Special Weather Statement
Issued by NWS Albuquerque, NM

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WWUS85 KABQ 131238
SPSABQ

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
538 AM MST Fri Jan 13 2017

NMZ501>540-132300-
Northwest Plateau-Chuska Mountains-Far Northwest Highlands-
Northwest Highlands-West Central Plateau-West Central Mountains-
West Central Highlands-Southwest Mountains-
San Francisco River Valley-San Juan Mountains-Jemez Mountains-
West Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-
Northern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet/Red River-
Southern Sangre de Cristos above 9500 feet-
East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains-Upper Rio Grande Valley-
Lower Chama River Valley-Santa Fe Metro Area-
Middle Rio Grande Valley/Albuquerque Metro Area-
Lower Rio Grande Valley-Sandia/Manzano Mountains-Estancia Valley-
Central Highlands-South Central Highlands-Upper Tularosa Valley-
South Central Mountains-Raton Ridge/Johnson Mesa-
Far Northeast Highlands-Northeast Highlands-Union County-
Harding County-Eastern San Miguel County-Guadalupe County-
Quay County-Curry County-Roosevelt County-De Baca County-
Chaves County Plains-Eastern Lincoln County-
Southwest Chaves County-
538 AM MST Fri Jan 13 2017

A LONG DURATION, SIGNIFICANT WINTER STORM TO IMPACT NORTHERN AND
CENTRAL NEW MEXICO TODAY INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK...

A long duration and complex winter weather event will slowly get
underway today and will continue into early next week. Rain, snow,
thunderstorms, wind and maybe even freezing drizzle will take
turns impacting NM.

Forecasting the form of precipitation over the next few days will
be quite a challenge. We are certain most of the state will
receive significant precipitation by next Tuesday, but just what
type of precipitation is still somewhat in question.

Here`s our thinking. A backdoor cold front from the east will
move westward into the eastern plains and highlands today, with
better progress west tonight. This includes moderate to strong
east canyon winds into the Rio Grande Valley. The storm along the
southern California coast will continue south through today, turn
southeast Saturday and then northeast over NM Sunday. This system
will depart on Monday but another storm system will be trying to
organize behind it, keeping the chance of precipitation through
Tuesday.

Light snow will fall over the higher elevations of the Tusas
mountains today, with only a couple of inches of snow expected.
Precipitation will expand gradually tonight as we start to feel
the effects of the storm to our southwest. Snow will fall above
8500 feet with rain at lower elevations. Forecast soundings though
suggest a period of snow or freezing drizzle could fall across the
northeast quarter of our forecast area tonight and Saturday
morning.

Snow levels will increase Saturday. Rain will be the predominate
precipitation type, with snow confined to the higher mountain
peaks. Snow levels will gradually fall Saturday night with a few
inches accumulation possible. Colder air will filter in Sunday as
the deep upper low crosses southern NM. Wrap around moisture and
colder air will pour into the state Sunday night into Monday. The
best chances for significant snow accumulations will occur during
this time.

A trailing system is expected to bring additional precipitation,
mainly in the form of snow, into Tuesday.

Monitor NOAA weather radio...weather.gov/abq or your local media
for the latest updates on this developing storm system.

$$

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