Tropical Weather Outlook and Summary
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000
ABPZ20 KNHC 240521
TWOEP

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1100 PM PDT TUE AUG 23 2016

For the eastern North Pacific...east of 140 degrees west longitude:

Shower activity associated with a low pressure system located about
350 miles south-southwest of Manzanillo, Mexico, continues to show
signs of organization.  Environmental conditions are conducive for
additional development, and a tropical depression is expected to
form later today or on Thursday while the low moves westward or
west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph away from the coast of Mexico.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...80 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent

Another area of low pressure located about 1000 miles southwest of
the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula is producing
disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Environmental conditions
are conducive for gradual development of this system, and a
tropical depression is expected to form by this weekend while the
low moves westward or west-northwestward at about 15 mph.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...80 percent

$$
Forecaster Berg



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