS TO 03-06Z
TIME FRAME.  GOES SOUNDER INDICATES AXIS OF MOST UNSTABLE/MOIST AIR
BACKING AND LIFTING SLIGHTLY NWD FROM CENTRAL TO W AND NRN NEBRASKA.
HEAVY RAINFALL WITH RATES OF 1-2"/HR ARE POSSIBLE GIVEN THE 150% ABOVE
CLIMO PWS.  GIVEN THE THREAT OF BACK BUILDING AND THE POTENTIAL W TO
E ORIENTATION OF THE QUASI LINEAR MCS...THIS SHOULD HELP TO ENHANCE
RAINFALL AMOUNTS ACROSS THE DISCUSSION AREA,
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....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF NWSCHAT (NESDISSATELLITEPRECIP)....
....NESDIS IS A MEMBER OF 12 PLANET....
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FOR QUESTIONS AND COMMENTS CONCERNING THE SATELLITE
PRECIPITATION MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS PLEASE EMAIL
SSDPrecip@noaa.gov
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FOR PRECIP MESSAGES AND GRAPHICS ON THE WEB:
http://www.ospo.noaa.gov/Products/atmosphere/spe/
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FOR AUTOMATED SATELLITE PRECIPITATION ESTIMATES ON THE WEB:
http://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/smcd/emb/ff/CONUS.php
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LAT...LON 4410 10200 4355 9828 4267 9615 4156 9587 4115 9724
4118 9930 4060 10120 3949 10311 4031 10438 4205 10384
4310 10475 4402 10432
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