Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 221748
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 AM PDT FRI MAY 22 2015

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

A large area of cloudiness and thunderstorms associated with a
tropical wave located about 1300 miles southwest of the southern
tip of Baja California has become a little better organized this
morning.  Environmental conditions appear conducive for additional
development of this system during the next three to four days while
it moves west-northwestward.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

Shower activity associated with a broad area of low pressure
located about 2000 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja
California has also become better organized this morning. Some
development of this system is possible during the next day or two
while the low moves slowly northwestward.  After that time,
development is less likely due to the proximity of the disturbance
to its northeast.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...40 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...70 percent

$$
Forecaster Beven




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